本文選題：城市配送 + 配送資源　； 參考：《北京交通大學》2016年博士論文

【摘要】：配送系統(tǒng)是物流系統(tǒng)末端功能得以實現(xiàn)的重要依托。隨著我國全面深化改革,持續(xù)推進產(chǎn)業(yè)結構調整和新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設,現(xiàn)代化生產(chǎn)模式、商業(yè)業(yè)態(tài)和消費者消費方式等不斷變革,配送需求的規(guī)�？焖贁U大,需求形式多樣化的趨勢明顯,城市配送資源整合問題受到廣泛關注。在環(huán)境污染形勢不斷嚴峻、城市交通壓力快速加大等背景下,充分整合設施、車輛、設備等配送資源,提高配送資源利用率,促進配送系統(tǒng)與經(jīng)濟、民生、環(huán)境、交通等系統(tǒng)的協(xié)同發(fā)展是轉變傳統(tǒng)模式,推動產(chǎn)業(yè)變革的重要途徑。因此,按照系統(tǒng)觀點對配送資源整合問題進行深入研究,立足于城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的中觀視角,明確城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的演化機理和過程,并合理地對整合水平進行評價,將有助于推進配送系統(tǒng)與城市經(jīng)濟、環(huán)境、交通等系統(tǒng)的協(xié)同發(fā)展。本文所做的主要研究工作如下：(1)在文獻研究的基礎上,對配送資源的概念、內涵及各類配送資源的個性和共性特征進行了分析,對配送資源整合的動因做了歸納。按照系統(tǒng)論的一般原理,分析了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的結構,將系統(tǒng)分為配送資源供給和配送資源需求兩大子系統(tǒng),明確了系統(tǒng)具有的復雜性、自組織性和動態(tài)性等特征,并將城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的目標確定為動態(tài)適應配送需求、提升配送資源效率和促進配送系統(tǒng)與其他系統(tǒng)協(xié)同發(fā)展三個方面。(2)揭示了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)自組織演化機理。城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)是開放系統(tǒng),具備自組織系統(tǒng)的特征,系統(tǒng)要素之間存在非線性作用關系。本文運用博弈論證明了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)自組織涌現(xiàn)的存在,并重點采用熵判據(jù)和序參量判據(jù)的方法對系統(tǒng)的自組織演化過程進行了研究。首先,利用信息熵和熱力學第二定律建立了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的熵變模型,對其熵變條件和熵交換進行了分析,并借助布魯塞爾器模型(Brusselator Model)判定了系統(tǒng)耗散結構的形成條件及其穩(wěn)定性。其次,明確了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)兩大子系統(tǒng)的狀態(tài)參量,采用DEMATEL方法對17個狀態(tài)參量進行了序參量識別,確定了配送資源主體數(shù)量和配送服務需求總量兩大序參量,并以邏輯斯蒂(Logisti c)方程為原型,分別構建了單序參量和雙序參量條件下的配送資源整合演化模型,對城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的演化規(guī)律及特征進行了研究。(3)研究了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的演化過程。為進一步研究城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)演化過程中要素間的作用關系和外界環(huán)境對系統(tǒng)的影響,更全面的解釋配送資源整合這一復雜、動態(tài)問題,本文在充分考慮了系統(tǒng)外生變量的影響和必要的模型假定條件的基礎上,明確了配送資源供給和配送資源需求兩大子系統(tǒng)的要素因果關系和主要反饋回路,并進一步細分為73個模型參數(shù),借助VENSIM仿真工具建立了系統(tǒng)流圖和結構方程,構建了配送資源整合的系統(tǒng)動力學模型。(4)構建了城市配送資源整合水平評價模型。本文根據(jù)系統(tǒng)評價理論,圍繞三大系統(tǒng)目標建立了配送資源整合水平的評價指標體系,并基于復合系統(tǒng)協(xié)調度模型(CSCD)和廣義回歸神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡(GRNN)方法對配送資源整合水平的評價開展研究,利用MATLAB軟件,依托北京、上海、廣州等5個不同特征的城市基礎數(shù)據(jù)建立了CSCD-GRNN配送資源整合水平評價模型,為全面客觀的評估配送資源整合水平提供了合理的方法。(5)對北京市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)進行了實證研究。在理論研究的基礎上,以北京市為例驗證了的城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)動力學模型的有效性,針對北京市配送資源整合進行了VENSIM模型仿真和政策模擬,并以北京市2005-2014年期間的城市配送資源整合情況為評價對象,利用CSCD-GRNN評價模型進行了配送資源整合水平評價。結合實證研究,認為北京市應進一步通過推動配送領域技術進步、推動資源共享、鼓勵連鎖及電商業(yè)態(tài)發(fā)展、強化城市配送公共信息平臺建設等措施促進配送資源整合,提升資源效率和改善系統(tǒng)效果。在研究過程中,本文基于自組織理論、系統(tǒng)動力學、神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡等相關理論基礎和適用方法,分別構建了城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的耗散結構模型、系統(tǒng)演化模型,系統(tǒng)動力學模型以及配送資源整合水平評價模型。同時以北京市為具體對象,對其城市配送資源整合系統(tǒng)的動力學機制和整合水平進行了實證研究,使得本文在有一定理論創(chuàng)新和實踐指導意義。
[Abstract]:The distribution system is an important support for the realization of the terminal function of the logistics system. With the deepening of the reform in China, the continuous reform of the industrial structure adjustment and the new urbanization, the modern production mode, the commercial format and the consumer consumption mode are constantly changing, the pattern of distribution demand is rapidly expanding, and the trend of the diversification of demand forms is obvious. The integration of urban distribution resources has been widely concerned. In the context of the severe environmental pollution situation and the rapid increase of urban traffic pressure, the comprehensive integration of facilities, vehicles, equipment and other distribution resources, improving the utilization of distribution resources, promoting the coordinated development of the distribution system and economy, the livelihood of the people, the environment, traffic and other systems is the transformation of the traditional mode, Therefore, according to the system viewpoint, it is important to study the integration of distribution resources. Based on the middle view of urban distribution resources integration system, the evolution mechanism and process of urban distribution resource integration system and the evaluation of the integration level reasonably will help to promote the distribution system and the city. The main research work of this paper is as follows: (1) on the basis of literature research, the concept, connotation, personality and common characteristics of distribution resources are analyzed, and the motivation of distribution resources integration is summarized. According to the general principle of system theory, the city is analyzed. The structure of distribution resource integration system is divided into two subsystems, which are distribution resources supply and distribution resource demand. The system has the characteristics of complexity, self-organization and dynamics, and the goal of urban distribution