發(fā)布時間：2018-05-07 04:09

  本文選題：電信業(yè) + 生產(chǎn)率　； 參考：《吉林大學(xué)》2013年博士論文

【摘要】：過去幾十年中，全球通信行業(yè)都保持了穩(wěn)定高速發(fā)展態(tài)勢，信息技術(shù)和電信產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展加快全球化和世界經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的步伐，衛(wèi)星、光學(xué)纖維、移動通信技術(shù)以及因特網(wǎng)和萬維網(wǎng)的不斷進(jìn)步大大地改善了全球通信狀況，降低通信成本，增進(jìn)各地區(qū)交流合作，促進(jìn)生產(chǎn)和市場全球化運作。中國從上世紀(jì)90年代開始對電信業(yè)進(jìn)行了一系列重大改革，通過多次拆分重組引入競爭機(jī)制。2008年將中國電信、中國網(wǎng)通、中國移動、中國聯(lián)通、中國衛(wèi)通、中國鐵通6家基礎(chǔ)電信企業(yè)重新拆分整合重組為中國移動、中國聯(lián)通和中國電信三家，這是繼1994年成立中國聯(lián)通以推動雙寡頭競爭格局，1999年中國移動從中國電信剝離和2001年南北拆分中國電信打破固網(wǎng)單一壟斷后，更大規(guī)模的電信市場重組。重組之后全行業(yè)繼續(xù)保持健康平穩(wěn)運行，2011年，全行業(yè)實現(xiàn)電信業(yè)務(wù)總量11772億元，實現(xiàn)電信業(yè)務(wù)收入9880億元，全國電話用戶凈增1.18億戶，總數(shù)累計達(dá)到12.7億戶，互聯(lián)網(wǎng)寬帶接入用戶達(dá)到1.56億戶，新增3020萬戶。但是目前電信業(yè)仍然存在一些突出矛盾和問題，而且面臨經(jīng)濟(jì)社會發(fā)展的新形勢，給電信業(yè)的發(fā)展提出了更高要求。所以，對中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率的實證研究就顯得極為重要，既擴(kuò)展電信業(yè)理論研究的內(nèi)涵，又對中國電信業(yè)健康有序發(fā)展具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。 因此，本文在對大量國內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行閱讀、梳理、整理的基礎(chǔ)上，堅持定性研究與定量研究相結(jié)合、實證研究與規(guī)范研究相結(jié)合的原則，將非參數(shù)測度方法引入到電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率研究中，對中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率與生產(chǎn)率增長進(jìn)行研究。在數(shù)據(jù)的調(diào)研方面采取文獻(xiàn)調(diào)查、社會調(diào)查和專家咨詢的方式，在數(shù)據(jù)計算處理方面，綜合運用Eviews5.1軟件、Deap2.1軟件、SPSS19.0軟件對數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行輔助運算分析。 本文研究主要分為三個主體部分，第一部分為理論基礎(chǔ)研究及現(xiàn)狀分析，第二部分為實證研究，第三部分提出對策建議。 第一部分，理論研究及現(xiàn)狀分析。本部分是本文的理論基礎(chǔ)和現(xiàn)實依據(jù)，為后續(xù)研究提供支撐。 1、相關(guān)理論與方法綜述，首先從生產(chǎn)率的定義入手，闡明本文研究的內(nèi)容；其次對效率、生產(chǎn)率及其生產(chǎn)率增長的測量進(jìn)行說明，最后簡單歸納生產(chǎn)率的測度方法。 2、中國電信業(yè)發(fā)展歷程及現(xiàn)狀分析。首先明確電信業(yè)的基本概念，從電信的定義入手，深入挖掘電信業(yè)的內(nèi)涵，明確本文研究對象為狹義的電信業(yè)——電信運營服務(wù)業(yè)，在此基礎(chǔ)上對電信業(yè)的經(jīng)濟(jì)特征和服務(wù)功能進(jìn)行深入分析。其次，將中國電信業(yè)的發(fā)展歷程分為五個階段進(jìn)行分析，從電信運營商角度分析中國電信業(yè)的市場結(jié)構(gòu)，并總結(jié)中國電信業(yè)發(fā)展的主要特點。最后，從基礎(chǔ)電信業(yè)務(wù)、增值電信業(yè)務(wù)、電信網(wǎng)絡(luò)能力、固定資產(chǎn)投資、經(jīng)營效益、地域發(fā)展差異、省級電信業(yè)發(fā)展及基礎(chǔ)電信運營商等角度對中國電信業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀做深入剖析。 第二部分，實證研究。本部分是全文的重點內(nèi)容，也是本文研究的難點所在，得出本文的主要研究結(jié)論，是論文的核心部分。 1、中國電信業(yè)資本存量及對國民經(jīng)濟(jì)貢獻(xiàn)研究。首先運用永續(xù)盤存法對中國電信業(yè)資本存量進(jìn)行測算，并給出1952—2010年的電信業(yè)資本存量序列，到2010年資本存量已經(jīng)突破9千億元。其次，從電信業(yè)的直接貢獻(xiàn)率、對其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的拉動作用及電信業(yè)價格對CPI的下拉作用等三個方面深入研究中國電信業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的直接貢獻(xiàn)。最后，運用菲德模型測算中國電信業(yè)對國民經(jīng)濟(jì)的間接貢獻(xiàn)，計算得到電信業(yè)每增加1個單位的產(chǎn)出，國民經(jīng)濟(jì)最終將增加3.007單位的產(chǎn)出。 2、中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率測度實證研究。使用DEA方法中的CCR和BCC模型對中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率進(jìn)行測度。首先，用時間序列數(shù)據(jù)研究中國電信業(yè)在1983—2010年的28年間的生產(chǎn)率變化，看到這些年中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率在逐步提高，到2010年達(dá)到最佳效率水平，研究認(rèn)為中國電信業(yè)改革卓有成效，并且證實引入競爭可以促進(jìn)技術(shù)進(jìn)步的論斷。