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房地產(chǎn)泡沫與政府調(diào)控政策

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-31 12:56

  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 房地產(chǎn)泡沫 政府 調(diào)控 出處:《天津師范大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:房地產(chǎn)業(yè)是我國國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的基本載體,是加速實現(xiàn)工業(yè)化、現(xiàn)代化和城市化的主要力量,被稱為國家經(jīng)濟(jì)的晴雨表。房地產(chǎn)業(yè)不僅涉及到國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展和人民群眾的利益,而且關(guān)系到金融業(yè)的安危,如果房地產(chǎn)業(yè)存在泡沫,將可能對經(jīng)濟(jì)造成負(fù)面的影響,嚴(yán)重時甚至可能導(dǎo)致金融危機(jī)。 首先,我們采用數(shù)據(jù)分析法從房地產(chǎn)與國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的關(guān)系,房地產(chǎn)開發(fā)投資情況,房地產(chǎn)資金來源情況,商品房銷售價格變化特點、面積變化特點以及房地產(chǎn)企業(yè)收入情況等方面入手,闡述了我國房地產(chǎn)所處的現(xiàn)狀,指出了我國房地產(chǎn)市場的弊端。接下來對引起房地產(chǎn)泡沫的原因進(jìn)行了剖析和總結(jié),先分析了地方政府和中央政府在房地產(chǎn)產(chǎn)業(yè)里的利益關(guān)系,主要從政府財政稅收,政府行政收費,房地產(chǎn)行從業(yè)人員收入以及房地產(chǎn)相關(guān)行業(yè)提供給政府的稅收等五個方面入手加以分析。之后又綜合分析了房地產(chǎn)泡沫所產(chǎn)生的副作用,指出房地產(chǎn)泡沫嚴(yán)重地激化了社會矛盾,抑制了社會消費,一家獨大發(fā)展畸型,導(dǎo)致實體產(chǎn)業(yè)資本流入房地產(chǎn)業(yè)牟取暴利,致使中國經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)失衡。 為此,政府為了抑制房價上漲出臺了相關(guān)的公共政策,我們研究了我國住房市場的公共政策工具,包括金融支持政策、租金(價格)管制政策、土地和規(guī)劃管制政策、貨幣政策、稅收政策、公共住房政策、住房交易限制政策、期房政策、住房交易管制政策、外資管制政策等十種政策工具。梳理了2001至2011年期間的“國字號”的調(diào)控政策,并分析各政策工具干預(yù)住房市場所帶來的效果。然后以上海為例子,先是分析在國家層面的宏觀政策調(diào)控對上海房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的影響,說明了宏觀政策對住房、土地使用制度的改革是上海的房地產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展的前提條件,然后列舉了1990至2007年期間的上海市政府所出臺的房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策,探討了上海本地房地產(chǎn)政策對上海房地產(chǎn)價格的影響。國家以及上海本地的政策為上海房地產(chǎn)業(yè)引來了以供給為導(dǎo)向的房產(chǎn)市場的熱潮。這一時期房地產(chǎn)交易活躍,投資需求旺盛,房地產(chǎn)升值潛力不斷提升,形成了潛在的房地產(chǎn)泡沫。 最后,我們對政府如何控制打壓房地產(chǎn)泡沫提出政策建議,包括完善土地產(chǎn)權(quán)制度、打破土地開發(fā)壟斷、嚴(yán)控行政收費,削減政府利益相關(guān)度、強(qiáng)化市場操縱和欺詐監(jiān)管、加強(qiáng)金融監(jiān)控,確保金融安全、增加供給,改善供需關(guān)系、抑制投資型需求,多種渠道保障自住型需求等建議,可作為日后政府相關(guān)部門規(guī)制優(yōu)化和制定宏觀調(diào)控政策時的參考。
[Abstract]:The real estate industry is the basic carrier of our national economy, and the main force of accelerating industrialization, modernization and urbanization. It is called the barometer of national economy. The real estate industry not only involves the development of the national economy and the interests of the people, but also relates to the safety of the financial industry, if there is a bubble in the real estate industry. May have a negative impact on the economy, or even lead to a financial crisis. First of all, we use data analysis from the relationship between real estate and the national economy, real estate development and investment, real estate capital sources, commercial housing sales price change characteristics. Starting with the characteristics of the area change and the income situation of the real estate enterprises, this paper expounds the present situation of the real estate in our country. Pointed out the drawbacks of the real estate market in China. Then the causes of the real estate bubble were analyzed and summarized, the first analysis of the interests of local governments and central government in the real estate industry. Mainly from the government fiscal revenue, government administrative charges. Real estate industry employees' income and the real estate related industries to provide the tax revenue to the government and so on five aspects to be analyzed, and then comprehensive analysis of the side effects of the real estate bubble. It is pointed out that the real estate bubble seriously intensifies the social contradictions, restrains the social consumption, and leads to the abnormal development of a single industry, which leads to the inflow of real industrial capital into the real estate industry for profiteering, resulting in the imbalance of China's economic structure. Therefore, in order to curb the rise of house prices, the government has issued relevant public policies, we have studied the public policy tools of the housing market in China, including financial support policy, rent (price) control policy. Land and Planning Regulation Policy, Monetary Policy, tax Policy, Public Housing Policy, Housing transaction restriction Policy, Housing Futures Policy, Housing transaction Regulation Policy. Foreign capital control policy and other ten policy tools. Combing the "country name" from 2001 to 2011 of the regulatory policy. Then taking Shanghai as an example, this paper analyzes the impact of macro-policy control on the development of real estate industry in Shanghai at the national level, and explains the impact of macro-policy on housing. The reform of land use system is the prerequisite for the development of real estate industry in Shanghai. Then it lists the real estate regulation and control policies issued by the Shanghai Municipal Government from 1990 to 2007. This paper discusses the influence of the local real estate policy in Shanghai on the real estate price in Shanghai. The national and local policies have led to the upsurge of the supply-oriented real estate market for the Shanghai real estate industry. Jump. Investment demand is exuberant, the potential for real estate appreciation is rising, forming a potential real estate bubble. Finally, we put forward some policy suggestions on how to control and suppress the real estate bubble, including perfecting the land property right system, breaking the monopoly of land development, strictly controlling administrative charges, and reducing the correlation of government interests. Strengthen market manipulation and fraud supervision, strengthen financial monitoring, ensure financial security, increase supply, improve the relationship between supply and demand, restrain investment-oriented demand, various channels to protect self-housing demand and other suggestions. It can be used as a reference to optimize and formulate macro-control policies of relevant government departments in the future.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F299.23;F123.16

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