本文選題：宏觀調(diào)控政策 + 商品住宅　； 參考：《江西財經(jīng)大學》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：房地產(chǎn)業(yè)是國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的基礎(chǔ)產(chǎn)業(yè)、先導產(chǎn)業(yè)和支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)，隨著房地產(chǎn)業(yè)在國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)展中的地位不斷提升，房地產(chǎn)價格水平也隨之上漲。特別是2008年金融危機之后，隨著我國宏觀經(jīng)濟形勢逐漸向好發(fā)展，房價暴漲趨勢日益明顯。高額的房價已逐漸讓居民無法承受，房地產(chǎn)市場的不健康發(fā)展逐漸成為制約我國經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要因素。房地產(chǎn)在國民經(jīng)濟中的支柱地位和其對經(jīng)濟可持續(xù)發(fā)展中的作用相矛盾，這時候就需要政府采取相應(yīng)宏觀調(diào)控政策來調(diào)節(jié)這一矛盾。 房地產(chǎn)市場發(fā)展至今，政府雖然已經(jīng)多次出臺宏觀調(diào)控政策對發(fā)展過熱的房地產(chǎn)市場進行干預調(diào)節(jié)，但是最后總是以調(diào)控效果不佳收尾。在這種嚴峻的背景下，，2011年政府出臺以限購令為首的一系列嚴厲的宏觀調(diào)控政策。限購令的出臺能否達到理想的調(diào)控效果，能否使商品住宅市場成交價格下降或者減速上漲至與居民收入水平相適應(yīng)，能否使非理性發(fā)展的房地產(chǎn)市場恢復理性，這些我們值得研究的課題。 本文通過研究并總結(jié)房地產(chǎn)市場相關(guān)基本理論，選取成交量和成交價格作為商品住宅市場特征指標，并分析宏觀調(diào)控政策與特征指標的關(guān)系，研究宏觀調(diào)控政策對成交量和成交價格的作用原理。同時從限購令出發(fā)，分析我國房地產(chǎn)市場宏觀調(diào)控政策調(diào)控背景和目的，并對宏觀調(diào)控政策具體內(nèi)容進行解讀。結(jié)合宏觀調(diào)控政策內(nèi)容和目的，一方面通過對限購令前后商品住宅成交量的研究，建立供求曲線模型，分析限購令對南昌市商品住宅成交量的調(diào)控效果；另一方面通過對商品住宅成交價格的研究，建立經(jīng)濟學模型，從限購令入手結(jié)合南昌市歷年來重大宏觀調(diào)控政策頒布前后商品住宅市場成交價格數(shù)據(jù)，運用Eviews5.1數(shù)據(jù)分析軟件對模型進行檢驗，研究限購令等宏觀調(diào)控政策對南昌市商品住宅市場成交價格的調(diào)控效果。得出研究結(jié)論，并根據(jù)結(jié)論提出對宏觀調(diào)控政策的建議。
[Abstract]:Real estate industry is the basic industry in the development of national economy, leading industry and pillar industry. With the status of real estate industry in the development of national economy rising, the price level of real estate also rises.Especially after the financial crisis in 2008, with the development of macroeconomic situation in China, the trend of house price skyrocketing is becoming more and more obvious.The high housing prices have gradually made the residents unable to bear, and the unhealthy development of the real estate market has gradually become an important factor restricting the sustainable development of our economy.The status of real estate in the national economy and its role in the sustainable development of the economy are contradictory. At this time, the government needs to adopt corresponding macro-control policies to adjust this contradiction.Since the development of the real estate market, although the government has issued a number of macro-control policies to intervene and regulate the overheated real estate market, it always ends with a poor regulatory effect.Against this grim backdrop, the government introduced a series of strict macro-control policies led by purchase restrictions in 2011.Can the introduction of the purchase restriction order achieve an ideal regulatory effect, can the transaction price of the commodity housing market drop or slow down to a level commensurate with the income level of the residents, and can the irrational development of the real estate market be restored to rationality?These topics are worthy of our study.By studying and summarizing the basic theories of the real estate market, this paper selects the transaction volume and the transaction price as the characteristic index of the commodity housing market, and analyzes the relationship between the macro-control policy and the characteristic index.This paper studies the effect of macro-control policy on transaction volume and transaction price.At the same time, this paper analyzes the background and purpose of macro-control policy of real estate market in China, and interprets the concrete contents of macro-control policy.Combined with the content and purpose of macro-control policy, on the one hand, through the study of the trading volume of commercial housing before and after the purchase restriction order, the model of supply and demand curve is established to analyze the effect of the purchase restriction order on the trading volume of commodity residence in Nanchang City.On the other hand, through the research on the transaction price of commercial housing, the economic model is established, and the transaction price data of commercial housing market before and after the promulgation of major macro-control policies over the years in Nanchang City are combined with the purchase restriction.This paper uses Eviews5.1 data analysis software to test the model, and studies the effect of macro-control policies such as purchase restriction on the transaction price of commodity housing market in Nanchang.Draw the conclusion of the study, and put forward the macro-control policy recommendations according to the conclusion.
【學位授予單位】：江西財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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