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國際戰(zhàn)略互動中的實力評估差

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-19 10:35

  本文選題:實力評估差 + 國際戰(zhàn)略互動; 參考:《中國社會科學(xué)院研究生院》2011年碩士論文


【摘要】:國家制定國際戰(zhàn)略時,必須首先對自己的實力有客觀清晰的認(rèn)識,同時對在國際格局中的對手進(jìn)行實力評估,需要進(jìn)行評估的內(nèi)容包括國家的自身屬性型實力和賦予型實力。國家根據(jù)評估的結(jié)果來確定適合于本國發(fā)展的目標(biāo)。每個希望有所作為的國家都會為本國制定國際戰(zhàn)略,這就會使?jié)撛诘膶κ謬以谠u估自身與他國實力時,不可避免的產(chǎn)生戰(zhàn)略互動,而目標(biāo)的制定也會隨著自身與他國對本國的實力評估差異而有所變化,從而影響到該國國際戰(zhàn)略的績效。在評估的互動過程中會出現(xiàn)“自估差”與“互估差”,當(dāng)“自估差”大約為零時,“互估差”就成為決定戰(zhàn)略選擇空間的關(guān)鍵因素。在力量彼此不平衡的兩國競爭中,雙方評估差值越小(評估精準(zhǔn)度高),則彼此可利用的戰(zhàn)略空間越小,差值越大,則賦予本國的戰(zhàn)略空間越大、越有可能壓縮對手的戰(zhàn)略空間,從而使制定具有比較優(yōu)勢的國際戰(zhàn)略成為可能。將戰(zhàn)略空間中可用的戰(zhàn)略選擇按攻守性質(zhì)和敵對程度可以分為制衡戰(zhàn)略、故意妨礙戰(zhàn)略與約束戰(zhàn)略,國家可以根據(jù)評估差的大小,以“可接受的損失”為大概界限做出戰(zhàn)略選擇與組合。
[Abstract]:When a country formulates an international strategy, it must first have an objective and clear understanding of its own strength, and at the same time evaluate the strength of its opponents in the international structure. On the basis of the results of the assessment, countries determine objectives appropriate to their own development. Every country that wants to make a difference will develop an international strategy for itself, which will inevitably lead to strategic interaction among potential rival countries in assessing their own strength with other countries. The formulation of goals will change with the difference of their own and other countries' evaluation of their own strength, thus affecting the performance of the country's international strategy. In the interactive process of evaluation, there will be "self-estimate" and "mutual estimation". When "self-estimate" is about 00:00, "mutual evaluation" becomes the key factor to decide the space of strategic choice. In the competition between the two countries, where the power is not balanced, the smaller the difference between the two countries (the higher the accuracy of the assessment, the smaller the strategic space available to each other, the greater the difference, the greater the strategic space given to the country and the more likely it is to reduce the strategic space of the opponent. Thus, it is possible to make a comparative advantage of the international strategy. According to the nature of attack and defense and the degree of hostility, the available strategic choices in the strategic space can be divided into checks and balances strategies, intentionally obstructing strategies and constraining strategies. Make strategic choices and combinations with acceptable loss as the general boundary.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:中國社會科學(xué)院研究生院
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2011
【分類號】:D80

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

1 任力;;名家兵法講座系列6 實力致勝——《孫子兵法·形篇》導(dǎo)讀[J];軍事歷史;2006年08期

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