本文選題：不同地區(qū) + 房地產(chǎn)銷售　； 參考：《工程經(jīng)濟(jì)》2016年10期

【摘要】：通過建立房地產(chǎn)銷售額與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的邏輯分析框架,探討我國不同地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)銷售對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的作用機(jī)理,并利用2000~2012年中國35個(gè)大中城市面板數(shù)據(jù)相繼進(jìn)行平穩(wěn)性、協(xié)整性和格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn),最終建立固定效應(yīng)回歸模型。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):1東部地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)銷售對(duì)該地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長具有單向因果關(guān)系,西部地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)銷售與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長關(guān)系不顯著;2東部地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)銷售額的彈性系數(shù)分別為0.60和0.54,而西部地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)銷售額的彈性系數(shù)為0.24。因此,在各地區(qū)的房地產(chǎn)銷售對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響大小存在明顯差異的情況下,各地區(qū)制定經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展規(guī)劃時(shí),應(yīng)該考慮該地區(qū)房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響機(jī)制,并進(jìn)行相應(yīng)調(diào)控。
[Abstract]:Through establishing the logical analysis frame of real estate sales and economic growth, this paper discusses the mechanism of real estate sales on economic growth in different regions of China, and makes use of the panel data of 35 large and medium-sized cities in China from 2000 to 2012 to carry on the steady performance one after another. Cointegration and Granger causality test are used to establish a fixed effect regression model. The study found that real estate sales in the eastern and central parts of the region have a one-way causal relationship to economic growth in the region. The elasticity coefficient of real estate sales in eastern and central regions is 0.60 and 0.54 respectively, while the elasticity coefficient of real estate sales in western region is 0.24. Therefore, when there are obvious differences in the impact of real estate sales on economic growth in different regions, the influence mechanism of real estate industry in this region should be taken into account when formulating the economic development plan in each region, and the corresponding adjustment and control should be carried out.
【作者單位】： 南京財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)公共管理學(xué)院;上海財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)公共經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【分類號(hào)】：F299.23;F124.1

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