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21世紀(jì)初中印能源合作的路徑研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-09-07 18:21
【摘要】: 能源是關(guān)乎人類經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和社會(huì)進(jìn)步的必需品。特別是石油天然氣等能源,既是人類目前所用的主要能源,又是越用越少的非可再生能源。本文主要分析中印在石油天然氣等能源方面的合作現(xiàn)狀及合作路徑,F(xiàn)在能源問題越來越成為全世界關(guān)注的非傳統(tǒng)安全領(lǐng)域的重要問題,中印兩國(guó)對(duì)此的關(guān)注度有過之而無不及。這主要是因?yàn)橹袊?guó)和印度是世界上最大的發(fā)展中國(guó)家,經(jīng)濟(jì)正處于快速發(fā)展時(shí)期,由此導(dǎo)致能源需求不斷增加。國(guó)內(nèi)能源供需矛盾使得兩國(guó)急于尋求國(guó)外能源,兩國(guó)的情況相似性導(dǎo)致在國(guó)外常常發(fā)生能源競(jìng)爭(zhēng)。中印逐漸認(rèn)識(shí)到競(jìng)爭(zhēng)導(dǎo)致國(guó)家利益受損,開始嘗試合作。雖然中印合作已經(jīng)有了成功的案例,但仍處于淺層次合作狀態(tài)。如何挖掘中印能源合作的潛力,選擇符合兩國(guó)利益的合作路徑來提高合作的成熟度,從而保持中印這種合作的態(tài)勢(shì),促使合作持續(xù)性發(fā)展?本文要解決的問題就是(1)中印能源合作已經(jīng)發(fā)展到什么程度?(2)中印應(yīng)該選擇什么樣的合作路徑來深入發(fā)展能源合作?(3)選擇此路徑的原因是什么? 本文從中印能源合作的現(xiàn)狀分析出發(fā),透過合作的事實(shí)挖掘出雙方合作存在的潛力以及存在的條件,另外再結(jié)合對(duì)合作中存在的障礙和困難,試圖尋找中印兩國(guó)在能源領(lǐng)域合作的路徑選擇。 本文首先梳理了中印在能源領(lǐng)域合作的現(xiàn)狀。中印不僅在企業(yè)層面開始了合作的歷程,政府高層也開始為兩國(guó)能源合作創(chuàng)造條件,提供基礎(chǔ)。文章從這兩個(gè)方面來歸納,客觀展現(xiàn)中印能源合作的發(fā)展程度。 在此基礎(chǔ)上,本文分析了合作路徑的存在條件、障礙與困難有哪些。首先,文章分析了幾點(diǎn)合作存在的條件。中印已有了合作的事實(shí),合作的條件也越來越成熟,這為中印能源合作繼續(xù)維持提供了現(xiàn)實(shí)性。 接下來文章分析了中印能源合作領(lǐng)域存在的困難和障礙。本文認(rèn)為合作雖然是已經(jīng)存在的現(xiàn)實(shí),也有合作的條件。但合作并不是“理所當(dāng)然”的事情,其中仍存在著巨大的困難與障礙。不僅中印兩國(guó)之間存在著合作障礙,外部因素也是影響中印合作的一個(gè)重要原因。中印之間還有歷史遺留問題,政治上還未達(dá)到完全信任的階段,合作處于起步階段還缺少合作機(jī)制;外部因素也不容忽視,中印所處的能源背景地區(qū)——南亞局勢(shì)不穩(wěn)定,另外也不能小覷中印合作中的美國(guó)因素。 基于以上三部分的分析,充分考慮中印能源合作的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況,包括合作的發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)、已有條件、合作的具體困難,本文試圖尋找符合中印現(xiàn)實(shí)情況的能源合作路徑,使得中印能源合作能夠持續(xù)發(fā)展,從而降低競(jìng)爭(zhēng)帶來的損失。文章提出的合作路徑包括三個(gè)層面:合作觀念的樹立(樹立能源利益共同體觀念)+合作機(jī)制的建立(中印雙邊合作機(jī)制、亞洲多邊能源合作機(jī)制)+合作方式的探尋(推動(dòng)能源運(yùn)輸安全合作、加大對(duì)第三國(guó)能源勘探和開發(fā)的合作力度、共同消除“亞洲溢價(jià)”等)。
[Abstract]:Energy is essential to human economic development and social progress. Especially oil and natural gas, which are the main energy used by human beings at present, are also the less and less non-renewable energy. China and India have paid more attention to the important issues in the field of non-traditional security than the rest of the world. This is mainly because China and India are the largest developing countries in the world and their economies are in a period of rapid development, resulting in increasing energy demand. Sino-Indian cooperation has been successful, but it is still in a shallow state of cooperation. How to tap the potential of Sino-Indian energy cooperation and choose a cooperation path in line with the interests of the two countries? In order to improve the maturity of cooperation, maintain the situation of cooperation between China and India, and promote the sustained development of cooperation, this paper aims to solve the following problems: (1) How far has Sino-Indian energy cooperation developed? (2) What kind of cooperation path should China and India choose to further develop energy cooperation? (3) What is the reason for choosing this path?
Starting from the analysis of the current situation of Sino-Indian energy cooperation, this paper tries to find out the potential and conditions of the cooperation through the facts of cooperation, and then tries to find out the path choice of Sino-Indian cooperation in the field of energy.
This paper first reviews the status quo of Sino-Indian cooperation in the field of energy. China and India have begun to cooperate not only at the enterprise level, but also at the top of the government to create conditions and provide a basis for energy cooperation between the two countries.
On this basis, this paper analyzes the existing conditions of the path of cooperation, obstacles and difficulties. First of all, the article analyzes several conditions for cooperation. China and India have already cooperated, and the conditions for cooperation are becoming more and more mature, which provides the reality for the continued maintenance of Sino-Indian energy cooperation.
Next, the paper analyzes the difficulties and obstacles in the field of Sino-Indian energy cooperation. This paper argues that although cooperation is already a reality, there are also conditions for cooperation. One of the important reasons for Sino-Indian cooperation is that there are still some historical problems between China and India, which have not yet reached the stage of full political trust, and cooperation is still in its infancy without cooperative mechanism. External factors should not be overlooked. The situation in South Asia, a region with an energy background, is unstable, and the United States in Sino-Indian cooperation should not be underestimated. National factors.
Based on the analysis of the above three parts, taking full account of the actual situation of Sino-Indian energy cooperation, including the development status of cooperation, the existing conditions, the specific difficulties of cooperation, this paper attempts to find a path of energy cooperation in line with the reality of China and India, so that Sino-Indian energy cooperation can be sustainable development, thereby reducing the loss of competition. The path includes three aspects: the establishment of the concept of cooperation (establishing the concept of energy interests community) + the establishment of cooperation mechanism (Sino-Indian bilateral cooperation mechanism, Asian multilateral energy cooperation mechanism) + the exploration of cooperation mode (promoting energy transport security cooperation, increasing cooperation on energy exploration and development in third countries, and jointly eliminating the "Asian spillover" Price, etc.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2010
【分類號(hào)】:D822.335.1;F416.2

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