本文選題：城市軌道交通　切入點(diǎn)：新線　出處：《北京交通大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：摘要：作為城市客運(yùn)交通系統(tǒng)的重要組成部分,城市軌道交通對緩解城市道路交通壓力、促進(jìn)城市發(fā)展起到了重大作用,給城市居民的出行帶來了很大便利。隨著我國城市軌道交通的快速發(fā)展,軌道交通新線不斷建成投運(yùn),軌道交通運(yùn)營里程不斷增加的同時,對居民的出行尤其是新線周邊居民的出行產(chǎn)生很大影響。本文針對城市軌道交通新線開通和居民出行方式選擇的問題,在充分借鑒國內(nèi)外研究經(jīng)驗的基礎(chǔ)上,基于廣義費(fèi)用理論建立NL方式選擇模型,定量分析了城市軌道交通新線開通對居民出行方式選擇的影響。 首先,本文對我國典型城市軌道交通線網(wǎng)及其客流發(fā)展歷程進(jìn)行了分析,進(jìn)而總結(jié)了客流變化的規(guī)律,從線網(wǎng)規(guī)模和連通性兩方面分析了客流變化的原因,并結(jié)合城市主要交通方式的特性比較,分析了城市軌道交通新線開通后對其他交通方式的影響,根據(jù)居民出行方式選擇行為的過程,對影響居民出行方式選擇的因素進(jìn)行詳細(xì)分析。 其次,建立了各交通方式的出行廣義費(fèi)用模型,重點(diǎn)考慮出行經(jīng)濟(jì)費(fèi)用、出行時間費(fèi)用、出行舒適性和安全性四個方面,詳細(xì)分析不同交通方式各部分費(fèi)用的組成及計算方法。在此基礎(chǔ)上,建立基于廣義費(fèi)用理論的NL交通方式選擇影響模型。根據(jù)私人小汽車、出租車、常規(guī)公交和城市軌道交通四種交通方式之間的關(guān)聯(lián)性構(gòu)建選擇樹結(jié)構(gòu),給出了各交通方式的選擇概率模型及相關(guān)參數(shù)的標(biāo)定方法。 最后,通過算例解析驗證了模型的可行性,并計算了城市軌道交通新線開通前后周邊居民出行方式的選擇變化情況,計算結(jié)果顯示城市軌道交通新線開通后,城市軌道交通的分擔(dān)率為32.11%,私人小汽車、出租車及常規(guī)公交的分擔(dān)比例分別下降了4.92%、4.39%和22.80%,其中由常規(guī)公交轉(zhuǎn)移到城市軌道交通的比例最大,占城市軌道交通總轉(zhuǎn)移客流的69.5%。此外,通過計算不同銜接距離和不同出行距離的條件下的交通分擔(dān)情況,對居民出行方式選擇進(jìn)行了定量分析。
[Abstract]:Abstract: as an important part of city traffic system, city rail traffic on the city roads to ease traffic pressure, promote the development of the city has played a major role, has brought great convenience to the city residents. With the rapid development of city rail transit in China, railway new lines have been built and put into operation, railway operating mileage increasing at the same time, the residents travel especially the influence line of nearby residents. The city rail transit and the opening of the new travel mode choice, based on the full research of experience by learning, the generalized cost theory to establish NL mode choice model based on quantitative analysis of city rail transit line opened travel influence on the choice of residents.
First, this paper analyzes the development process of China's typical city rail transit network and passenger flow, and then summarizes the changes in the flow rule, analyzed the reason of the change of passenger flow from the two aspects of network size and connectivity, and combined with the characteristics of the main city traffic modes, analyzes the influence on other modes of transportation of city rail traffic after the opening of the new line, according to the process of travel mode choice behavior of residents, a detailed analysis on the influence factors of residents travel mode choice.
Secondly, establish the generalized travel model of each transportation mode, focus on travel cost, travel time and travel cost, comfort and safety of the four aspects, a detailed analysis of the composition and calculation of different traffic modes of each part of the cost method. On this basis, the establishment of selection model of NL based on the theory of generalized transportation cost. According to the construction of a private car, taxi, bus and the relationship between city rail transit four traffic modes choice tree structure, given the choice of probability model of various traffic modes and the relevant parameters of the calibration method.
Finally, through the example analysis to verify the feasibility of the model, the changes of city rail traffic before and after the opening of the new surrounding residents travel mode and calculation, the calculation results show that the city rail traffic after the opening of the new line, city rail transit share rate is 32.11%, a private car, taxi and bus sharing ratio were decreased by 4.92%, 4.39% and 22.80%, which by bus transfer to city rail traffic accounted for the largest proportion, city rail transit transfer passenger 69.5%. in addition, sharing by calculating different link distances and different trip distance under the condition of the traffic, the residents travel mode choice are quantitatively analyzed.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：北京交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：U12

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