resource integration system is determined as dynamic adaptation to distribution requirements, and the efficiency of distribution resources and the promotion of distribution system are promoted. The other systems develop in three aspects. (2) the self-organization evolution mechanism of urban distribution resource integration system is revealed. The urban distribution resource integration system is an open system with the characteristics of the self-organizing system and the nonlinear relationship between the system elements. This paper uses the game theory to prove that the urban distribution resource integration system emerges from the self-organization. The entropy criterion and the order parameter criterion are used to study the self organization evolution process of the system. Firstly, entropy and the second law of thermodynamics are used to establish the entropy change model of the urban distribution resource integration system, and the entropy change condition and entropy exchange are analyzed, and the Brussels model (Brusselator) is used. Model) determines the formation conditions and stability of the dissipative structure of the system. Secondly, the state parameters of the two subsystems of the urban distribution resource integration system are defined. The DEMATEL method is used to identify the order parameters of the 17 state parameters, and the number of distribution resources and the total quantity of distribution service demand are two order parameters, and the logic is used. The Logisti C equation is the prototype. The integration and evolution model of distribution resources under the condition of single order parameter and double order parameter is constructed respectively. The evolution law and characteristics of urban distribution resource integration system are studied. (3) the evolution process of urban distribution resource integration system is studied. On the basis of fully considering the influence of the exogenous variables and the necessary model assumptions, the factors of the two subsystems of distribution resources supply and distribution resource demand are clarified. The causal relationship and the main feedback loop are further divided into 73 model parameters, and the system flow chart and structural equation are established with the aid of VENSIM simulation tools. The system dynamics model of distribution resources integration is constructed. (4) the evaluation model of urban distribution resources integration level is constructed. According to the system evaluation theory, this paper is built around three system objectives. The evaluation index system of distribution resources integration level is established, and based on the complex system coordination degree model (CSCD) and generalized regression neural network (GRNN) method, the evaluation of distribution resources integration level is studied. The CSCD-GRNN distribution resources are established by using MATLAB software, relying on 5 different urban basic data such as Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou and so on. The integration level evaluation model provides a reasonable method for the comprehensive and objective evaluation of distribution resources integration level. (5) an empirical study of Beijing distribution resources integration system is carried out. Based on the theoretical research, the effectiveness of the dynamic model of urban distribution resources integration system is verified by Beijing as an example, and the distribution resources in Beijing are given. VENSIM model simulation and policy simulation are carried out by source integration, and the integration of urban distribution resources in Beijing for 2005-2014 years is considered as the evaluation object. CSCD-GRNN evaluation model is used to evaluate the integration level of distribution resources. Combined with empirical research, it is believed that Beijing city should further promote the development of Technology in the field of distribution and promote resource sharing. Enjoy, encourage chain and e-commerce development, strengthen the construction of urban distribution public information platform and other measures to promote the integration of distribution resources, improve the efficiency of resources and improve the effect of the system. In the course of the study, this paper builds urban distribution resources based on the theory of self-organization, system dynamics, neural network and other related theories and applicable methods. The dissipative structure model, the system evolution model, the system dynamics model and the level evaluation model of distribution resources integration are integrated, and the dynamic mechanism and the integration level of the urban distribution resource integration system are studied by the Beijing city as the specific object, which makes this article have some theoretical and practical guiding significance.
【學位授予單位】：北京交通大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F259.2
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本文編號：1994158