本文選題：隨機前沿引力模型 + 異質性��； 參考：《國際貿易問題》2017年07期

【摘要】：本文基于真實效應的隨機前沿引力模型,從進口和出口兩方面實證分析了中國與"一帶一路"沿線地區(qū)的貿易潛力及其影響因素。研究結果表明:2002-2015年間中國與"一帶一路"沿線地區(qū)的貿易效率波動性較大,國際金融危機導致近年來的貿易效率趨于下降,對進口貿易的影響更加嚴重;中國與中亞及獨聯(lián)體地區(qū)的貿易效率相對較低,但貿易潛力相對較大;"一帶一路"沿線地區(qū)在政府治理能力和貿易便利程度方面的缺陷抑制了雙邊貿易效率,中國積極推進自由貿易協(xié)定談判和擴大對外直接投資,有助于提升貿易效率和實現(xiàn)貿易潛力。
[Abstract]:Based on the stochastic frontier gravitation model of real effect, this paper empirically analyzes the trade potential and its influencing factors between China and the areas along "Belt and Road" from the aspects of import and export. The results show that the trade efficiency between China and the "Belt and Road" area is fluctuating from 2002 to 2015. The international financial crisis has led to the decline of trade efficiency in recent years, and the impact on import trade is more serious. China's trade efficiency with Central Asia and the CIS region is relatively low, but the trade potential is relatively large. China has actively promoted free trade agreement negotiations and expanded foreign direct investment, which will help enhance trade efficiency and realize trade potential.
【作者單位】： 上海立信會計金融學院國際經(jīng)貿學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金項目“全球價值鏈變遷與中國對外經(jīng)濟發(fā)展方式轉變”(14BJL053)
【分類號】：F752.7

【相似文獻】

相關期刊論文 前1條

1 何潔;清末川藏沿線地區(qū)金融貨幣與物價略述[J];西藏大學學報(漢文版);2005年03期

，

本文編號：1913802