發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-01-24 21:29

  本文關(guān)鍵詞： 城市小汽車交通 家庭生命周期 城市結(jié)構(gòu)變化 聯(lián)立方程模型　出處：《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》2014年07期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：研究目的:探究城市居民小汽車交通行為變化的原因有多少來(lái)自人口統(tǒng)計(jì)特性的變化,有多少來(lái)自城市結(jié)構(gòu)的改變。創(chuàng)新要點(diǎn):考慮家庭成員的生活任務(wù)分工以及家庭資源的分配等對(duì)每個(gè)家庭成員出行方式的影響,構(gòu)建基于家庭生命周期的小汽車出行行為模型,為控制小汽車出行對(duì)策的研究提供準(zhǔn)確依據(jù)。研究方法:采用調(diào)查與統(tǒng)計(jì)理論,掌握居民的出行行為特征;基于經(jīng)濟(jì)計(jì)量學(xué)建模方法,構(gòu)建居民小汽車出行行為聯(lián)立方程模型。重要結(jié)論:城市結(jié)構(gòu)關(guān)系的改變?cè)诘窒巳丝诮y(tǒng)計(jì)特性的變化對(duì)小汽車交通產(chǎn)生的負(fù)面影響之后,小汽車交通總體呈上升趨勢(shì)。
[Abstract]:Objective: to explore the reasons for the change of urban residents' car traffic behavior from the change of demographic characteristics. How much it comes from the change of urban structure. Innovation points: consider the family members of the division of life tasks and the allocation of family resources on the impact of each family member travel mode. Constructing the car travel behavior model based on the family life cycle provides the accurate basis for the study of the car trip control strategy. The research method: using the investigation and statistics theory to master the travel behavior characteristics of the residents; Based on econometric modeling. The important conclusion is that the change of the urban structure relationship has counteracted the negative influence of the change of the demographic characteristics on the car traffic. Car traffic is on the rise in general.
【作者單位】： Department
【基金】：Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation ofChina(No.51308495) the Fundamental Research Funds for theCentral Universities(No.2013QNA4027),China
【分類號(hào)】：U491
【正文快照】： 1 IntroductionSome parts of the world are in the midst of amajor demographic transition.Not only is populationgrowth slowing,but the age structure of the popula-tion is changing,with the share of the young fallingand that of the elderly rising(Kitamura a，

本文編號(hào)：1461068