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重慶出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放測算及其效應(yīng)分解

發(fā)布時間:2018-10-25 15:53
【摘要】:無論在馬拉喀什會議上與會代表是否談判落實《巴黎協(xié)定》各項規(guī)定,也不論各國會不會落實“國家自主貢獻(xiàn)”行動,國際貿(mào)易低碳化都已成為全球共識。貿(mào)易低碳發(fā)展呼聲日漸高漲,國家“十三.五”規(guī)劃指出堅持綠色、低碳循環(huán)發(fā)展,著力改善生態(tài)環(huán)境,促進(jìn)人與自然和諧共生。出口貿(mào)易向著低碳化方向發(fā)展,不僅源于外在壓力,同時也是中國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式面臨轉(zhuǎn)型的迫切需要。重慶作為我國自由貿(mào)易試驗區(qū),同時也是我國中心特大型城市,對重慶出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放進(jìn)行測算及效應(yīng)分解十分必要。本文基于此背景,對重慶出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放及效應(yīng)分解進(jìn)行分析。除第一章緒論外,本文還包括五個章節(jié)。第二章主要對相關(guān)概念及理論進(jìn)行論述,認(rèn)為出口貿(mào)易隱含碳是一種隱含碳排放的轉(zhuǎn)移。作為中國內(nèi)陸開放的重要口岸的重慶應(yīng)該秉承可持續(xù)發(fā)展理念,提高治理二氧化碳排放及環(huán)境污染方面的要求,實現(xiàn)出口貿(mào)易低碳化。第三章從數(shù)據(jù)整理分析及投入產(chǎn)出模型出發(fā),對重慶出口貿(mào)易及出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析,分析結(jié)果表明:“新常態(tài)”經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢下,重慶出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模出現(xiàn)略微下降,尤其是進(jìn)口額規(guī)模下降比例較大;重慶大部分行業(yè)在最終產(chǎn)品生產(chǎn)上所消耗的能源較少,大部分能源消耗都在中間投入品的生產(chǎn)中消耗;雖然重慶各行業(yè)單位產(chǎn)值碳排放總體趨勢下降,但出口隱含碳排放規(guī)模卻出現(xiàn)上升趨勢。第四章通過利用因素分解模型,并采用對數(shù)平均迪氏指數(shù)法,對重慶出口貿(mào)易隱含碳進(jìn)行效應(yīng)分解,最終認(rèn)為出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、相關(guān)技術(shù)是影響出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放的重要原因。其中,出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模與重慶出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放量之間存在著正相關(guān)關(guān)系,而技術(shù)和貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)呈現(xiàn)出復(fù)雜的波動。第五章對重慶出口貿(mào)易低碳化路徑及相關(guān)對策進(jìn)行研究,最終認(rèn)為:現(xiàn)階段重慶應(yīng)該遵循國別低碳標(biāo)準(zhǔn),進(jìn)口高碳產(chǎn)品,出口低碳產(chǎn)品;而后階段重慶應(yīng)該調(diào)整貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)和提高低碳技術(shù),進(jìn)口低碳產(chǎn)品,出口低碳產(chǎn)品,使出口貿(mào)易低碳化。接著從出口貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、低碳技術(shù)、能源消費結(jié)構(gòu)、征收碳稅及公民節(jié)能減排意識等方面,為重慶出口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展提供可行的建議。第六章做出研究總結(jié)和研究展望。
[Abstract]:Whether or not delegates at the Marrakech meeting negotiate the implementation of the provisions of the Paris Accords, and whether countries implement the "national contribution" initiative, the low carbonization of international trade has become a global consensus. Trade low-carbon development voice is rising, the country "13." The plan points out that we should persist in green, low-carbon cycle development, improve the ecological environment and promote the harmonious coexistence between man and nature. The development of export trade towards low carbonization is not only due to external pressure, but also an urgent need for the transformation of China's economic growth mode. Chongqing, as a free trade experimental area in China, is also a large central city in China. It is necessary to measure and decompose the implied carbon emissions from Chongqing's export trade. Based on this background, this paper analyzes the implied carbon emissions and effect decomposition of Chongqing export trade. In addition to the first chapter of the introduction, this paper also includes five chapters. The second chapter mainly discusses the related concepts and theories, thinks that the export trade implied carbon is a kind of implied carbon emission transfer. As an important port in China's inland opening, Chongqing should adhere to the concept of sustainable development, raise the requirements of carbon dioxide emissions and environmental pollution, and realize the low carbonization of export trade. The third chapter analyzes the current situation of implied carbon emissions in Chongqing's export trade and export trade from data collation analysis and input-output model. The results show that the scale of Chongqing's export trade decreases slightly under the new normal economic situation. In particular, the scale of import decreases by a large proportion; most industries in Chongqing consume less energy in the production of final products, and most of the energy consumption is consumed in the production of intermediate inputs. Although the overall trend of carbon emissions per unit of output value in Chongqing has declined, the scale of implied carbon emissions in exports has shown an upward trend. In the fourth chapter, by using the factor decomposition model and the logarithmic average Dee index method, the implied carbon of Chongqing export trade is decomposed, and the scale and structure of export trade are concluded. The related technology is the important reason that affects the implied carbon emission of export trade. Among them, there is a positive correlation between the scale of export trade and the implied carbon emissions of Chongqing export trade, while the technology and trade structure show complex fluctuations. The fifth chapter studies the low carbonization path of Chongqing's export trade and the related countermeasures. Finally, it concludes that Chongqing should follow the national low carbon standard, import high carbon products and export low carbon products at the present stage; In the latter stage, Chongqing should adjust its trade structure and improve low-carbon technology, import low-carbon products, export low-carbon products, and make export trade low-carbon. Then, from the aspects of export trade structure, low-carbon technology, energy consumption structure, carbon tax collection and citizens' awareness of energy saving and emission reduction, it provides feasible suggestions for the development of Chongqing's export trade. The sixth chapter makes the research summary and the research prospect.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:重慶工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:X196;F752.62

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