中蒙貿(mào)易和投資的相互關(guān)系及發(fā)展趨勢(shì)研究
本文選題:中蒙貿(mào)易 + 中蒙投資; 參考:《內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文
【摘要】:中國(guó)與蒙古國(guó)之間貿(mào)易和投資的發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)出融合發(fā)展的一體化趨勢(shì),這會(huì)使其貿(mào)易壁壘逐漸消除、生產(chǎn)要素自由流動(dòng),是中蒙俄經(jīng)濟(jì)走廊建設(shè)與實(shí)施中的一項(xiàng)現(xiàn)實(shí)選擇。充分發(fā)揮中蒙經(jīng)濟(jì)互補(bǔ)優(yōu)勢(shì),不斷克服一些政治、經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會(huì)領(lǐng)域不利因素的影響,穩(wěn)步推動(dòng)雙邊貿(mào)易和投資更高水平的合作發(fā)展,有利于兩國(guó)增進(jìn)政治互信,提高人民的福祉,這符合中蒙兩國(guó)的長(zhǎng)期戰(zhàn)略利益。首先,本文運(yùn)用列舉法和圖表法相結(jié)合的方式,對(duì)中蒙貿(mào)易和投資發(fā)展趨勢(shì)進(jìn)行分析研究,結(jié)果表明,中蒙貿(mào)易和投資呈現(xiàn)顯著增長(zhǎng)的現(xiàn)象,且中蒙貿(mào)易與投資呈現(xiàn)出相互促進(jìn)融合、一體化發(fā)展的趨勢(shì)。其次,本文進(jìn)一步用Granger檢驗(yàn)貿(mào)易額和投資額的關(guān)系,分析表明,中蒙兩國(guó)的進(jìn)口額、出口額和進(jìn)出口總額對(duì)國(guó)際直接投資額有顯著影響,即進(jìn)口額、出口額和進(jìn)出口總額是國(guó)際直接投資額的Granger原因,反之則沒(méi)有顯著影響且不是其原因。脈沖響應(yīng)結(jié)果與Granger檢驗(yàn)結(jié)果一致,這表明中蒙兩國(guó)的貿(mào)易額對(duì)國(guó)際直接投資額有明顯的影響作用,即中蒙貿(mào)易和投資并不是在各自的框架下單獨(dú)發(fā)展,而是正在相互交叉與融合。本文研究結(jié)果表明,當(dāng)前中蒙貿(mào)易和投資發(fā)展表現(xiàn)出相互交叉融合的一體化趨勢(shì)特征。最后,本文借鑒中國(guó)一東盟、北美國(guó)家經(jīng)貿(mào)合作的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn),結(jié)合中蒙經(jīng)濟(jì)合作的實(shí)際情況,為促進(jìn)雙邊貿(mào)易和投資相互融合的一體化趨勢(shì)發(fā)展提出幾點(diǎn)政策建議。
[Abstract]:The development of trade and investment between China and Mongolia shows a trend of integration and development, which will gradually eliminate its trade barriers and free flow of production factors, which is a realistic choice in the construction and implementation of Sino-Mongolian and Russian economic corridors. Giving full play to the complementary advantages of the economy of China and Mongolia, constantly overcoming the influence of some unfavorable factors in the political, economic and social fields, and steadily promoting the development of bilateral trade and investment at a higher level, is conducive to enhancing political mutual trust between the two countries. It is in the long-term strategic interests of China and Mongolia to improve the well-being of the people. First of all, this paper uses the method of enumeration and chart to analyze the development trend of Sino-Mongolian trade and investment. The results show that the trade and investment between China and Mongolia are increasing significantly. Moreover, the trade and investment between China and Mongolia promote the integration and integration. Secondly, this paper further uses Granger to test the relationship between trade volume and investment, and the analysis shows that the import value, export value and total import and export amount of China and Mongolia have significant influence on the international direct investment, that is, the import amount. The export volume and the total import and export amount are the Granger reasons of the international direct investment, otherwise they have no significant influence and are not the reason. The result of pulse response is consistent with the result of Granger test, which indicates that the trade volume between China and Mongolia has an obvious effect on the international direct investment, that is, the trade and investment between China and Mongolia are not developed alone within their respective framework. They are intersecting and merging with each other. The results show that the development of trade and investment between China and Mongolia shows the trend of integration. Finally, this paper draws lessons from the successful experience of China-ASEAN and North American countries' economic and trade cooperation, combining with the actual situation of China-Mongolia economic cooperation, and puts forward some policy suggestions for promoting the integration trend of bilateral trade and investment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:內(nèi)蒙古大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】:F752.7
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