其次，用中國大陸的31個省、直轄市和自治區(qū)電信業(yè)2003—2010年的面板數(shù)據(jù)作為研究樣本，研究中國省際電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率，，看到各省電信業(yè)發(fā)展不平衡，生產(chǎn)率高低不一，所以不同區(qū)域不同省份電信業(yè)發(fā)展采取的措施應(yīng)該不同。 3、中國電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率增長率測度實證研究。使用Malmquist生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)來測度我國31個省電信業(yè)2003—2010年TFP（全要素生產(chǎn)率）增長率，從時間角度和地域角度進(jìn)行分析，結(jié)論顯示各省電信業(yè)生產(chǎn)率呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)增長態(tài)勢，而且在全要素生產(chǎn)率變動的構(gòu)成中，技術(shù)進(jìn)步對TFP增長的貢獻(xiàn)更大，但是處于不同區(qū)域的各省電信業(yè)發(fā)展程度還是各不相同，進(jìn)而不同區(qū)域不同省份電信業(yè)進(jìn)一步發(fā)展需要采取的措施應(yīng)該不同。 第三部分，對策建議。本文的最終落腳點，針對實證研究所得結(jié)論及存在問題提出可行的對策。一方面從電信行業(yè)內(nèi)部指出其發(fā)展重點，一是加快信息網(wǎng)絡(luò)演進(jìn)升級，統(tǒng)籌信息網(wǎng)絡(luò)整體布局；二是全面深化信息服務(wù)應(yīng)用，培育壯大新興服務(wù)業(yè)態(tài)；三是推進(jìn)三網(wǎng)融合全面展開，加快物聯(lián)網(wǎng)產(chǎn)業(yè)化進(jìn)程；四是提升安全應(yīng)急保障能力，推進(jìn)信息網(wǎng)絡(luò)綠色發(fā)展。另一方面從電信政策環(huán)境角度提出幾點保障措施，第一，加強(qiáng)戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃指導(dǎo)，優(yōu)化行業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境；第二，加大財稅金融支持，完善普遍服務(wù)機(jī)制；第三，強(qiáng)化電信資源管理，完善市場監(jiān)管體系；第四，加強(qiáng)國際合作交流，加強(qiáng)人才隊伍建設(shè)。 本文研究具有一定的理論和現(xiàn)實意義，但是由于研究時間和資源等方面的限制，本文研究還是存在諸多不足之處。對研究方向、研究對象、研究過程及研究結(jié)論進(jìn)行反觀思考，作者認(rèn)為從中國電信業(yè)和其他國家電信業(yè)進(jìn)行對比性研究，電信業(yè)投資、電信業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系，以及電信業(yè)技術(shù)進(jìn)步、技術(shù)創(chuàng)新、技術(shù)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化、技術(shù)軌道變遷等方面都可以進(jìn)行進(jìn)一步的深入研究。
[Abstract]:In the past few decades, the global communications industry has maintained a stable and rapid development trend. The development of information technology and telecommunications industry has accelerated the pace of globalization and the development of the world economy. The continuous progress of satellites, optical fiber, mobile communication technology and the Internet and the World Wide Web greatly improved the global communication situation, reduced the cost of communication and enhanced In the 90s of last century, China has carried out a series of major reforms in the telecommunications industry since the 90s of last century. In.2008, China Netcom, China Mobile, China Unicom, China Unicom, China China Unicom, China Tietong 6 basic telecom enterprises have been re divided. The integration and reorganization of China Mobile, China Unicom and China Telecom three, this is after the establishment of China Unicom in 1994 to promote the double oligarchy competition pattern, in 1999, China Mobile from China Telecom peeled off and 2001 South and North resolution China Telecom break the single monopoly of fixed network, the more large-scale restructuring of the electric letter market. After restructuring, the whole industry continued to remain healthy. In 2011, Kangping operated steadily. In 2011, the whole industry realized a total of 11772 billion yuan in telecom business, 988 billion yuan for telecom business income, 118 million net subscribers in the whole country, 1 billion 270 million households, 156 million Internet broadband