本文選題：亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷　切入點：TPP　出處：《對外經(jīng)濟貿易大學》2016年博士論文

【摘要】：2007年10月,黨的十七大報告首次明確提出中國要"實施自由貿易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略,加強雙邊多邊經(jīng)貿合作"。2012年11月,十八大報告再次強調中國要"統(tǒng)籌雙邊、多邊、區(qū)域、次區(qū)域開放合作,加快實施自由貿易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略,推動同周邊國家互聯(lián)互通"。十八屆三中、五中全會進一步要求,立足周邊,加快實施自由貿易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略,形成輻射全球的高標準自貿區(qū)網(wǎng)絡。2015年12月,國務院發(fā)布了第一份關于自貿區(qū)建設的戰(zhàn)略性、綜合性文件——《關于加快實施自貿區(qū)戰(zhàn)略的若干意見》,從頂層設計了未來自貿區(qū)建設,明確提出了具體目標和措施。中國對推進自貿區(qū)建設工作的重視程度可見一斑。而對亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷進行系統(tǒng)、深入研究有助于正確判斷國際和亞太地區(qū)經(jīng)濟合作環(huán)境,找準中國參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的定位,有助于我國更好地實施和推進自貿區(qū)戰(zhàn)略。基于此,本文研究了亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷、主要參與方利益博弈及中國對策。本文認為,亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作若以1997年和2008年為界限,大致可以劃分為三個階段:第一階段(1989—1997年),這一時期以APEC為主導。APEC在這期間處于發(fā)展的鼎盛時期,確立了組織形式、宗旨、目標、合作原則等,提出了發(fā)展目標——茂物目標,對推動貿易投資自由化、便利化和促進經(jīng)濟技術合作起到了一定的作用。第二階段(1997—2008年),這一時期以東盟為主導的亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作為特征。東盟建立了一系列"東盟+N"機制,包括"10+1"、"10+3"、"10+6"機制。東亞地區(qū)也因此形成了"小馬拉大車"的合作格局。第三階段(2008年—至今),這一時期,美國遭受全球金融危機的重創(chuàng),奧巴馬上臺后,推出"亞太再平衡"戰(zhàn)略,憑借TPP介入亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作。自此,東盟主導的東亞區(qū)域.經(jīng)濟合作進程被打破,東盟提出RCEP應對TPP的沖擊。繼之,在中國的倡導下,亞太各方于2014年APEC北京領導人非正式會議決定對FTAAP進行聯(lián)合戰(zhàn)略研究,并一致同意盡快啟動FTAAP進程。這樣,亞太地區(qū)形成了 TPP與RCEP兩大機制并存,同時醞釀推動FTAAP的局面。本文分為七章。第一章為緒論,介紹了選題背景及意義,有關研究概念的界定,國內外研究現(xiàn)狀述評,研究內容和論文結構,研究思路與研究方法,創(chuàng)新和不足。第二章運用經(jīng)濟學和國際關系理論,結合亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制的整體演變,分析了亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制形成及變遷。第三章至第五章分別分析了 TPP、RCEP、APEC/FTAAP的發(fā)展演變及其對亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷的影響。第六章結合亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主要參與方的亞太戰(zhàn)略,探討其相互間的利益博弈,判斷亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的未來發(fā)展趨勢。第七章論述中國參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的現(xiàn)狀,并結合亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷情況及實證分析結果,提出中國參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的對策。本文主要研究內容和結論具體如下:第一,對亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷的原因進行了國際政治經(jīng)濟分析。首先,亞太地區(qū)主要經(jīng)濟體在亞太地區(qū)的權力角逐引發(fā)了該地區(qū)經(jīng)濟合作機制的變遷。其次,全球金融危機打破了東亞和美國家之間既存的生產(chǎn)和消費的關系。美國強勢推進TPP,攪亂了東盟主導的東亞區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作進程,推動該區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制進一步發(fā)生變遷。再次,APEC存在的問題致使其集體行動成本增加,運行效率低下,陷入了集體行動困境。各成員無奈之下轉向其他區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制。最后,亞太地區(qū)各國經(jīng)濟、政治、文化上的多樣性在一定程度上決定著亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作進程的長期性和復雜性,伴隨著多機制并存,競爭性合作。第二,厘清TPP、RCEP、APEC/FTAAP對亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制變遷的影響。TPP為亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作賦予了新的元素,推動亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制朝多元方向發(fā)展。TPP沖擊了現(xiàn)存區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制,催生了 RCEP,兩大機制相互制衡;RCEP將在一定程度上加強東盟主導的東亞區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制建設。RCEP加入門檻相對較低,為發(fā)展中國家參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作提供了機會;APEC停滯不前引發(fā)了亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的變遷。FTAAP的提出為亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制整合提供了目標。第三,結合亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主要參與方的亞太戰(zhàn)略,分析其相互間的利益博弈,判斷亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作未來發(fā)展趨勢。亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主要參與方的利益博弈表現(xiàn)在對東亞和亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主導權的爭奪上。美國推進"亞太再平衡"戰(zhàn)略謀取亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主導權,東盟推進"大國平衡"戰(zhàn)略維持其在東亞地區(qū)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主導權,日本在中、美之間搞平衡,角逐東亞乃至亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主導權,韓國致力于成為連結亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制的關鍵鏈條,印、澳、新積極融入亞太權力體系,期冀分得一杯羹。2015年,APEC領導人非正式會議明確指出,TPP和RCEP是未來實現(xiàn)FTAAP的基礎。TPP、RCEP兩大機制未來發(fā)展趨勢存在三種可能:RCEP逐步并入TPP后融合為FTAAP;TPP和RCEP趨同后融合成FTAAP;TPP和RCEP納入FTAAP談判。然而,未來的亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作機制如何發(fā)展,主要取決于主要參與方的利益博弈和亞太地區(qū)的現(xiàn)實發(fā)展需要。第四,基于中國參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的現(xiàn)狀和之前章節(jié)的理論分析以及實證分析結果,提出中國未來參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的對策。使用綜合貿易份額指數(shù)、拓展后的貿易密集指數(shù)、HM指數(shù)分析了中國與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作主要參與方的貿易依賴程度,結合現(xiàn)有的關于TPP、RCEP、FTAAP對中國經(jīng)濟影響的CGE模型分析結果以及之前章節(jié)的理論分析,提出中國未來參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作的對策:多層次、全方位參與亞太區(qū)域經(jīng)濟合作;建設高水平自貿區(qū),推進自貿協(xié)定深度一體化;妥善處理中美關系,積極探索雙邊合作途徑。
