本文選題：外商直接投資 + 中國—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)　； 參考：《昆明理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：自“10+1”中國——東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(China-ASEAN Free Trade Area,以下簡稱CAFTA)成立以來,尤其是《中國-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)投資協(xié)議》簽署,進(jìn)一步促進(jìn)了區(qū)域內(nèi)外商直接投資(Foreign Direct Investment,以下簡稱FDI)的發(fā)展。其中,中國對東盟直接投資規(guī)模不斷擴(kuò)大。FDI流入對區(qū)域內(nèi)經(jīng)濟(jì)快速發(fā)展、產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化,提高各成員國的經(jīng)濟(jì)效率和對外開放能力具有重要的經(jīng)濟(jì)和政治意義。 對外直接投資的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)已經(jīng)得到了廣泛研究。因此,本文基于前人的研究理論基礎(chǔ),研究CAFTA框架下中國對東盟直接投資的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)。首先,從投資規(guī)模、行業(yè)分布、國別構(gòu)成三個角度分析中國對東盟直接投資的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,以及投資動因；其次,建立動態(tài)的面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,采用系統(tǒng)廣義矩陣估計法對直接投資的投資創(chuàng)造和投資轉(zhuǎn)移轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)實(shí)證研究；最后,以東盟國家為研究主體,采用系統(tǒng)廣義矩估計分析中國對東盟國家直接投資的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)；建立灰色關(guān)聯(lián)分析模型研究直接投資的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化效應(yīng)。 通過上述研究分析,得出以下幾點(diǎn)結(jié)論： 第一,中國對東盟國家的直接投資具有多種投資動因：市場導(dǎo)向型動因、資源導(dǎo)向型動因、貿(mào)易驅(qū)動型動因、中國自身發(fā)展型動因、政策驅(qū)動型動因。 第二,中國東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建立為中國對東盟直接投資帶來了明顯的投資創(chuàng)造和投資轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)。區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化促進(jìn)了中國對東盟國家的直接投資；同時,中國對東盟國家的直接投資也加深了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作,促進(jìn)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化進(jìn)程。 第三,中國對東盟國家的直接投資具有明顯的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng),區(qū)域間FDI的流入極大的促進(jìn)了東盟國家經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,深化區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作。 第四,整體而言,中國對東盟國家的直接投資對東盟國家的產(chǎn)業(yè)優(yōu)化具有明顯的促進(jìn)作用。中國對新加坡第三產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資促進(jìn)了其產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化；對第二層次的東盟國家菲律賓、馬來西亞、泰國在第二產(chǎn)業(yè)的直接投資促進(jìn)對其產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化；對于第三層次的東盟國家,印度尼西亞和越南,中國在第二、三產(chǎn)業(yè)投資推動其產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化；第四層次的東盟國家,為典型的農(nóng)業(yè)國家,中國對其直接投資具有明顯的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化效應(yīng)。
[Abstract]:Since the establishment of "101" China-ASEAN Free Trade area (CAFTAA), in particular, the China-ASEAN Free Trade area Investment Agreement has been signed. It further promotes the development of foreign direct investment (FDI) in the region. Among them, the scale of China's direct investment in ASEAN continues to expand. The inflow of FDI has brought about rapid economic development in the region and the optimization of the industrial structure. It is of great economic and political significance to improve the economic efficiency and the ability to open to the outside world of member countries. The economic effect of FDI has been widely studied. Therefore, this paper studies the economic effects of China's direct investment in ASEAN under the framework of CAFTA. First of all, from the investment scale, industry distribution, country composition analysis of China's direct investment in ASEAN, as well as the development of the status quo, as well as investment motivation; secondly, to establish a dynamic panel data model, An empirical study on the investment creation and investment transfer effect of direct investment is made by using the system generalized matrix estimation method. Finally, the ASEAN countries are taken as the main body of the study. The economic growth effect of China's direct investment to ASEAN countries is analyzed by system generalized moment estimation, and the industrial structure optimization effect of direct investment is studied by establishing grey relational analysis model. The following conclusions are drawn through the above research and analysis: first, China's direct investment in ASEAN countries has a variety of motives: market-oriented, resource-oriented, trade-driven, China's own development, policy-driven motivation. The establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area has brought about obvious investment creation and investment transfer effect for China's direct investment to ASEAN. Regional economic integration has promoted China's direct investment in ASEAN countries; at the same time, China's direct investment in ASEAN countries has also deepened regional economic cooperation and promoted the process of regional economic integration. China's direct investment in ASEAN countries has obvious economic growth effect. The inflow of inter-regional FDI has greatly promoted the economic growth of ASEAN countries and deepened regional economic cooperation. China's direct investment in ASEAN countries plays an important role in industrial optimization of ASEAN countries. China's investment in Singapore's tertiary industry has promoted the optimization of its industrial structure, and its industrial structure has been optimized by direct investment in the second tier of ASEAN countries, the Philippines, Malaysia and Thailand. For the third level of ASEAN countries, Indonesia and Vietnam, China's investment in the second and third industries promotes the optimization of its industrial structure; the fourth level of ASEAN countries is a typical agricultural country. China's direct investment has obvious industrial structure optimization effect.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：昆明理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F832.6

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