【摘要】：隨著居民出行需求日益增長(zhǎng)和城市化進(jìn)程的不斷推進(jìn),城市公共交通樞紐在客運(yùn)組織中發(fā)揮著越來越重要的作用。作為連接不同交通方式的紐帶,城市公共交通樞紐具有很強(qiáng)的集聚效應(yīng),其新建或擴(kuò)改建可能對(duì)周邊交通系統(tǒng)造成很大壓力。為評(píng)估樞紐新建或擴(kuò)改建對(duì)交通系統(tǒng)的影響,前期通常需要進(jìn)行交通影響分析,基于分析結(jié)果提出對(duì)策建議,從而降低對(duì)交通系統(tǒng)的不利影響。因此,進(jìn)行城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析研究將為協(xié)調(diào)樞紐建設(shè)與交通系統(tǒng)的關(guān)系,改善局部交通環(huán)境,保證交通系統(tǒng)可持續(xù)發(fā)展提供強(qiáng)有力的理論支撐。本文以此為背景,結(jié)合城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析的要點(diǎn),從交通需求預(yù)測(cè)、交通影響單項(xiàng)指標(biāo)分析和交通影響程度綜合評(píng)價(jià)三個(gè)方面展開城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析研究,最后結(jié)合實(shí)例進(jìn)行了理論方法的應(yīng)用。本文的主要研究工作如下:(1)分析城市公共交通樞紐對(duì)周邊交通的影響,明確城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析的特殊性,在此基礎(chǔ)上針對(duì)性地提出城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析的要點(diǎn),并對(duì)要點(diǎn)的適用方法進(jìn)行概述。(2)基于樞紐特點(diǎn)采用類別吸引率法確定城市公共交通樞紐交通影響范圍;進(jìn)而分析城市公共交通樞紐及影響區(qū)域交通需求預(yù)測(cè)內(nèi)容,進(jìn)行基于OD反推的背景交通需求預(yù)測(cè)和樞紐新生成交通需求預(yù)測(cè)研究。(3)進(jìn)行城市公共交通樞紐交通影響單項(xiàng)指標(biāo)分析。以交通需求預(yù)測(cè)結(jié)果為基礎(chǔ)數(shù)據(jù),以分析對(duì)象為根本出發(fā)點(diǎn),從靜態(tài)交通、動(dòng)態(tài)交通、環(huán)境3個(gè)方面進(jìn)行指標(biāo)選取,研究樞紐對(duì)局部交通影響的顯著性判定標(biāo)準(zhǔn)及方法。(4)研究基于多級(jí)可拓綜合評(píng)價(jià)法的城市公共交通樞紐交通影響程度評(píng)價(jià)。以單項(xiàng)指標(biāo)分析的指標(biāo)項(xiàng)為基礎(chǔ),構(gòu)建城市公共交通樞紐交通影響程度評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,形成3個(gè)一級(jí)指標(biāo)和10個(gè)二級(jí)指標(biāo)。進(jìn)而制定交通影響程度等級(jí)評(píng)定標(biāo)準(zhǔn),并基于指標(biāo)體系構(gòu)建多級(jí)物元模型。根據(jù)一級(jí)指標(biāo)和二級(jí)指標(biāo)的特點(diǎn),運(yùn)用AHP法和主客觀組合賦權(quán)法對(duì)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行分級(jí)賦權(quán)。通過多級(jí)可拓綜合評(píng)價(jià)確定樞紐對(duì)各一級(jí)指標(biāo)和交通系統(tǒng)總體的影響等級(jí)。(5)理論結(jié)合實(shí)際。以望京西交通樞紐為工程背景,利用本文的相關(guān)方法對(duì)該樞紐進(jìn)行交通影響分析,驗(yàn)證本文城市公共交通樞紐交通影響分析方法的可行性和實(shí)用性。
[Abstract]:With the increasing demand of residents and the development of urbanization, urban public transport hubs play a more and more important role in passenger transport organization. As a link between different traffic modes, urban public transport hub has a strong agglomeration effect, and its new construction or expansion and reconstruction may cause great pressure on the surrounding traffic system. In order to evaluate the impact of the new construction or expansion of the hub on the traffic system, traffic impact analysis is usually needed in the early stage. Based on the results of the analysis, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward to reduce the adverse impact on the traffic system. Therefore, the study of urban public transport hub traffic impact analysis will provide a strong theoretical support for coordinating the relationship between hub construction and traffic system, improving the local traffic environment and ensuring the sustainable development of traffic system. Based on this background, combined with the main points of traffic impact analysis of urban public transport hub, this paper forecasts traffic demand, The traffic impact analysis is carried out from three aspects: the analysis of single index of traffic impact and the comprehensive evaluation of traffic impact degree. Finally, the application of theory and method in combination with practical examples is carried out. The main research work of this paper is as follows: (1) analyze the influence of urban public transport hub on the surrounding traffic, and make clear the particularity of urban public transport hub traffic impact analysis. On this basis, the main points of traffic impact analysis of urban public transport hubs are put forward, and the applicable methods are summarized. (2) based on the characteristics of urban public transport hubs, the method of category attraction rate is adopted to determine the traffic impact range of urban public transport hubs; Then it analyzes the forecast contents of urban public transport hub and regional traffic demand. The background traffic demand forecast based on OD backstepping and the forecast of newly generated traffic demand of hub are studied. (3) the single index analysis of urban public transport hub traffic impact is carried out. Based on the result of traffic demand prediction, and taking the object of analysis as the basic starting point, the indexes are selected from static traffic, dynamic traffic and environment. The significance criteria and methods for determining the impact of hubs on local traffic are studied. (4) the evaluation of traffic impact degree of urban public transport hubs based on multilevel extension comprehensive evaluation method is studied. Based on the index items of single index analysis, this paper constructs the evaluation index system of traffic impact degree of urban public transport hub, and forms three first-grade indexes and ten second-class indexes. Then the evaluation standard of traffic impact degree is established, and the multilevel matter-element model is constructed based on the index system. According to the characteristics of the primary index and the second class index, the AHP method and the subjective and objective combination weighting method are used to carry on the grading weight to the index. Through multilevel extension comprehensive evaluation, the influence grade of the hub on the first grade index and the overall transportation system is determined. (5) the theory is combined with the practice. Taking Wangjingxi traffic hub as the engineering background, the traffic impact analysis of the hub is carried out by using the relevant methods in this paper, and the feasibility and practicability of the traffic impact analysis method of the urban public transport hub are verified.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：U491

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本文編號(hào)：2205868