本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國商品住宅市場的投資性需求分析　出處：《上海交通大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 投資品屬性 商品住宅價格 投資性需求 有消費能力的剛需

【摘要】：自上世紀90年代末住房制度改革以來，中國房地產(chǎn)市場得以蓬勃發(fā)展。特別是2004年以后，商品住宅價格持續(xù)快速飆升，盡管國家出臺了多輪次、力度不斷升級的房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策和稅收政策，但房地產(chǎn)市場依然長期處于一個“價漲量增”的態(tài)勢。房地產(chǎn)市場的欣欣向榮，對于拉動國民經(jīng)濟發(fā)揮了舉足輕重的作用。然而，住房作為一種具有強烈投資品屬性的特殊消費品，近年來，特別是在中國的一、二線城市，其所形成的投資性需求已經(jīng)超過消費性需求，成為房地產(chǎn)市場總需求的主導(dǎo)因素，也成為房價持續(xù)高漲的重要推手。 房價上漲過快，會對居民生活消費形成“擠出效應(yīng)”，嚴重影響社會經(jīng)濟的和諧穩(wěn)定發(fā)展。還會誘導(dǎo)社會資金大量涌入房地產(chǎn)市場，形成房地產(chǎn)泡沫，損害其他實體行業(yè)的發(fā)展。因此，在中共中央全面實施“十二五”房地產(chǎn)規(guī)劃的階段，，抑制投資性需求，調(diào)整住房需求結(jié)構(gòu)的同時，促進房價合理回歸成為當(dāng)前住房規(guī)劃的首要任務(wù)。本文擬從人口因素的角度出發(fā)，結(jié)合普通居民的傳統(tǒng)儲蓄習(xí)慣，通過研究城鎮(zhèn)居民對住房的消費性需求，來間接的估算過去十年中國房地產(chǎn)市場上存在的投資性需求，以期對房地產(chǎn)金融業(yè)務(wù)實踐提供理論和數(shù)據(jù)支持。
[Abstract]:Since the reform of housing system at the end of -10s, China's real estate market has been booming. Especially since 2004, commodity housing prices have continued to surge rapidly, despite the introduction of multiple rounds. But the real estate market is still in a "price increase" situation for a long time, and the real estate market is booming. However, housing as a special consumer goods with strong investment attributes, especially in China's first and second tier cities in recent years. The investment demand has exceeded the consumption demand, which has become the dominant factor of the total demand in the real estate market and an important driving force for the sustained rise of house prices. If the house price rises too fast, it will form the "crowding out effect" to the resident's life consumption, and will seriously affect the harmonious and stable development of the social economy. It will also induce the social funds to pour into the real estate market in large quantities, and form the real estate bubble. Therefore, in the period of the CPC Central Committee's comprehensive implementation of the "12th Five-Year Plan" real estate planning, to curb investment demand and adjust the structure of housing demand at the same time. To promote the reasonable return of housing prices has become the primary task of current housing planning. This paper, from the perspective of population factors, combined with the traditional savings habits of ordinary residents, through the study of urban residents' consumer demand for housing. To indirectly estimate the investment demand in China's real estate market in the past decade, in order to provide theoretical and data support for the real estate financial business practice.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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