[Abstract]:In October 2007, the report of the Seventeenth Party Congress put forward clearly for the first time Chinese "implementation of the strategy of free trade zones, strengthen bilateral and multilateral trade and economic cooperation".2012 in November, eighteen report again Chinese to "coordinate bilateral, multilateral, regional and sub regional cooperation and opening up, accelerate the implementation of the strategy of free trade zones, promoting the interconnection with neighboring countries." Eighteen third, Fifth Plenary Session further requirements, based on the periphery, speeding up the implementation of the strategy of free trade zones, the formation of a high standard FTA network.2015 global radiation in December, the State Council issued the first report on the construction of the FTA strategy, a comprehensive document on accelerating the implementation of the FTA Strategy -- "a number of opinions", from the top-level design of the future free trade area. Clearly put forward specific targets and measures. The degree of China attention to promote free trade area construction work remarkable. The Asia Pacific Regional economic cooperation mechanism The transition of system, in-depth research is helpful to the correct judgement of the international and Asia Pacific economic cooperation environment, identify the location Chinese participation in economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region, it can help China better promoting the implementation of the FTA strategy. Based on this, this paper studies the change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific, the main parties involved in the interests of the game and China countermeasures this paper argues that economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region in 1997 and 2008 as the boundary, can be roughly divided into three stages: the first stage (1989 - 1997), this period led to APEC.APEC in its heyday. During this period, the establishment of the organization, purpose, objectives, principles of cooperation, put forward the development goal: the Bogor goals, to promote trade and investment liberalization and facilitation to a certain extent and promote economic and technological cooperation. The second stage (1997 - 2008), this time to ASEAN For the Asia Pacific regional economic cooperation oriented characteristics. ASEAN has established a series of ASEAN +N mechanism, including "10+1", "10+3", "10+6" mechanism. In East Asia, and therefore the formation of "small horse cart" cooperation pattern. The third stage (2008 - present), during this period, the United States by the global financial crisis hit, after Obama took office, launched the "Asia Pacific rebalancing strategy, with the intervention of TPP economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region. Since then, the ASEAN led East Asia regional economic cooperation process. ASEAN is broken, put forward RCEP in response to the impact of TPP. Then, in the China initiative, the Asia Pacific parties on 2014 APEC in Beijing the informal meeting of leaders decided to conduct joint research on FTAAP strategy, and agreed to start the FTAAP process as soon as possible. In this way, the formation of the Asia Pacific region TPP and RCEP coexistence of the two mechanisms, and promote the brewing FTAAP Bureau. This paper is divided into seven chapters. The first chapter is the introduction, introduction Describes the background and significance of the research, defines related concepts, review of domestic and international research, research content and the paper structure, research ideas and research methods, innovations and shortcomings. The second chapter uses the theory of economics and international relations, combined with the overall regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific evolution, analyzes the formation and change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific third chapter to the fifth chapter separately analyzes the TPP, RCEP, APEC/FTAAP evolution and its influence on the change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific Asia Pacific strategy. The sixth chapter combined with the regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific main party, to explore the mutual interests of the game, determine the future development trend of economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region. The seventh chapter discusses Chinese in the situation of economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region, and combined with the change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific and the empirical analysis results, put forward China's participation in the Asia Pacific Countermeasures for regional economic cooperation. The main research contents and conclusions are as follows: first, because of the change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific has carried on the