access users and 30 million 200 thousand new households. However, there are still some outstanding contradictions and problems in the telecommunication industry, and there are still some problems. The new situation of economic and social development has put forward higher requirements for the development of the telecommunications industry. Therefore, the empirical study of the productivity of the China Telecom industry is very important. It not only expands the connotation of the research of the telecommunications industry, but also has an important significance to the healthy and orderly development of the China Telecom industry.
Therefore, on the basis of reading, sorting, and sorting out a large number of domestic and foreign related literature, we insist on the combination of qualitative research and quantitative research, the principle of combining empirical research with normative research, and introducing the nonparametric measure method into the research of the productivity and productivity growth of the China Telecom industry. According to the investigation, the methods of literature survey, social investigation and expert consultation are used, and Eviews5.1 software, Deap2.1 software, and SPSS19.0 software are used to analyze the data in the data calculation and processing.
This study is divided into three main parts, the first part is the theoretical basis and the status quo analysis, the second part is the empirical study, and the third part puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions.
The first part is theoretical research and current situation analysis. This part is the theoretical basis and realistic basis of this article, providing support for future research.
1, a summary of related theories and methods, first of all, starting with the definition of productivity, clarifies the content of this study; secondly, explains the measurement of efficiency, productivity and productivity growth, and finally sums up the measurement method of productivity.
2, the development process and present situation analysis of the China Telecom industry. Firstly, the basic concept of telecommunications industry is clarified, starting with the definition of telecommunications, digging into the connotation of telecom industry, and making clear that the object of this paper is telecom operation service industry in a narrow sense. On this basis, the economic characteristics and service functions of the telecom industry are analyzed. Secondly, will be made. The development course of China Telecom is divided into five stages, analyzing the market structure of China Telecom industry from the perspective of telecom operators and summarizing the main characteristics of the development of China Telecom industry. Finally, from the basic telecommunications business, value-added telecommunications, telecom network capacity, fixed asset investment, operating efficiency, regional development differences, provincial Telecommunications Industry development and basic telecom operators, etc., make an in-depth analysis of the development of the China Telecom industry.
