【摘要】：目的探討手足口病發(fā)病趨勢(shì)與氣候溫度的關(guān)系,為手足口病防控提供依據(jù)。方法從中國(guó)疾病預(yù)防控制信息系統(tǒng)、連云港氣象局分別收集整理手足口病發(fā)病數(shù)據(jù)和氣候溫度數(shù)據(jù),用R3.1.2分別作手足口病發(fā)病趨勢(shì)圖和氣候溫度變化圖,對(duì)比研究?jī)烧咧g的關(guān)系。結(jié)果手足口病發(fā)病趨勢(shì)圖呈現(xiàn)雙峰,在第一峰出現(xiàn)之前,手足口病呈低水平發(fā)病;第一個(gè)峰起點(diǎn)出現(xiàn)的時(shí)間不一定,一般在外界環(huán)境平均溫度達(dá)10℃以上時(shí)出現(xiàn),在達(dá)到16℃左右時(shí),手足口病發(fā)病呈直線上升,并在22周左右出現(xiàn)出現(xiàn)峰值,此時(shí)氣候溫度在24℃左右,但氣候手足口病發(fā)病呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢(shì),在經(jīng)過(guò)氣候最高溫度后達(dá)到終點(diǎn);第一個(gè)峰的峰值遠(yuǎn)遠(yuǎn)大于第二個(gè)峰。結(jié)論手足口病第一峰一般在氣候溫度達(dá)到10℃以上出現(xiàn),可以作為手足口病防控的一個(gè)參考標(biāo)準(zhǔn)。根據(jù)本文研究結(jié)果及相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)得出假設(shè):氣候溫度適合兒童進(jìn)行室外活動(dòng)時(shí),接觸腸道病毒的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)增高,手足口病發(fā)病增多;而若是氣候溫度不適合兒童活動(dòng)時(shí),則手足口病發(fā)病較少。
[Abstract]:Objective to explore the relationship between the incidence trend of hand, foot and mouth disease (HFMD) and the climate temperature, and to provide evidence for the prevention and control of HFMD. Methods from the China Disease Prevention and Control Information system, Lianyungang Meteorological Bureau collected and collated the HFMD incidence data and climate temperature data, and used R3.1.2 to make the HFMD incidence trend map and climate temperature change map, respectively. A comparative study of the relationship between the two. Results the trend map of HFMD showed two peaks, and before the first peak appeared, HFMD showed a low level of incidence. The time at which the first peak appeared was not certain. It generally appeared when the average ambient temperature was more than 10 鈩，

本文編號(hào)：2403679