碳價格對我國工業(yè)部門競爭力及減排效應
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-07 00:30
本文關鍵詞:碳價格對我國工業(yè)部門競爭力及減排效應 出處:《科技管理研究》2017年07期 論文類型:期刊論文
更多相關文章: 碳價格 投入產(chǎn)出分析 競爭力影響 減排效果
【摘要】:通過構建擴展的投入產(chǎn)出模型,模擬評價中國各部門因碳價格引入所承受的短期影響,并量化評估為緩解能源密集型和貿(mào)易暴露型部門的競爭力影響所采取的補償減緩措施的效應。分析表明,短期內(nèi)引入與發(fā)達國家相同水平碳價格會對我國產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力產(chǎn)生嚴重損害,能源強度和碳排放強度高的部門承擔了所有工業(yè)部門中的主要成本負擔,能源密集型且高碳排放的行業(yè)因碳價格額外成本導致的價格水平上漲幅度和產(chǎn)出下降幅度更大,貿(mào)易暴露型部門如大部分制造業(yè)的出口下降幅度也較大;緩解措施模擬情景下,對關鍵部門的減緩效應達到原競爭力損失的70%左右,降低了對價格、產(chǎn)出和出口的負面影響,但產(chǎn)生的節(jié)能減排效果會有所削弱。因此,應結合我國不同部門的成本承受能力、需求價格彈性及對不同碳價格水平的反映程度進行調整,制定合適的碳價格策略或采取相應的緩解和補償措施。
[Abstract]:Through the construction of an expanded input-output model, the short-term impact of carbon price introduction in various sectors in China is simulated and evaluated. The effects of compensatory mitigation measures to mitigate the impact of competitiveness in energy-intensive and trade-exposed sectors were quantified. In the short term, the introduction of the same level of carbon price as developed countries will seriously damage the competitiveness of our industry. The sectors with high energy intensity and carbon emission intensity bear the main cost burden in all industrial sectors. In energy-intensive and high-carbon emitting industries, the increase in price level and the decline in output due to the additional cost of carbon prices are even greater, as are the export declines in trade-exposed sectors such as most manufacturing industries; In the simulation scenario of mitigation measures, the mitigation effect on key sectors reached about 70% of the original competitiveness loss, reducing the negative impact on prices, output and exports. However, the effect of energy saving and emission reduction will be weakened. Therefore, it is necessary to adjust the price elasticity of demand and the reflection degree of different carbon price level according to the cost bearing capacity of different departments in China. Develop appropriate carbon price strategies or take appropriate mitigation and compensation measures.
【作者單位】: 暨南大學經(jīng)濟學院//暨南大學資源環(huán)境與可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究所;廣東環(huán)境保護工程職業(yè)學院環(huán)境科學研究所;
【基金】:國家自然科學基金項目“基于強度減排的碳交易機制對產(chǎn)業(yè)競爭力影響的理論研究與ECGE模擬”(71273115) 廣東環(huán)境保護工程職業(yè)學院院長基金項目“碳價格對工業(yè)部門經(jīng)濟影響及減排效果研究——基于廣東省的投入產(chǎn)出模擬分析”(KY201502006)
【分類號】:X196;F424
【正文快照】: 1問題的提出在中國經(jīng)濟呈現(xiàn)新常態(tài)并且承諾2030年碳排放達峰的背景下,需要發(fā)揮市場化機制的基礎性作用,發(fā)展綠色經(jīng)濟并完成達峰目標。穩(wěn)定有效又與經(jīng)濟發(fā)展相適應的碳價格信號有助于倒逼產(chǎn)業(yè)轉型升級、淘汰落后產(chǎn)能,利用環(huán)境政策實行供給側的結構性改革。我國擬于2017年建立全
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1 曲如曉;論環(huán)境保護與產(chǎn)品競爭力[J];經(jīng)濟縱橫;2001年11期
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