本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城鎮(zhèn)化 房地產(chǎn)業(yè) 協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展　出處：《重慶大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：現(xiàn)階段重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展水平都較低，處于快速發(fā)展階段，在國務(wù)院全國統(tǒng)籌城鄉(xiāng)綜合配套改革實(shí)施的背景下，重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化的潛力和發(fā)展空間十分巨大，房地產(chǎn)業(yè)也將繼續(xù)處于快速發(fā)展中。因此，本文從區(qū)域角度研究城鎮(zhèn)化與房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的互動(dòng)關(guān)系，對(duì)于推動(dòng)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展，拉動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長具有重要意義。 本文以重慶市當(dāng)前城鎮(zhèn)化和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)現(xiàn)狀為背景，從城鎮(zhèn)化和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的基本概念、發(fā)展歷程著手，在對(duì)國內(nèi)外關(guān)于城鎮(zhèn)化和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)及其互動(dòng)關(guān)系的理論研究成果進(jìn)行文獻(xiàn)綜述的基礎(chǔ)上，結(jié)合我國的實(shí)際情況，對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化與房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的相互作用機(jī)制進(jìn)行深入分析，構(gòu)建重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化與房地產(chǎn)業(yè)作用機(jī)制的理論模型。在此理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上，以重慶市1996-2012年的數(shù)據(jù)為基礎(chǔ)，采取城鎮(zhèn)化率（UR）反映城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平，地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值（GDP）反映經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額（RI）反映房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展情況，對(duì)該市城鎮(zhèn)化和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的相互關(guān)系通過Eviews軟件進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。研究結(jié)果表明：地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值和房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額與城鎮(zhèn)化率有長期穩(wěn)定的均衡關(guān)系，并且地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值和房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額是城鎮(zhèn)化率的Granger原因，而城鎮(zhèn)化率也是房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額的Granger原因。從脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)來看，對(duì)地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值、城鎮(zhèn)化率和房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額其中一個(gè)變量一個(gè)單位的標(biāo)準(zhǔn)差沖擊后，另外一個(gè)變量會(huì)做出正向的反應(yīng)，相互之間會(huì)產(chǎn)生持久而穩(wěn)定的作用。 針對(duì)以上結(jié)論，立足重慶市現(xiàn)狀，深入分析制約城鎮(zhèn)化與房地產(chǎn)業(yè)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的因素，并提出完善城鎮(zhèn)基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、制定科學(xué)合理的城鎮(zhèn)發(fā)展規(guī)劃、保持合理的城鎮(zhèn)化與房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展速度、走新型城鎮(zhèn)化路線以及調(diào)整房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)結(jié)構(gòu)等對(duì)策建議，以期為持續(xù)推動(dòng)重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化進(jìn)程和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)健康發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)和決策參考。
[Abstract]:At present, the development level of urbanization and real estate industry in Chongqing is relatively low, and it is in the rapid development stage. Under the background of the comprehensive reform of urban and rural areas coordinated by the State Council, the potential and development space of urbanization in Chongqing is very huge. Therefore, this paper studies the interactive relationship between urbanization and real estate industry from the regional perspective, which is of great significance to promote the process of urbanization and the development of real estate industry in Chongqing, and to stimulate economic growth. Based on the current situation of urbanization and real estate industry in Chongqing, this paper starts with the basic concepts of urbanization and real estate industry, and begins with the course of development. On the basis of literature review on the theoretical research results of urbanization, real estate industry and their interaction at home and abroad, combined with the actual situation in China, the interaction mechanism between urbanization and real estate industry is deeply analyzed. Based on the theoretical analysis of the mechanism of urbanization and real estate industry in Chongqing, the urbanization rate is adopted to reflect the development level of urbanization based on the data of Chongqing from 1996 to 2012. The gross domestic product (GDP) reflects the state of economic development, and the investment in real estate development reflects the development of the real estate industry. The relationship between urbanization and real estate development in the city is analyzed by Eviews software. The results show that there is a long and stable equilibrium relationship between regional GDP and investment in real estate development and urbanization rate. And the regional gross domestic product and the real estate development investment are the Granger reasons of the urbanization rate, and the urbanization rate is also the Granger reason of the real estate development investment. After one variable of urbanization rate and real estate investment, one unit of standard deviation impact, the other variable will make a positive response, each other will have a lasting and stable role. In view of the above conclusions, based on the present situation of Chongqing, the factors restricting the coordinated development of urbanization and real estate industry are deeply analyzed, and a scientific and reasonable urban development plan is proposed to perfect the urban infrastructure. To maintain a reasonable pace of urbanization and real estate development, to take a new urbanization route and to adjust the supply structure of real estate products, and so on. In order to continue to promote the urbanization process of Chongqing and the healthy development of real estate to provide theoretical basis and decision-making reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27

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