analysis of international political economy. Firstly, the main body for the Asia Pacific economic power in the Asia Pacific region caused the regional economic cooperation mechanism change. Secondly, the global financial crisis broke the existing production and consumption relations between East Asia and the United States to promote a strong country. TPP, disturbed the ASEAN led East Asia regional economic cooperation process, to further promote the change of the regional economic cooperation mechanism. Thirdly, the problems of APEC resulting in the collective action of increased costs, low efficiency, caught in the dilemma of collective action under the. Other members reluctantly turned to the regional economic cooperation mechanism. Finally, all countries in Asia Pacific economy, politics, cultural diversity determines to a certain extent A long and complex process of economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region, accompanied by a number of mechanisms coexist, competitive cooperation. In second, TPP RCEP APEC/FTAAP, to clarify, influence on the change of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific.TPP for economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region has given new elements, promote regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific in the direction of impact of the existing multiple.TPP the regional economic cooperation mechanism, the birth of RCEP, the two major mechanism; RCEP will to some extent strengthen the ASEAN led East Asia regional economic cooperation mechanism construction of.RCEP with relatively low threshold, provides an opportunity for developing countries to participate in the Asia Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation; APEC proposed.FTAAP changes caused stagnation in the Asia Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation provide a target for the integration of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific. In third, combined with the economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific region the main participants in the Asia Pacific strategy analysis The mutual interests of the game, determine the future development trend of regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific Economic Cooperation in the Asia Pacific region. The interests of the game the main participants in the performance of East Asia and the Asia Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation for the leading power. The United States to promote the Asia Pacific rebalancing strategy for the Asia Pacific Region Economic Cooperation Initiative, ASEAN to promote the "balance of power" the strategy to maintain its regional economic cooperation in East Asia and dominate, in Japan, to seek a balance between the United States and for East Asia and the Asia Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation Initiative, South Korea is committed to becoming a key chain link of regional economic cooperation mechanisms in the Asia Pacific and India, Australia, new active integration into the Asia Pacific power system, hoping to grab a slice of.2015 year, APEC informal leadership meeting clearly pointed out that TPP and RCEP are the future foundation of.TPP FTAAP, there are three possible future development trend of RCEP two: RCEP gradually incorporated into TPP FTAAP TPP and RCEP fusion; convergence after fused into FTAAP; TPP and RCEP included in the FTAAP negotiations. However, how the future of the Asia Pacific regional economic cooperation development, the reality of development mainly depends on the main participants in the interests of the game and the Asia Pacific region. Fourth, current situation China participation in the Asia Pacific Regional Economic Cooperation and the theory of the previous chapter based on the results of analysis and empirical analysis, put forward the Countermeasures China future participation in regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific. The use of comprehensive trade share index, expand the trade intensity index, HM index to analyze the dependence of Chinese and the Asia Pacific regional economic cooperation is mainly involved in the trade, combined with the existing on the TPP, RCEP, CGE analysis results of model the economic impact of FTAAP and China before chapter theory, put forward the Countermeasures Chinese future participation in regional economic cooperation in the Asia Pacific: multi-level, full participation in the Asia Pacific Region Economic cooperation, the construction of a high level Free Trade Zone, the promotion of the deep integration of the free trade agreements, the proper handling of Sino US relations and the active exploration of bilateral cooperation.

【學位授予單位】：對外經(jīng)濟貿易大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F114.46

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