本文關(guān)鍵詞： 政府調(diào)控 面板數(shù)據(jù) 月度數(shù)據(jù)　出處：《中國礦業(yè)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：2010年以來我國政府強化了對房地產(chǎn)市場的宏觀調(diào)控，本文選取我國共計47個大中城市從2010年7月到2012年11月的房地產(chǎn)市場月度數(shù)據(jù)，建立了土地價格、住房成交套數(shù)、房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額以及房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)資金銀行貸款額對東部、中部和西部地區(qū)以及一線、二線、三線城市房價影響的面板數(shù)據(jù)模型。結(jié)果發(fā)現(xiàn)：不同區(qū)域以及不同發(fā)展程度的城市的住房成交套數(shù)在樓市調(diào)控期間均與房價呈負(fù)相關(guān)；地價對西部部地區(qū)和二線城市影響顯著，，其土地成交價格與房價正相關(guān)，符合傳統(tǒng)的高地價引發(fā)高房價的認(rèn)知；東部中部西部地區(qū)以及一線三線城市的房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資額與房價正相關(guān)；從全國范圍來看，通過加息抑制房企開發(fā)房地產(chǎn)的銀行貸款額、增加房企還貸壓力的措施對抑制房價效果比較明顯，其中西部城市和三線城市這種現(xiàn)象更加明顯。 文章先對房價影響因素的區(qū)域差異性進行研究，探究了東部，中部，西部城市的房價影響因素的不同，然后又根據(jù)城市的發(fā)展程度不同探究了一線二線三線城市的房價影響因素的差異性，得出一線二線三線城市房價的影響因素特點，據(jù)此得出全文結(jié)論，并給出政策建議：堅持對房地產(chǎn)市場調(diào)控的政策不動搖，積極實行土地制度改革，政府需要進行財稅體制改革，減少財政對土地的過度依賴，從而將地價控制在正常范圍內(nèi)，從而促進房地產(chǎn)價格的合理波動。降低土地財政引發(fā)的房價泡沫，實行穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策抑制房價的過快增長，抑制投機性購房需求，積極擴大保障性住房供給，積極落實分類調(diào)控。
[Abstract]:Since 2010, our government has strengthened the macro-control of the real estate market. This paper selects the monthly data of the real estate market from July 2010 to November 2012 in 47 large and medium-sized cities in China, and establishes the land prices and housing transaction units. Real estate development investment and real estate development funds bank loans to the eastern, central and western regions as well as to the front and second lines, The panel data model of the influence of housing price in the third tier city. The results show that the number of housing transactions in different regions and different development levels are negatively correlated with the housing price during the period of property market regulation and control, and the land price has a significant impact on the western region and the second tier city. The land transaction price is positively correlated with the house price, which is in line with the traditional cognition that high land price leads to the high house price; the real estate development investment in the eastern central and western regions and the first-tier cities is positively related to the housing price; from a nationwide perspective, By increasing interest rate to restrain the bank loan amount of real estate development and increase the pressure of housing enterprises to repay the loan, the effect of restraining house price is obvious, especially in western cities and third-tier cities. Firstly, the paper studies the regional difference of the influencing factors of house price, and probes into the difference of the influencing factors of the housing price in the eastern, central and western cities. Then according to the different development degree of the city, the paper explores the difference of the influencing factors of the housing price in the second-tier and third-tier cities, and obtains the characteristics of the influencing factors of the housing prices of the second-tier and third-tier cities, and then draws the conclusion of the full text. Some policy suggestions are put forward: persisting in the policy of regulating and controlling the real estate market, actively carrying out the land system reform, and the government should carry out the reform of the fiscal and taxation system to reduce the excessive dependence of the finance on the land, so as to control the land price within the normal range. In order to promote reasonable fluctuations in real estate prices, reduce the price bubble caused by land finance, implement a prudent monetary policy to curb the excessive growth of house prices, curb speculative demand for housing purchases, and actively expand the supply of affordable housing. We will actively implement classified regulation and control.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：中國礦業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.23

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 黃鶴;中國大中城市房地產(chǎn)泡沫的檢驗及成因分析[D];哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué);2008年

本文編號：1534299