發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-14 19:32

  本文選題：貨幣政策　切入點(diǎn)：區(qū)域效應(yīng)　出處：《貴州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：貨幣政策是指貨幣當(dāng)局為了達(dá)到一定的宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)目標(biāo)(經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、物價(jià)穩(wěn)定、充分就業(yè)、外匯穩(wěn)定)而采取的管理和調(diào)節(jié)貨幣與信用的政策。它由最終目標(biāo)、政策工具、操作指標(biāo)、中介目標(biāo)等因素構(gòu)成。中央銀行將貨幣供給量及其它變量作為中介目標(biāo),運(yùn)用利率、再貼現(xiàn)率、準(zhǔn)備金率、公開市場(chǎng)操作等工具調(diào)節(jié)貨幣市場(chǎng),進(jìn)而實(shí)現(xiàn)貨幣幣值穩(wěn)定、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)等目標(biāo)。由于貴州省與其它省份在經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、金融設(shè)施、貨幣化水平等方面存在異質(zhì)性,從而出現(xiàn)貴州省對(duì)總量性貨幣政策敏感性與其它省份的不同的現(xiàn)象。一體化貨幣政策在作用經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)體時(shí),因?yàn)橘F州省與其它區(qū)域在經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、市場(chǎng)化水平、供給能力等具有不同特點(diǎn),所以以總量性貨幣政策可能造成區(qū)域間經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡。 本文以貴州省作為研究對(duì)象,通過梳理國(guó)內(nèi)外經(jīng)典文獻(xiàn)從理論研究的角度研究總量性貨幣政策對(duì)貴州的影響,主要運(yùn)用區(qū)域貨幣乘數(shù)、區(qū)域AD-AS模型、區(qū)域貨幣政策乘數(shù)等理論進(jìn)行分析。并結(jié)合貴州省經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、市場(chǎng)化程度、金融發(fā)展水平、外匯平衡與其它省份進(jìn)行比較,運(yùn)用總結(jié)其他學(xué)者的研究成果對(duì)比較結(jié)果進(jìn)行分析,得出總量性貨幣政策對(duì)貴州省影響的特點(diǎn)。再運(yùn)用向量自回歸模型、脈沖響應(yīng)分析、方差分解等實(shí)證工具對(duì)研究變量進(jìn)行實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)。全文的結(jié)構(gòu)與主要結(jié)論如下： 第一章是導(dǎo)論。介紹了選題的背景及研究的意義,說明研究采用的方法,總結(jié)自己研究的不足和可能出現(xiàn)創(chuàng)新的方面,同時(shí)對(duì)研究思路與框架予以簡(jiǎn)要說明。 第二章是首先介紹貨幣政策及其政策區(qū)域效應(yīng)的概念,同時(shí)總結(jié)國(guó)內(nèi)外學(xué)者研究成果,為文章展開拓寬視野。 第三章是理論分析,運(yùn)用區(qū)域AD-AS、區(qū)域貨幣乘數(shù)、區(qū)域貨幣政策乘數(shù)等模型進(jìn)行理論分析,并揭示貨幣政策區(qū)域效應(yīng)的存在。 第四章是通過將貴州與其它六省份在經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)、金融結(jié)構(gòu)、市場(chǎng)化水平、外匯順逆差等方面的比較,總結(jié)貴州省在總量性調(diào)控貨幣政策條件下貨幣政策傳遞特點(diǎn)。 第五章是實(shí)證分析,對(duì)GDP、固定資產(chǎn)投資、房地產(chǎn)投資額、利率、M2變量通過構(gòu)建VAR模型進(jìn)行脈沖響應(yīng)分析和方差分解,得出相關(guān)結(jié)論。 第六章是政策建議。
[Abstract]:Monetary policy is the policy adopted by monetary authorities to manage and regulate money and credit in order to achieve certain macroeconomic objectives (economic growth, price stability, full employment, and foreign exchange stability). The central bank uses interest rate, rediscount rate, reserve ratio, open market operation and other tools to regulate the money market. To achieve the objectives of stable currency value and economic growth. Due to the heterogeneity between Guizhou Province and other provinces in terms of economic development level, financial facilities, monetization level, etc., As a result, the sensitivity of Guizhou to total monetary policy is different from that of other provinces. When the integrated monetary policy acts on economic entities, it is because Guizhou and other regions are in the economic structure and market-oriented level. Supply capacity has different characteristics, so the monetary policy of total quantity may cause imbalance of regional economic development. This article takes Guizhou Province as the research object, through combing the domestic and foreign classical literature from the angle of theoretical research to study the influence of the total monetary policy on Guizhou, mainly using the regional monetary multiplier, regional AD-AS model. Combining with the economic structure, marketization, the level of financial development, the balance of foreign exchange of Guizhou province and other provinces, this paper analyzes the comparative results by summing up the research results of other scholars, such as the theory of regional monetary policy multiplier and so on. The characteristics of the total monetary policy influence on Guizhou Province are obtained. Then the empirical tools, such as vector autoregressive model, impulse response analysis and variance decomposition, are used to test the research variables. The structure and main conclusions of the paper are as follows:. The first chapter is the introduction. It introduces the background and significance of the research, explains the methods used in the research, summarizes the shortcomings and possible innovative aspects of the research, and gives a brief explanation of the research ideas and framework. The second chapter first introduces the concept of monetary policy and its regional effect, and summarizes the research results of domestic and foreign scholars. The third chapter is the theoretical analysis, using the regional AD-AS-S, regional monetary multiplier, regional monetary policy multiplier model to theoretical analysis, and reveals the existence of regional monetary policy effect. Chapter 4th compares Guizhou with the other six provinces in economic structure, financial structure, marketization level, foreign exchange, and so on, and summarizes the transmission characteristics of monetary policy in Guizhou province under the condition of aggregate monetary policy. Chapter 5th is an empirical analysis of the VAR fixed asset investment real estate investment interest rate M 2 variables through the construction of VAR model impulse response analysis and variance decomposition to get the relevant conclusions. Chapter 6th is policy advice.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：貴州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F822.0;F127;F224

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本文編號(hào)：1612593