西安市房地產企業(yè)土地決策模型研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-03-20 11:53
本文選題:房地產企業(yè) 切入點:土地決策 出處:《西安建筑科技大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:土地作為房地產企業(yè)最基本的生產資料,對其科學、準確地決策是房地產企業(yè)健康發(fā)展的前提。那么,房地產企業(yè)如何在保證自身利益最大化的前提下,科學地進行土地決策是企業(yè)亟待解決的問題。 論文分析了西安市房地產企業(yè)土地決策的現狀及存在的問題,根據房地產企業(yè)土地決策的內涵與原則,分析房地產企業(yè)土地決策時需考慮的不確定性因素,以此為基礎將房地產企業(yè)的土地決策過程分為確定土地的臨界購置量、購置能力、排序及最高購置價格四個過程。在定量分析土地臨界購置量的基礎上,確定企業(yè)需要購置土地的時間點;在此時間點,運用BP神經網絡預測土地需求量,并分析企業(yè)資產負債率與土地購置資金的關系,界定出企業(yè)的土地購置能力,以此為條件,通過與現下“招拍掛”土地的價格做比較,小于企業(yè)土地購置能力的土地入選。運用特征價格模型理論,以土地的特征變量為指標對入選后的土地進行排序,,確定企業(yè)購置土地的先后順序,并通過特征價格模型界定出購置相應土地的最高購置價格。根據模型仿真的邏輯思想,運用Matlab和Spss軟件對房地產企業(yè)土地決策的相關數據進行預處理,應用Crystal Ball仿真器對房地產企業(yè)的土地決策過程進行實現。 本文對房地產企業(yè)土地決策模型的研究,在理論意義上講,為房地產企業(yè)土地決策理論研究奠定了基礎,從實踐意義上講,對房地產企業(yè)做出正確、合適的土地決策具有現實借鑒意義,可在一定程度上促進西安市房地產企業(yè)的健康發(fā)展,推進房地產企業(yè)的科學管理。
[Abstract]:Land as the most basic means of production of real estate enterprises, to its scientific, accurate decision-making is the premise of the healthy development of real estate enterprises. It is an urgent problem for enterprises to make land decision scientifically. This paper analyzes the present situation and existing problems of land decision-making of real estate enterprises in Xi'an. According to the connotation and principle of land decision-making in real estate enterprises, the uncertain factors that should be considered in land decision-making of real estate enterprises are analyzed. On this basis, the land decision-making process of real estate enterprises is divided into four processes: determining the critical amount of land acquisition, purchasing capacity, ranking and the highest purchase price. At this time point, the BP neural network is used to forecast the land demand, and the relationship between the enterprise's asset-liability ratio and the land purchase funds is analyzed, and the land acquisition ability of the enterprise is defined. By comparing with the price of the land in the present period, the land that is less than the enterprise's ability to purchase land is selected. The land after the election is sorted by the characteristic variables of the land, using the theory of characteristic price model and the characteristic variable of the land as the index. The order of land purchase by enterprises is determined, and the maximum purchase price is defined by the characteristic price model. Matlab and Spss software are used to preprocess the relevant data of land decision-making in real estate enterprises, and the Crystal Ball simulator is used to realize the land decision-making process of real estate enterprises. This paper studies the land decision-making model of real estate enterprises, theoretically speaking, it lays a foundation for the theoretical study of real estate enterprises' land decision-making, and makes a correct study on real estate enterprises in the practical sense. The suitable land decision is of practical significance, which can promote the healthy development of real estate enterprises in Xi'an to a certain extent and promote the scientific management of real estate enterprises.
【學位授予單位】:西安建筑科技大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F299.23
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