人民幣香港離岸市場發(fā)展對港幣的替代影響研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-24 03:32
本文關鍵詞: 港幣替代 人民幣化 離岸人民幣 人民幣香港離岸市場 出處:《西南交通大學》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文
【摘要】:隨著世界各國和地區(qū)金融經(jīng)濟聯(lián)系的日益密切,金融經(jīng)濟發(fā)展間的相互影響日益加深。在當今世界以強勢美元為國際貨幣金融體系核心的條件下,各國和地區(qū)的美元化現(xiàn)象甚為普遍。然而,改革開放30余年以來,我國的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展取得了舉世矚目的成就,宏觀經(jīng)濟實力迅速增強,金融服務水平顯著提高,使得人民幣的國際地位不斷提升,人民幣的國際化進程逐漸加快。就目前而言,人民幣事實上已經(jīng)成為我國周邊接壤國家和港澳地區(qū)的硬通貨,使得境外越來越多的人們持有人民幣。因此,在殘酷的“達爾文式”的貨幣競爭中,我國美元化的風險越來越低,而人民幣替代他國或地區(qū)貨幣即“人民幣化”的現(xiàn)象日益顯現(xiàn),而這其中又以香港地區(qū)尤為明顯。 香港作為我國離岸金融中心建設發(fā)展的首選之地,其發(fā)展帶來了人民幣在香港的大規(guī)模集聚和流通使用。人民幣香港離岸市場的快速發(fā)展使得人民幣已經(jīng)成為香港地區(qū)的“第二貨幣”。這就產(chǎn)生了香港離岸人民幣對港幣的替代性問題,即人民幣化現(xiàn)象。 本文基于人民幣香港離岸市場發(fā)展的實際,結合經(jīng)濟金融理論知識和前人貨幣替代理論的研究成果,對人民幣香港離岸市場發(fā)展過程中產(chǎn)生的離岸人民幣對港幣的替代性問題進行了初步研究。全文共可分為六個部分:第一部分是緒論,主要闡述了研究的背景及國內(nèi)外對于貨幣替代理論研究的現(xiàn)狀;第二部分是對人民幣香港離岸市場的發(fā)展進行了概述,闡明了其發(fā)展的規(guī)模及影響;第三部分是對人民幣香港離岸市場發(fā)展中帶來的離岸人民幣對港幣的替代程度進行了衡量,以證明香港人民幣化的強弱并分析了影響港幣替代的相關因素;第四部分是對影響離岸人民幣替代港幣的因素進行了實證的分析說明;第五部分是對香港人民幣化現(xiàn)象帶來的影響及其未來發(fā)展應采取的對策進行了論述;最后是文章的結論部分,總攬全文五部分的分析研究成果,得出對人民幣香港離岸市場發(fā)展對港幣替代影響研究的幾點結論。
[Abstract]:With the increasingly close financial and economic ties between countries and regions in the world, the mutual influence between financial and economic development is deepening day by day. Under the condition that the strong dollar is the core of the international monetary and financial system in the world today. The dollarization of various countries and regions is very common. However, since the reform and opening up more than 30 years ago, China's economic development has made remarkable achievements, the macroeconomic strength has been rapidly enhanced, and the level of financial services has improved significantly. As a result, the international status of RMB has been improved, and the internationalization process of RMB has been accelerated gradually. At present, RMB has in fact become the hard currency of China's neighboring countries and Hong Kong and Macao regions. Therefore, in the cruel "Darwinian" currency competition, the risk of dollarization in China is getting lower and lower. And the phenomenon of RMB replacing other countries or regional currencies, known as "RMB", is becoming more and more obvious, especially in Hong Kong. Hong Kong is the first choice for the construction and development of offshore financial center in China. The rapid development of the offshore market of RMB in Hong Kong has made RMB become the "second currency" in Hong Kong. This raises the alternative issue of the offshore renminbi in Hong Kong against the Hong Kong dollar. Namely, the phenomenon of RMB. This paper is based on the development of RMB offshore market in Hong Kong, combined with economic and financial theory knowledge and previous research results of currency substitution theory. This paper makes a preliminary study on the substitution of offshore renminbi to Hong Kong dollar in the course of the development of offshore market of RMB in Hong Kong. The full text can be divided into six parts: the first part is the introduction. Mainly elaborated the research background and the domestic and foreign regarding the currency substitution theory research present situation; The second part summarizes the development of RMB offshore market in Hong Kong and expounds the scale and influence of its development. The third part is to measure the degree of substitution of offshore RMB to Hong Kong currency brought about by the development of offshore market in Hong Kong, to prove the strength of RMB in Hong Kong and to analyze the relevant factors that affect the substitution of Hong Kong dollar. The 4th part is an empirical analysis of the factors that affect the offshore RMB replacing Hong Kong dollar. Part 5th discusses the impact of RMB phenomenon in Hong Kong and the countermeasures to be taken in the future development. The last part is the conclusion of the article, which summarizes the research results of five parts, and draws some conclusions on the impact of the development of the offshore market of RMB on Hong Kong dollar substitution.
【學位授予單位】:西南交通大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F832.6;F822
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