本文選題：房地產(chǎn)市場 + 健康狀況評價��； 參考：《天津師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：目前房地產(chǎn)業(yè)已成為我國國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè),關(guān)系著國家經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展和社會的穩(wěn)定。近年來,針對我國房地產(chǎn)市場出現(xiàn)的房價過快增長等問題,為了防止房地產(chǎn)市場出現(xiàn)泡沫,自2010年以來政府連續(xù)出臺了一系列的宏觀調(diào)控措施,通過調(diào)節(jié)信貸、利率和供給等方式規(guī)避風(fēng)險,以保障我國房地產(chǎn)市場健康發(fā)展。但是由于我國各地區(qū)自身自然環(huán)境狀況、地理區(qū)位以及經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平的差異導(dǎo)致各城市的房地產(chǎn)市場的運行狀況參差不齊,在相同的宏觀調(diào)控政策下各區(qū)域房地產(chǎn)市場的反應(yīng)大有不同。因此,目前國內(nèi)外對于房地產(chǎn)市場健康的定義很難形成統(tǒng)一的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。 本文在對國內(nèi)外有關(guān)房地產(chǎn)市場發(fā)展研究及房地產(chǎn)指標(biāo)體系相關(guān)理論發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀的廣泛閱讀和深入的研究的基礎(chǔ)上,對房地產(chǎn)市場健康運行進行界定,并且總結(jié)分析出房地產(chǎn)市場健康狀況評價的理論與方法,以及房地產(chǎn)市場健康狀況評價指標(biāo)體系的構(gòu)建過程。在構(gòu)建房地產(chǎn)市場健康評價指標(biāo)體系的基礎(chǔ)上,結(jié)合天津市房地產(chǎn)市場自身發(fā)展特點,選取了天津市2000年至2011年房地產(chǎn)市場發(fā)展的指標(biāo)統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),運用理論分析與實證研究相結(jié)合的方法,建立天津市房地產(chǎn)健康狀況評價指標(biāo)體系,從價格、規(guī)模、供求、結(jié)構(gòu)四個方面對天津市房地產(chǎn)市場發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進行評價。此外,通過與我國房地產(chǎn)市場整體發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進行對比,對評價結(jié)果進行進一步的驗證。 本文采用聚類分析法和定性分析法在房地產(chǎn)健康狀況評價指標(biāo)體系的設(shè)置過程中對各個指標(biāo)進行分類；采用熵權(quán)法在房地產(chǎn)健康狀況評價指標(biāo)權(quán)重的確定階段對各個指標(biāo)所占權(quán)重進行分析；采用系統(tǒng)化方法對健康狀況評價評價指標(biāo)的臨界值進行劃分；最后通過單項指標(biāo)健康狀況分析和綜合累計分值分析兩個層面進行天津市房地產(chǎn)市場發(fā)展健康狀況評價。 通過評價本文得出的結(jié)論是天津市房地產(chǎn)市場的運行狀況總體上是健康穩(wěn)定的。單項指標(biāo)評價中,各指標(biāo)在2000-2011年間除了個別年限受國家宏觀經(jīng)濟和政府調(diào)控的影響有偏離健康區(qū)間的趨勢外,基本處于健康狀態(tài)；綜合評價中,除2006和2007年處于微熱狀態(tài)外,其余年份均為健康狀態(tài)。最后,根據(jù)評價結(jié)果得出的結(jié)論,提出相應(yīng)的對策建議,為促進天津市房地產(chǎn)市場持續(xù)健康發(fā)展提供支持。
[Abstract]:At present, the real estate industry has become the pillar industry of the national economy development, which is related to the development of the national economy and the stability of the society. In recent years, in order to prevent the bubble in the real estate market, the government has continuously introduced a series of macro-control measures since 2010, through the regulation of credit. Interest rate and supply and other ways to avoid risk, in order to ensure the healthy development of our real estate market. However, due to the differences in the natural environment, geographical location and economic development level of different regions in China, the operation status of real estate market in different cities is not uniform. Under the same macro-control policy, the response of the real estate market in different regions is very different. therefore At present, the definition of real estate market health at home and abroad is difficult to form a unified standard. This paper defines the healthy operation of the real estate market, and summarizes and analyzes the theory and method of evaluating the health status of the real estate market, as well as the construction process of the evaluation index system of the real estate market health status. On the basis of constructing the index system of real estate market health evaluation and combining the development characteristics of Tianjin real estate market, this paper selects the index statistical data of Tianjin real estate market development from 2000 to 2011. Using the method of theoretical analysis and empirical research, this paper establishes the evaluation index system of Tianjin real estate health condition, and evaluates the development of Tianjin real estate market from four aspects: price, scale, supply and demand, and structure. In addition, by comparing with the overall development of China's real estate market, In this paper, cluster analysis and qualitative analysis are used to classify each index in the process of setting up the evaluation index system of real estate health status. Entropy weight method is used to analyze the weight of each index in the stage of determining the weight of real estate health evaluation index, and the critical value of health condition evaluation index is divided by systematic method. Finally, the health status of Tianjin real estate market is evaluated from two aspects: health status analysis of single index and comprehensive cumulative score analysis. The conclusion of this paper is the running state of Tianjin real estate market. The situation is generally healthy and stable. In the evaluation of individual indicators, except for the trend of deviating from the health range of individual years affected by the national macroeconomic and government regulation and control in the period 2000-2011, the indicators were basically in a healthy state. In the comprehensive evaluation, except for 2006 and 2007, the indicators were in a state of slight heat. The rest of the year is healthy. Finally, according to the conclusions of the evaluation, the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to support the sustainable and healthy development of the real estate market in Tianjin.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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