【摘要】：隨著中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的開放程度和對世界經(jīng)濟(jì)依賴程度的不斷深化,中國成為世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體,其與世界的融合度在不斷加深,匯率市場化也逐漸成為我國匯率制度改革的發(fā)展方向和必然趨勢,如何進(jìn)行匯率市場化使經(jīng)濟(jì)平穩(wěn)發(fā)展,同時(shí)避免金融危機(jī)也就成為了事關(guān)重大的課題。匯率作為衡量宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)的重要指標(biāo),和利率一道成為考察一個(gè)國家內(nèi)部經(jīng)濟(jì)和外部經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展協(xié)調(diào)性的重要參考。 本文的寫作目的在于分析我國匯率市場化的進(jìn)程及現(xiàn)狀,提出合理市場化的建議。本文在綜述匯率市場化的相關(guān)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,分析我國建國以來的匯率制度演變過程及我國目前的匯率制度安排,采用實(shí)證檢驗(yàn)的方法考察我國匯率與利率、匯率與出口額的聯(lián)動(dòng)性,并分析造成相應(yīng)檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果的原因,對比分析曾經(jīng)發(fā)生過金融危機(jī)的泰國及墨西哥的經(jīng)驗(yàn)教訓(xùn),繼而詳細(xì)分析我國進(jìn)行匯率市場化的利弊,從而結(jié)合金融自由化相關(guān)理論、馬克思主義金融危機(jī)理論及“三元悖論”對我國匯率市場化的發(fā)展提出相應(yīng)建議。本文得出的結(jié)論是,從建國以來,我國匯率市場化程度不夠,匯率與利率之間存在聯(lián)動(dòng)性,匯率與出口額之間不存在格來杰因果關(guān)系,匯率市場化問題是必然趨勢且急需解決,但要平穩(wěn)進(jìn)行,不可采取激進(jìn)式。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's economic openness and dependence on the world economy, China has become the second largest economy in the world. Its integration with the world is deepening. The marketization of exchange rate has gradually become the development direction and inevitable trend of China's exchange rate system reform. How to carry out the marketization of exchange rate to make the economy develop smoothly and avoid it at the same time The avoidance of financial crisis has become a major issue. Exchange rate, as an important indicator of macro-economy, together with interest rate, has become an important reference for investigating the coordination of internal and external economic development of a country.
The purpose of this paper is to analyze the process and present situation of exchange rate marketization in China and put forward some reasonable suggestions. On the basis of reviewing the relevant theories of exchange rate marketization, this paper analyzes the evolution of exchange rate system since the founding of our country and the arrangement of exchange rate system in our country at present. Interest rate, exchange rate and export linkage, and analysis of the causes of the corresponding test results, comparative analysis of the experience of Thailand and Mexico, and then a detailed analysis of China's exchange rate marketization pros and cons, so as to combine financial liberalization theory, Marxist financial crisis theory and the "ternary" The conclusion of this paper is that since the founding of the People's Republic of China, the degree of marketization of exchange rate in China has been insufficient, there is linkage between exchange rate and interest rate, there is no Gregorian causality between exchange rate and export volume, and the problem of marketization of exchange rate is an inevitable trend and needs to be solved urgently, but it should be carried out smoothly. No radical action should be taken.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：首都師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號(hào)】：F832.6

【引證文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前3條

1 錢繼勝;新形勢下Y銅加工企業(yè)匯率風(fēng)險(xiǎn)防范對策研究[D];安徽財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);2016年

2 馬憲宇;人民幣匯率變動(dòng)與居民生活的相關(guān)性研究[D];吉林大學(xué);2015年

3 應(yīng)瑋tD;人民幣匯率市場化對短期國際資本流動(dòng)的影響研究[D];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué);2014年

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本文編號(hào)：2196522