本文選題：中國 + 西部省域��； 參考：《長安大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)高速增長,建筑行業(yè)作為重要的生產(chǎn)部門,也迎來了發(fā)展的好時機(jī)。隨著西部大開發(fā)戰(zhàn)略的深入實施,西部地區(qū)建筑業(yè)發(fā)展步伐也在不斷加快,然而能源消耗與環(huán)境污染問題日漸突出,同時生產(chǎn)技術(shù)水平較為低下。如何轉(zhuǎn)變西部地區(qū)建筑業(yè)的發(fā)展模式,實現(xiàn)建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展是一個具有重要研究意義的問題。影響建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的因素眾多,本文基于建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的內(nèi)涵,分別從經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會、資源、環(huán)境、技術(shù)這五大方面進(jìn)行具體分析。依據(jù)指標(biāo)體系建立的原則和方法,利用解釋結(jié)構(gòu)模型構(gòu)建中國西部地區(qū)建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展指標(biāo)體系,確定評價所需的8項輸入與輸出指標(biāo)。再根據(jù)中國統(tǒng)計年鑒上的相關(guān)指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù),選取數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法,對2004至2013年期間,中國西部地區(qū)12個省域的建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r進(jìn)行有效性計算,得出每個省域的相對可持續(xù)發(fā)展效率及綜合排名。最后根據(jù)計算結(jié)果,分析無法實現(xiàn)有效發(fā)展的原因并進(jìn)行非有效單元的改進(jìn),提出相應(yīng)的對策建議,為以后實現(xiàn)建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展指明了方向。最后以中國西部地區(qū)整體建筑業(yè)為研究對象,先根據(jù)各組指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)的趨勢特點,分別利用指數(shù)平滑法和灰色預(yù)測模型進(jìn)行數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)測,再采用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)模型,對未來西部地區(qū)整體建筑業(yè)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平計算分析。得出在預(yù)測的年份里,西部地區(qū)整體建筑業(yè)并沒有全部實現(xiàn)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,具有較大的進(jìn)步空間。本文從可持續(xù)發(fā)展的角度出發(fā),綜合考慮各方面影響因素,基于統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),對2004至2013年期間中國西部地區(qū)建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展情況進(jìn)行全面評價,并通過指標(biāo)數(shù)據(jù)預(yù)測未來中國西部地區(qū)整體建筑業(yè)可持續(xù)發(fā)展水平,分析結(jié)果客觀準(zhǔn)確,對未來的預(yù)測較為合理。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has grown rapidly, construction industry as an important production sector, also ushered in a good opportunity for development.With the implementation of the western development strategy, the development of the construction industry in the western region is also accelerating. However, the problems of energy consumption and environmental pollution are becoming more and more prominent, and the level of production technology is relatively low.How to change the development mode of the construction industry in western China and realize the sustainable development of the construction industry is of great significance.There are many factors that affect the sustainable development of construction industry. Based on the connotation of sustainable development of construction industry, this paper makes a concrete analysis from five aspects: economy, society, resources, environment and technology.According to the principles and methods of establishing the index system, the index system of sustainable development of the construction industry in western China was constructed by using the explanatory structure model, and the 8 input and output indexes needed for evaluation were determined.Then according to the relevant index data of China Statistical Yearbook, selecting the data envelopment analysis method, this paper calculates the validity of the sustainable development of construction industry in 12 provinces of western China from 2004 to 2013.The relative sustainable development efficiency and comprehensive ranking of each province are obtained.Finally, according to the results of calculation, the paper analyzes the reasons why the effective development can not be realized and improves the non-effective units, and puts forward the corresponding countermeasures and suggestions, which points out the direction of realizing the sustainable development of the construction industry in the future.Finally, taking the whole construction industry in western China as the research object, according to the trend characteristics of each group of index data, the index smoothing method and the grey forecasting model are used to predict the data, and then the data envelope model is adopted.This paper calculates and analyzes the sustainable development level of the whole construction industry in the western region in the future.It is concluded that in the predicted year, the whole construction industry in the western region has not fully realized sustainable development and has great room for progress.From the perspective of sustainable development, this paper comprehensively evaluates the sustainable development of the construction industry in western China from 2004 to 2013, considering all factors affecting it comprehensively and based on the statistical data.The sustainable development level of the whole construction industry in the west of China is predicted by the index data. The result of the analysis is objective and accurate, and the prediction of the future is more reasonable.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：長安大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F426.92

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本文編號：1734198