本文選題：二手住宅　切入點(diǎn)：新建商品住宅　出處：《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：近幾年來,房地產(chǎn)行業(yè)發(fā)展迅猛,引起人們廣泛地關(guān)注。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)不僅是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的重要部分,也與國計(jì)民生緊密相連。無論對于國家、社會,還是對于人民都意義非凡。而房價是房地產(chǎn)市場中一個至關(guān)重要的問題。從我國的實(shí)際情況來看,從2002年開始,房價雖有波動,但整體呈現(xiàn)迅速上漲的趨勢。持續(xù)處于高位的房價不僅給人們的生活帶來了較大的經(jīng)濟(jì)負(fù)擔(dān),也對房地產(chǎn)市場的健康發(fā)展和穩(wěn)健運(yùn)行有著不利的影響,還有可能危及到其他相關(guān)的領(lǐng)域�？梢�,保持房價的平穩(wěn)運(yùn)行對于促進(jìn)房地產(chǎn)市場的長遠(yuǎn)發(fā)展、金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的降低乃至國民經(jīng)濟(jì)正常運(yùn)行的和社會穩(wěn)定都有著極其關(guān)鍵的作用。 隨著新建商品住宅價格的快速上漲,二手住宅的一些優(yōu)勢也逐漸顯現(xiàn)出來,人們的購房意愿有向二手住宅轉(zhuǎn)向的趨勢。二手住宅價格和新建商品住宅價格之間究竟有什么樣的關(guān)系呢?是否有其他影響二手住宅與新建商品住宅價格關(guān)系的因素呢?探索以上問題、得出相關(guān)的結(jié)論,對于促進(jìn)住宅市場的健康發(fā)展和人民生活質(zhì)量的提高都具有非常重要的理論和實(shí)際意義。 本文從我國房價持續(xù)高位運(yùn)行這一背景著手,對國內(nèi)35個大中城市的二手住宅價格與新建商品住宅價格進(jìn)行分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)新建商品住宅價格的上漲對二手住宅價格的上揚(yáng)有一定帶動作用。同時,本文還選取了居民住宅用地交易價格、GDP等一些宏微觀因素,運(yùn)用Panel Data的分析方法,得到這些宏微觀因素與二手住宅和新建商品住宅價格之間的關(guān)系。其中,二手住宅價格與人口、GDP以及居民住宅用地交易價格呈正相關(guān)關(guān)系,與竣工住宅面積和收入存在負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系,并且需求因素對住宅價格的推動作用比供給因素更大。人口因素對東部城市住宅價格的推動比對中西部城市大。另外,本文以2011年為子樣本,對按面積分類住宅價格進(jìn)行研究,得到了一些有趣的結(jié)論：大戶型的價格不易受到外部因素的影響,中小戶型的價格受到歷史價格的影響較大,并且選擇中等戶型的人居多。最后,就本文得出的結(jié)論對促進(jìn)住宅市場健康發(fā)展提出了一些建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the rapid development of the real estate industry has aroused widespread concern.Real estate is not only an important part of the national economy, but also closely linked with the national economy and people's livelihood.It is of great significance to the country, society and the people.Housing prices are a crucial issue in the real estate market.From the actual situation of our country, the house price has fluctuated since 2002, but the overall trend is rising rapidly.The persistently high housing prices not only bring a large economic burden to people's lives, but also have a negative impact on the healthy development and steady operation of the real estate market, and may endanger other related fields.It can be seen that maintaining the stable operation of house prices plays an extremely critical role in promoting the long-term development of the real estate market, reducing the financial risks and even the normal operation of the national economy and social stability.With the rapid rise in the price of new commercial housing, some advantages of second-hand housing are gradually revealed, and people's willingness to buy housing has a tendency to turn to second-hand housing.What is the relationship between the second-hand housing price and the new housing price?Are there any other factors that affect the price relationship between second-hand housing and new commercial housing?It is of great theoretical and practical significance to explore the above problems and draw relevant conclusions to promote the healthy development of the housing market and the improvement of people's quality of life.Based on the background of the sustained high housing prices in China, this paper analyzes the prices of second-hand houses and newly built houses in 35 large and medium-sized cities in China.It is found that the rise of new commodity housing prices has a certain driving effect on the rise of secondary housing prices.At the same time, this paper also selects some macro and micro factors, such as the transaction price of residential land, etc., and obtains the relationship between these macro and micro factors and the prices of second-hand housing and new commercial housing by using the method of Panel Data.Among them, the second-hand housing price has a positive correlation with the GDP of the population and the transaction price of residential land, and has a negative correlation with the completed housing area and income, and the demand factor has a greater impact on the housing price than the supply factor.The population factor to the eastern city housing price promotion is bigger than to the central and western cities.In addition, taking 2011 as the subsample, this paper studies the housing price classified by area, and obtains some interesting conclusions: the price of large type is not easily affected by external factors, and the price of small and medium type is greatly affected by historical price.And the choice of medium household type of people in the majority.Finally, some suggestions are put forward to promote the healthy development of housing market.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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