司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究
本文選題:電力工程 + 35kV輸變電; 參考:《華北電力大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文
【摘要】:電力行業(yè)作為我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè)之一,擔(dān)負(fù)著我國(guó)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和保障人民正常生活用電的艱巨任務(wù)。隨著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)體系的不斷完善,工程項(xiàng)目的招標(biāo)、投標(biāo)、風(fēng)險(xiǎn)投資機(jī)制、責(zé)任制的逐步推廣,項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的實(shí)施顯得尤為重要。電力工程項(xiàng)目投資額高、周期長(zhǎng)、對(duì)專(zhuān)業(yè)技術(shù)要求高、配套設(shè)施設(shè)備多、結(jié)構(gòu)復(fù)雜、對(duì)質(zhì)量要求高,在任何一個(gè)環(huán)節(jié)上均不容許有任何的閃失,在自然環(huán)境、社會(huì)、政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)、技術(shù)等眾多不確定性因素的影響之下,電力工程項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理顯得尤為重要。 通過(guò)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理可對(duì)項(xiàng)目現(xiàn)有的以及潛在的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行挖掘、辨識(shí)、評(píng)估,并根據(jù)具體情況采取相應(yīng)的措施進(jìn)行防范處理,從而減少意外損失或使風(fēng)險(xiǎn)為我所用。本研究立足于電力工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的角度,以司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程為例進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,根據(jù)供電公司的實(shí)際情況選取科學(xué)的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理研究方法,運(yùn)用工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理理論,在借鑒國(guó)內(nèi)外風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理經(jīng)驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,對(duì)司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析,制定項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理措施。 本文基于司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程的實(shí)際情況,應(yīng)用項(xiàng)目風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的分析方法,將電力工程項(xiàng)目的特殊性融入其中,結(jié)合該地區(qū)的具體情況與特定環(huán)境,主要包括司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電的建設(shè)規(guī)模、系統(tǒng)方案、站址選擇、工程規(guī)劃、系統(tǒng)通信工程規(guī)劃、投資估算。從項(xiàng)目工程建設(shè)不同階段的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)表現(xiàn)形式對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行分類(lèi),并對(duì)司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程項(xiàng)目的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)進(jìn)行識(shí)別、評(píng)估,基于項(xiàng)目管理者對(duì)不同風(fēng)險(xiǎn)持有的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)偏好,建立風(fēng)險(xiǎn)度量函數(shù)模型并對(duì)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)值進(jìn)行計(jì)算,將風(fēng)險(xiǎn)值由大到小進(jìn)行排序,根據(jù)計(jì)算出來(lái)的重要風(fēng)險(xiǎn),制定切實(shí)可行的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)控制措施,為完善司馬臺(tái)35kV輸變電工程的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理提供參考。
[Abstract]:As one of the pillar industries of our national economy, the electric power industry shoulders the arduous task of the development of our national economy and the guarantee of people's normal life. With the continuous improvement of our country's economic system, bidding, venture capital mechanism and responsibility system, the implementation of project risk management becomes more and more important. Power engineering projects have a high investment, a long period, a high demand for professional technology, a large number of supporting facilities and equipment, complex structures, and high requirements for quality. There is no room for any mistakes in any link, in the natural environment, in society, in politics, Under the influence of many uncertain factors, such as economy and technology, the risk management of electric power engineering project is particularly important. Through risk management, the existing and potential risks of the project can be excavated, identified, evaluated, and corresponding measures can be taken according to the specific situation to prevent and deal with them, so as to reduce the unexpected losses or make the risks available to us. This study is based on the perspective of power project risk management, taking Simatai 35kV power transmission and transformation project as an example, selecting scientific risk management research method according to the actual situation of power supply company, and applying project risk management theory. Based on the experience of risk management at home and abroad, this paper analyzes the present situation of risk management in Simatai 35kV power transmission and transformation project, and formulates project risk management measures. Based on the actual situation of Simatai 35kV power transmission and transformation project, this paper applies the analysis method of project risk management, integrates the particularity of power engineering project into it, and combines the specific situation and specific environment of this area. It mainly includes construction scale, system scheme, site selection, project planning, system communication engineering planning and investment estimation of Simatai 35kV power transmission and transformation. This paper classifies the risk from different stages of project construction, and identifies and evaluates the risk of Simatai 35kV transmission and transformation project, based on the risk preference of project managers for different risks. The risk measurement function model is established and the risk value is calculated. The risk value is sorted from large to small. According to the calculated important risk, the feasible risk control measures are worked out. To perfect Simatai 35kV transmission and transformation project risk management to provide a reference.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:TM73
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