The second part, empirical research. This part is the key content of the full text, but also the difficult point of this study, and draw the main conclusions of this paper, which is the core part of the paper.
1, the stock of the China Telecom industry capital and the contribution to the national economy. First, we use the perpetual inventory method to calculate the stock of the China Telecom industry capital, and give the stock of the capital stock of the telecom industry from 1952 to 2010. By 2010, the capital stock has exceeded 900 billion yuan. Secondly, the direct contribution rate of the telecommunications industry and the pulling effect on other industries The direct contribution of the China Telecom industry to the national economy is studied in three aspects, such as the price of the telecom industry and the pull down of the CPI. Finally, using the fad model to calculate the indirect contribution of the China Telecom to the national economy, the output of the 1 units per increase in the telecommunications industry is calculated, and the national economy will eventually increase the output of 3.007 units.
2, an empirical study on the productivity measurement of the China Telecom industry. Using the CCR and BCC models in the DEA method to measure the productivity of China Telecom industry. First, the time series data is used to study the productivity changes of the China Telecom industry in the period of 28 years in the period of 1983 to 2010. At the rate level, the research believes that the reform of the China Telecom industry is effective and proves that the introduction of competition can promote technological progress. Secondly, the panel data of the 31 provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions of China's telecommunications industry from 2003 to 2010 are used as research samples to study the productivity of China's inter provincial telecommunications industry and to see the unbalanced development of telecom industry in all provinces. Productivity varies from country to country, so the measures taken by different regions in different provinces should be different.
3, the empirical research on the productivity growth rate of China Telecom industry. Using the Malmquist productivity index to measure the growth rate of TFP (total factor productivity) from 2003 to 2010 in 31 provinces of China, the results show that the productivity of telecom industry in all provinces is showing a continuous growth trend, and the total factor productivity changes in all provinces. In the composition of the dynamic, the contribution of technological progress to the growth of TFP is greater, but the development degree of telecom industry in different provinces is different, and the further development of telecom industry in different provinces should be different.
The third part, countermeasures and suggestions. The final foothold of this article, in view of the conclusions and problems of empirical research, put forward feasible countermeasures. On the one hand, it points out its development focus from the telecom industry, one is to accelerate the evolution of the information network and to coordinate the overall layout of the information network; the two is to deepen the application of information services in an all-round way, and to cultivate and strengthen the new clothes. The three is to promote the integration of the three networks and accelerate the industrialization of the Internet of things; the four is to improve the security emergency security ability and promote the green development of the information network. On the other hand, it puts forward several safeguard measures from the perspective of the telecommunication policy environment. First, strengthen the guidance of the strategic planning, optimize the industry development environment; second, increase the financial and Tax finance. To support and improve the universal service mechanism; third, to strengthen telecom resource management and improve market supervision system; fourth, to strengthen international cooperation and exchanges, and to strengthen the construction of talents.
This study has a certain theoretical and practical significance, but because of the limitations of time and resources research, this paper still has many shortcomings. The research direction, the research object, the research process and the research conclusions are reflected. The author thinks that the telecommunications industry in China Telecom and other countries have a comparative study. The relationship between the investment of the letter industry, the development of telecommunication industry and the economic growth, as well as the technological progress of the telecommunication industry, the technological innovation, the standardization of technology, the change of the technology track and so on, can be further studied.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F626

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 劉孟飛;;網(wǎng)絡(luò)融合下的中國電信業(yè)效率評價及其影響因素研究[J];產(chǎn)經(jīng)評論;2014年02期

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 葛慶峰;錦州電信“翼支付”平臺功能開發(fā)[D];吉林大學(xué);2014年

本文編號：1855332