本文關(guān)鍵詞： 港幣替代 人民幣化 離岸人民幣 人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)　出處：《西南交通大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：隨著世界各國(guó)和地區(qū)金融經(jīng)濟(jì)聯(lián)系的日益密切,金融經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間的相互影響日益加深。在當(dāng)今世界以強(qiáng)勢(shì)美元為國(guó)際貨幣金融體系核心的條件下,各國(guó)和地區(qū)的美元化現(xiàn)象甚為普遍。然而,改革開(kāi)放30余年以來(lái),我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展取得了舉世矚目的成就,宏觀經(jīng)濟(jì)實(shí)力迅速增強(qiáng),金融服務(wù)水平顯著提高,使得人民幣的國(guó)際地位不斷提升,人民幣的國(guó)際化進(jìn)程逐漸加快。就目前而言,人民幣事實(shí)上已經(jīng)成為我國(guó)周邊接壤國(guó)家和港澳地區(qū)的硬通貨,使得境外越來(lái)越多的人們持有人民幣。因此,在殘酷的“達(dá)爾文式”的貨幣競(jìng)爭(zhēng)中,我國(guó)美元化的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)越來(lái)越低,而人民幣替代他國(guó)或地區(qū)貨幣即“人民幣化”的現(xiàn)象日益顯現(xiàn),而這其中又以香港地區(qū)尤為明顯。 香港作為我國(guó)離岸金融中心建設(shè)發(fā)展的首選之地,其發(fā)展帶來(lái)了人民幣在香港的大規(guī)模集聚和流通使用。人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)的快速發(fā)展使得人民幣已經(jīng)成為香港地區(qū)的“第二貨幣”。這就產(chǎn)生了香港離岸人民幣對(duì)港幣的替代性問(wèn)題,即人民幣化現(xiàn)象。 本文基于人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)發(fā)展的實(shí)際,結(jié)合經(jīng)濟(jì)金融理論知識(shí)和前人貨幣替代理論的研究成果,對(duì)人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)發(fā)展過(guò)程中產(chǎn)生的離岸人民幣對(duì)港幣的替代性問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了初步研究。全文共可分為六個(gè)部分：第一部分是緒論,主要闡述了研究的背景及國(guó)內(nèi)外對(duì)于貨幣替代理論研究的現(xiàn)狀；第二部分是對(duì)人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)的發(fā)展進(jìn)行了概述,闡明了其發(fā)展的規(guī)模及影響；第三部分是對(duì)人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)發(fā)展中帶來(lái)的離岸人民幣對(duì)港幣的替代程度進(jìn)行了衡量,以證明香港人民幣化的強(qiáng)弱并分析了影響港幣替代的相關(guān)因素；第四部分是對(duì)影響離岸人民幣替代港幣的因素進(jìn)行了實(shí)證的分析說(shuō)明；第五部分是對(duì)香港人民幣化現(xiàn)象帶來(lái)的影響及其未來(lái)發(fā)展應(yīng)采取的對(duì)策進(jìn)行了論述；最后是文章的結(jié)論部分,總攬全文五部分的分析研究成果,得出對(duì)人民幣香港離岸市場(chǎng)發(fā)展對(duì)港幣替代影響研究的幾點(diǎn)結(jié)論。
[Abstract]:With the increasingly close financial and economic ties between countries and regions in the world, the mutual influence between financial and economic development is deepening day by day. Under the condition that the strong dollar is the core of the international monetary and financial system in the world today. The dollarization of various countries and regions is very common. However, since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, China's economic development has made remarkable achievements, the macroeconomic strength has been rapidly enhanced, and the level of financial services has improved significantly. As a result, the international status of RMB has been improved, and the internationalization process of RMB has been accelerated gradually. At present, RMB has in fact become the hard currency of China's neighboring countries and Hong Kong and Macao regions. Therefore, in the cruel "Darwinian" currency competition, the risk of dollarization in China is getting lower and lower. And the phenomenon of RMB replacing other countries or regional currencies, known as "RMB", is becoming more and more obvious, especially in Hong Kong. Hong Kong is the first choice for the construction and development of offshore financial center in China. The rapid development of the offshore market of RMB in Hong Kong has made RMB become the "second currency" in Hong Kong. This raises the alternative issue of the offshore renminbi in Hong Kong against the Hong Kong dollar. Namely, the phenomenon of RMB. This paper is based on the development of RMB offshore market in Hong Kong, combined with economic and financial theory knowledge and previous research results of currency substitution theory. This paper makes a preliminary study on the substitution of offshore renminbi to Hong Kong dollar in the course of the development of offshore market of RMB in Hong Kong. The full text can be divided into six parts: the first part is the introduction. Mainly elaborated the research background and the domestic and foreign regarding the currency substitution theory research present situation; The second part summarizes the development of RMB offshore market in Hong Kong and expounds the scale and influence of its development. The third part is to measure the degree of substitution of offshore RMB to Hong Kong currency brought about by the development of offshore market in Hong Kong, to prove the strength of RMB in Hong Kong and to analyze the relevant factors that affect the substitution of Hong Kong dollar. The 4th part is an empirical analysis of the factors that affect the offshore RMB replacing Hong Kong dollar. Part 5th discusses the impact of RMB phenomenon in Hong Kong and the countermeasures to be taken in the future development. The last part is the conclusion of the article, which summarizes the research results of five parts, and draws some conclusions on the impact of the development of the offshore market of RMB on Hong Kong dollar substitution.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F832.6;F822

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