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基于可拓理論的老年公寓投資效益評價研究

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  本文選題:老年公寓 + 投資效益評價; 參考:《西安建筑科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文


【摘要】:隨著我國四一二結(jié)構(gòu)家庭和空巢家庭的持續(xù)增多、人們養(yǎng)老觀念的改變和生活水平的提高,符合人們養(yǎng)老心理的老年公寓,其需求不斷上漲。由于我國老年公寓的投資建設(shè)剛剛起步,老年公寓項目不僅具有市場性,更具有社會性和福利性,所以老年公寓的投資效益不僅包括經(jīng)濟效益,更包括顯著的企業(yè)間接效益和社會效益。但我國目前的老年公寓投資效益評價方法依然采用傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟評價法,該方法只重視經(jīng)濟性評價,不僅忽視了投資老年公寓顯著的企業(yè)間接效益和社會效益,進而使得很多可行的老年公寓項目被誤認為不值得投資,使得投資商誤認為投資該項目的利益微薄而失去了投資的積極性;而且該方法還缺乏對老年公寓配套設(shè)施和服務(wù)等方面的技術(shù)性評價,進而造成很多已經(jīng)審批通過并開始運營的老年公寓因開發(fā)過于高檔或過于簡陋,最終導(dǎo)致入住率過低而投資失敗。因此一套適合老年公寓的投資效益評價體系亟需建立。 本文以可拓理論和投資效益理論為基礎(chǔ),以老年公寓投資項目的特征為著眼點,結(jié)合老年公寓投資的宏觀背景,運用可拓菱形思維模式和拓展分析法,建立了一套以技術(shù)效益、企業(yè)直接效益、企業(yè)間接效益、國民經(jīng)濟效益、社會效益為一級指標(biāo)的老年公寓投資效益評價指標(biāo)體系,該體系彌補了以往類似評價體系中指標(biāo)片面和單一的不足,可以更客觀地反映老年公寓項目的投資效益;同時在指標(biāo)體系的基礎(chǔ)上,本文應(yīng)用可拓優(yōu)度評價法建立了老年公寓投資效益可拓評價模型,并以西安市mP灞區(qū)某老年公寓為實例進一步說明模型的實用價值。 可拓學(xué)是一門新型的學(xué)科,本文首次將可拓理論運用到了老年公寓的投資效益評價中,試圖為該領(lǐng)域的研究提出一種新方案,旨在為投資商投資建設(shè)老年公寓提供決策依據(jù),為政府部門出臺扶持政策等提供參考,以進一步推動我國老年公寓的投資和建設(shè),解決老年公寓日益加劇的供需矛盾,,促進社會和諧。
[Abstract]:With the increasing number of families and empty nest families in our country, the change of people's concept of old-age care and the improvement of their living standard, the demand of old-age apartment which accords with people's psychology of providing for the aged is on the rise.Since the investment and construction of the apartment for the elderly in our country has just started, the project of the apartment for the elderly is not only marketable, but also social and welfare, so the investment benefit of the apartment for the elderly includes not only economic benefits, but also economic benefits.It also includes obvious indirect benefits and social benefits.However, the traditional economic evaluation method is still used in the evaluation of the investment benefit of the elderly apartment in our country. This method only attaches importance to the economic evaluation, and not only neglects the indirect and social benefits of the enterprises that invest in the apartment for the aged.Therefore, many feasible old apartment projects are mistook as not worth investing, and the investors mistakenly believe that the benefits of investing in this project are meagre and lose the enthusiasm of investment.Moreover, the method lacks technical evaluation of supporting facilities and services for senior citizens' apartments, resulting in many older apartments that have already been approved and started to operate because they are too upscale or too simple to develop.Ultimately, the occupancy rate is too low and the investment fails.Therefore, it is urgent to establish a set of investment benefit evaluation system suitable for the elderly apartment.On the basis of extension theory and investment benefit theory, based on the characteristics of the apartment investment project for the elderly, combined with the macro background of the apartment investment for the elderly, this paper establishes a set of technical benefits by using the extension rhombus thinking model and the extension analysis method.The evaluation index system of the investment benefit of the old apartment, which is the direct benefit, the indirect benefit, the national economic benefit and the social benefit of the enterprise, has made up for the one-sided and singleness of the index in the similar evaluation system in the past.On the basis of the index system, this paper establishes the extension evaluation model of the investment benefit of the old apartment by using the extension degree evaluation method, which can reflect the investment benefit of the old apartment project more objectively, and at the same time, the paper applies the extension degree evaluation method to establish the extension evaluation model.The practical value of the model is further illustrated by an example of an old apartment in MP Ba district of Xi'an City.Extension is a new subject. This paper applies extension theory to the evaluation of the investment benefit of the elderly apartment for the first time, and tries to put forward a new scheme for the research in this field, in order to provide the decision basis for the investors to invest in the construction of the apartment for the elderly.In order to further promote the investment and construction of the apartment for the elderly in China, solve the contradiction between supply and demand of the apartment for the elderly, promote social harmony.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:西安建筑科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F299.23

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