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基于SEM模型福建沿海港口吸引力研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-09 19:01

  本文選題:港口 切入點(diǎn):吸引力 出處:《上海海洋大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:我國(guó)規(guī)劃的五大港口群從北到南依次為環(huán)渤海地區(qū)港口群體、長(zhǎng)江三角洲地區(qū)港口群體、東南沿海地區(qū)港口群體,珠江三角洲地區(qū)港口群和西南沿海地區(qū)港口群體。在這五大港口群體中福建沿海地區(qū)港口群,即東南沿海地區(qū)港口群實(shí)力較弱,發(fā)展落后。21世紀(jì)海上絲綢之路的建設(shè)為福建帶來(lái)機(jī)遇,泉州港有幸被聯(lián)合國(guó)科教文組織認(rèn)定是唯一的海上絲綢之路起點(diǎn)。因此,福建應(yīng)抓住機(jī)遇,大力發(fā)展港口經(jīng)濟(jì),加快建設(shè),發(fā)展壯大港口群,提升港口市場(chǎng)吸引力,吸引更多的投資者,從而帶動(dòng)地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,使福建逐步從“海洋大省”向“海洋強(qiáng)省”的方向邁進(jìn)。本文從提升福建港口吸引力的角度出發(fā),基于SEM方法論,構(gòu)建內(nèi)生變量,外生變量和主觀變量。其中內(nèi)生變量評(píng)估港口基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施特征,外生變量評(píng)估港口所在城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平,主觀變量評(píng)估港口聲譽(yù)。選取貨物吞吐量、泊位數(shù)、泊位長(zhǎng)度作為衡量港口基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施特征的指標(biāo);地區(qū)GDP、進(jìn)出口、實(shí)際利用外商直接投資作為衡量城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的指標(biāo);集裝箱航線、集裝箱年通過能力作為衡量港口聲譽(yù)的指標(biāo)。采用描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,相關(guān)性分析,結(jié)構(gòu)方程分析對(duì)選取的8個(gè)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究。描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析結(jié)果顯示:福建沿海港口的港口基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施仍需進(jìn)一步完善,地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平落后,港口運(yùn)營(yíng)效率低下。相關(guān)關(guān)系分析結(jié)果顯示:8個(gè)指標(biāo)中貨物吞吐量、港口泊位數(shù)、泊位長(zhǎng)度具有較高的正相關(guān)關(guān)系。地區(qū)GDP、進(jìn)出口、實(shí)際利用外商直接投資具有較高的正相關(guān)關(guān)系。集裝箱航線和集裝箱年通過能力具有較高的正相關(guān)關(guān)系。這8個(gè)指標(biāo)在組內(nèi)相互之間均具有較高的相關(guān)關(guān)系,證明選取的指標(biāo)可以用于構(gòu)建港口吸引力結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型。結(jié)構(gòu)方程分析結(jié)果顯示:內(nèi)生變量,外生變量和主觀變量三者同時(shí)影響港口吸引力,且主觀變量對(duì)港口吸引力影響力最強(qiáng),其次是內(nèi)生變量,最后是外生變量。本文依據(jù)實(shí)證分析得出的結(jié)論,給政策制定者和投資者給出以下建議:一、港口基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施方面,加快建設(shè)深水碼頭和深水航道,優(yōu)化港口運(yùn)輸布局,完善港口公共配套設(shè)施。二、港口運(yùn)營(yíng)效率方面,優(yōu)化通關(guān)環(huán)境、提高通關(guān)效率,營(yíng)造良好的航運(yùn)環(huán)境,大力發(fā)展港口物流。三、綜合性方面規(guī)劃建設(shè)高水平陸地港網(wǎng)絡(luò),積極拓展港口經(jīng)濟(jì)腹地;且由于福建與臺(tái)灣地緣深、血緣親、文緣深、商緣廣、法緣久,應(yīng)加強(qiáng)港航交流,促進(jìn)形成閩臺(tái)跨海峽港口群。
[Abstract]:The five port groups planned in China from north to south are port groups in Bohai Rim region, Yangtze River Delta region, Southeast Coastal region, Pearl River Delta region and Southwest Coastal area.Among these five port groups, the port group of Fujian coastal area, that is, the port group of southeast coastal area, is weak, and the construction of the maritime Silk Road in the 21st century has brought opportunities to Fujian.Quanzhou Port was fortunate to be recognized by UNESCO as the only starting point of the Maritime Silk Road.Therefore, Fujian should seize the opportunity to vigorously develop the port economy, speed up the construction, expand the port group, enhance the attraction of the port market, attract more investors, and thus promote the regional economic development.Make Fujian gradually from "big ocean province" to "ocean strong province" direction.Based on the SEM methodology, this paper constructs endogenous variables, exogenous variables and subjective variables from the point of view of enhancing the attraction of Fujian ports.The endogenous variables evaluate the characteristics of port infrastructure, the exogenous variables evaluate the economic development level of the city where the port is located, and the subjective variable evaluates the port reputation.Select cargo throughput, berth number, berth length as indicators to measure the characteristics of port infrastructure; region GDP, import and export, the actual use of foreign direct investment as indicators to measure the level of urban economic development; container routes,Container year capacity as a measure of port reputation.Descriptive statistical analysis, correlation analysis and structural equation analysis are used to analyze the eight selected indicators.The results of descriptive statistical analysis show that the port infrastructure of Fujian coastal ports still needs to be further improved, the level of regional economic development is backward, and the port operation efficiency is low.The results of correlation analysis show that the cargo throughput, port berth number and berth length have high positive correlation among the eight indexes.Regional GDP, import and export, the actual use of foreign direct investment has a high positive correlation.There is a high positive correlation between container routes and container annual capacity.The eight indexes are highly correlated with each other in the group. It is proved that the selected indexes can be used to construct the structural equation model of port attraction.The results of structural equation analysis show that: endogenous variables exogenous variables and subjective variables simultaneously affect port attractiveness and subjective variables have the strongest influence on port attractiveness followed by endogenous variables and finally exogenous variables.Based on the conclusions of the empirical analysis, this paper gives the following suggestions to the policy makers and investors: first, in terms of port infrastructure, speed up the construction of deep-water wharf and deep-water channel, optimize the port transport layout, and improve the port public supporting facilities.Second, in terms of port operation efficiency, we should optimize the customs clearance environment, improve customs clearance efficiency, create a good shipping environment, and vigorously develop port logistics.Third, comprehensive planning and construction of a high-level land port network to actively expand the port economic hinterland; and because Fujian and Taiwan are geographically deep, closely related to each other, close to each other, close to the text, extensive business, and long history, Hong Kong and shipping exchanges should be strengthened.Promote the formation of Fujian-Taiwan cross-Strait port group.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海海洋大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F552.7

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