【摘要】：在多部門NK-DSGE模型中,詳細(xì)區(qū)分并比較了與政府消費(fèi)性支出、政府生產(chǎn)性支出有關(guān)的消息沖擊和"驚喜"沖擊對(duì)于我國勞動(dòng)力市場的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn):(1)消息沖擊對(duì)于不同部門就業(yè)具有不同的沖擊效應(yīng);(2)與政府支出有關(guān)的消息沖擊對(duì)于我國勞動(dòng)力市場以及宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的沖擊效應(yīng)大于"驚喜"沖擊;(3)與政府生產(chǎn)性支出有關(guān)的消息沖擊和"驚喜"沖擊的動(dòng)態(tài)效應(yīng)大于與政府消費(fèi)性支出有關(guān)的消息沖擊和"驚喜"沖擊。因此,引導(dǎo)民眾形成正確的預(yù)期,依據(jù)我國的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況建立適當(dāng)?shù)恼С鲆?guī)則并依據(jù)政府支出規(guī)則行事,將有利于發(fā)揮與政府支出有關(guān)的消息沖擊的積極作用,進(jìn)而通過政府支出調(diào)整形成的消息沖擊,實(shí)現(xiàn)勞動(dòng)力市場的穩(wěn)定。
[Abstract]:In the multi-sector NK-DSGE model, the impact of news shock and surprise shock on the labor market of China is distinguished and compared in detail. The results show that: (1) the impact of news shock on employment in different sectors is different; (2) the impact of news shock related to government expenditure on China's labor market and macro economy is greater than that of "surprise" impact; (3) the impact of information shock on employment in different sectors is greater than that of "surprise" impact on China's labor market and macro economy; The dynamic effect of the news shock and surprise shock related to government productive expenditure is greater than the news shock and surprise shock related to government consumption expenditure. Therefore, guiding people to form correct expectations, establishing appropriate government expenditure rules according to the reality of our country and acting according to government expenditure rules will be conducive to giving play to the positive role of news shocks related to government expenditure. Then through the government expenditure adjustment formation news shock, realizes the labor market stability.
【作者單位】： 中共廣東省委黨校經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)教研部;中國社會(huì)科學(xué)院經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;廣東財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)國民經(jīng)濟(jì)研究中心;
【基金】：國家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金重大項(xiàng)目“提高發(fā)展平衡性、包容性、可持續(xù)性的動(dòng)力機(jī)制研究”(15ZDC02)
【分類號(hào)】：F249.2;F812.45

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