本文選題：工程項目 + 風險評價��； 參考：《河北工程大學》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：近年來，各級政府在基礎設施建設方面投入了大量的人力、物力、財力等，使得很多城市的容貌煥然一新。由于工程項目的規(guī)模變得越來越大，，使得工程項目自身的復雜性逐漸增大，產(chǎn)生了更多的不確定因素，導致了工程項目風險的增大。加之政治、經(jīng)濟形式的不斷變化，工程風險管理在建設工程項目中的研究變得日趨重要。一些學者開始引入并吸收國外工程項目風險管理的研究與經(jīng)驗，研究適合我國國情的風險管理理論。然而，我國的工程項目風險管理理論有一定的局限性，如它難以處理直覺模糊環(huán)境下的工程項目風險評價問題。 本文首先闡述了相關的研究背景以及研究現(xiàn)狀，分析了建設工程項目的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。其次，基于我國建設工程的復雜性、周期長、整體難分等特點，對建設工程項目的風險進行了研究，完善了現(xiàn)有的建設工程項目風險評價體系。再次，為了研究直覺模糊環(huán)境下的建設工程項目風險評價問題，文中通過對直覺模糊層次分析法加以改善，得到了一種新的建設工程項目評價方法—改進的直覺模糊層次分析法。最后，把改進的直覺模糊層次分析法和TOPSIS法相結合，構建了一種改進的直覺模糊TOPSIS法的建設工程項目風險評價模型，從而更直觀、更有效地評價建設工程項目風險。
[Abstract]:In recent years, governments at all levels have invested a lot of manpower, material and financial resources in infrastructure construction, making many cities look new. As the scale of the project becomes larger and larger, the complexity of the project itself is gradually increasing, and more uncertain factors are produced, which leads to the increase of the project risk. With the change of politics and economy, the research of engineering risk management in construction project becomes more and more important. Some scholars begin to introduce and absorb the research and experience of foreign engineering project risk management, and study the theory of risk management which is suitable for the situation of our country. However, the theory of engineering project risk management in our country has some limitations, for example, it is difficult to deal with the problem of engineering project risk evaluation under intuitionistic fuzzy environment. This paper first describes the research background and research status quo, and analyzes the development of construction projects. Secondly, based on the characteristics of complexity, long period and hard to distinguish, the risk of construction project is studied, and the existing risk evaluation system of construction project is improved. Thirdly, in order to study the risk evaluation of construction project under intuitionistic fuzzy environment, the paper improves the risk assessment by intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process. A new evaluation method of construction project, improved intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process, is obtained. Finally, combining the improved intuitionistic fuzzy analytic hierarchy process with the TOPSIS method, an improved intuitionistic fuzzy TOPSIS method is constructed to evaluate the risk of construction project, which is more intuitive and effective.
【學位授予單位】：河北工程大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F282

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本文編號：1947960