本文選題：流行病學(xué)　切入點(diǎn)：發(fā)病率　出處：《中國(guó)公共衛(wèi)生》2017年04期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：目的分析福建省2004—2015年淋病疫情流行病學(xué)特征及未來趨勢(shì),為制定防治策略提供科學(xué)依據(jù)。方法對(duì)2004—2015年福建省淋病病例報(bào)告資料進(jìn)行統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,應(yīng)用灰色系統(tǒng)GM(1,1)建立淋病發(fā)病率預(yù)測(cè)模型。結(jié)果淋病報(bào)告發(fā)病率從2004年的21.92/10萬下降為2015年的13.88/10萬,呈下降趨勢(shì)(χ~2=692.485,P0.01)。發(fā)病率以25~29歲年齡組為最高。報(bào)告病例較多的地區(qū)為經(jīng)濟(jì)較發(fā)達(dá)的泉州、廈門和福州市。男性報(bào)告病例數(shù)明顯超過女性,男女性別比在逐年增大。預(yù)測(cè)福建省2016—2018年淋病發(fā)病率仍然呈下降趨勢(shì)。結(jié)論福建省淋病發(fā)病率雖然呈下降趨勢(shì),但各種感染危險(xiǎn)因素依然存在,需要根據(jù)淋病的流行特點(diǎn)采取有效的措施控制淋病的傳播與蔓延。
[Abstract]:Objective to analyze the epidemiological characteristics and future trend of gonorrhea in Fujian Province from 2004 to 2015, and to provide a scientific basis for making prevention and control strategies. Methods the data of gonorrhea case reports from 2004 to 2015 in Fujian Province were statistically analyzed. Results the reported incidence rate of gonorrhea decreased from 21.92% / 100 000 in 2004 to 138.8% / 100 000 in 2015. The incidence rate was the highest in the 250-29 age group. The areas with more reported cases were Quanzhou, Xiamen and Fuzhou, where the economy was more developed. The number of reported cases in males was significantly higher than that in females. It is predicted that the incidence of gonorrhea in Fujian Province will continue to decrease from 2016 to 2018. Conclusion although the incidence of gonorrhea in Fujian Province is decreasing, all kinds of infection risk factors still exist. According to the epidemic characteristics of gonorrhea, effective measures should be taken to control the spread and spread of gonorrhea.
【作者單位】： 福建省疾病預(yù)防控制中心性病與艾滋病防制科;
【基金】：福建省衛(wèi)生系統(tǒng)中青年骨干人才培養(yǎng)項(xiàng)目(2013-zqn-jc-10)
【分類號(hào)】：R181.3;R759.2

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