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  本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)視角的住房相對價格研究　出處：《西安建筑科技大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu) 相對價格 需求水平

【摘要】：“住”本屬于人類最基本的需求層次，但是隨著社會經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展，城市化進程的深入，城市居民人口數(shù)量增加，對住房的需求也在持續(xù)增長。在旺盛的住房需求帶動下，住宅業(yè)的產(chǎn)業(yè)規(guī)模也越來越大。而在住房市場中，住房是交易的商品，住房價格受市場供應(yīng)和需求的影響而發(fā)生波動。為了保持住房價格穩(wěn)定，促進住宅業(yè)健康發(fā)展，依據(jù)市場需求保持住房合理的供應(yīng)水平，不僅可以減少因住房價格劇烈波動而引發(fā)的市場投機行為，減少熱錢流動，也可以降低一些實體產(chǎn)業(yè)因涉足住房市場使大量資金流出本行業(yè)而引發(fā)的行業(yè)經(jīng)營風險。因此，研究住房市場的需求情況，確定住房市場的合理住房價格水平，對于引導(dǎo)城鎮(zhèn)居民健康的住房消費，緩解城鎮(zhèn)住房價格波動，促進住房市場健康持續(xù)發(fā)展都將起到積極的意義。 本文首先闡述了選題背景以及研究方向，即基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)視角的住房相對價格研究，接著在對國內(nèi)外關(guān)于住房價格研究的相關(guān)文獻、資料進行梳理的基礎(chǔ)上，概述了產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)理論與住房價格理論，提出了住房相對價格的概念，并對產(chǎn)業(yè)與住房的關(guān)系進行了分析。其次，分析了當前住房市場中住房供給與需求偏離的成因和住房價格的影響因素，理清產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對住房價格的影響機制，并依據(jù)影響機制構(gòu)建了基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)視角的住房需求評價指標體系。然后結(jié)合西安市的數(shù)據(jù)資料，使用層次分析的方法計算出基于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)視角的西安市住房需求水平，，以此推算出西安市住房的相對價格，并對其進行比較分析。接著使用灰色預(yù)測模型預(yù)測了西安市未來一段時期的住房需求水平，并做了價格分析。最后，根據(jù)預(yù)測及分析結(jié)果，從保障城市居民住房需求及抑制住房過度投資的角度，對西安市未來住房市場的合理發(fā)展提出了建議：通過完善住房市場供給結(jié)構(gòu)、調(diào)整住房市場供需偏差、改進住房交易信息管理、提高住房再次交易稅費、改變住房消費觀念來促進西安市住房價格的合理發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:"living" belongs to the most basic level of human needs, but with the development of social economy and the deepening of urbanization, the number of urban residents increases. The demand for housing is also growing. Driven by strong demand for housing, the housing industry is growing in size. In the housing market, housing is a traded commodity. Housing prices fluctuate under the influence of market supply and demand. In order to keep housing prices stable and promote the healthy development of housing industry, the reasonable supply level of housing is maintained according to market demand. It can not only reduce the market speculation caused by the sharp fluctuations in housing prices, but also reduce the flow of hot money. It can also reduce the risk of some real industries because of getting involved in the housing market to make a lot of money out of the industry. Therefore, study the demand of the housing market and determine the reasonable housing price level. It will play a positive role in guiding the healthy housing consumption of urban residents, alleviating the fluctuation of housing price in cities and towns, and promoting the healthy and sustainable development of housing market. This paper first describes the background and research direction, that is, based on the perspective of the industrial structure of the study of relative housing prices, and then on the basis of domestic and foreign research on housing prices related literature, data on the basis of combing. This paper summarizes the theory of industrial structure and housing price, puts forward the concept of relative housing price, and analyzes the relationship between industry and housing. This paper analyzes the causes of housing supply and demand deviation and the influencing factors of housing price in the current housing market, and clarifies the influence mechanism of industrial structure on housing price. And based on the impact mechanism of housing demand evaluation index system based on the perspective of industrial structure, and then combined with Xi'an data. The level of housing demand in Xi'an based on industrial structure is calculated by the method of AHP, and the relative price of housing in Xi'an is calculated. Then the grey forecast model is used to predict the housing demand level in Xi'an for a period of time, and the price analysis is done. Finally, according to the forecast and analysis results. From the angle of ensuring the housing demand of urban residents and restraining housing overinvestment, this paper puts forward some suggestions for the reasonable development of housing market in Xi'an: through perfecting the supply structure of housing market, adjusting the deviation between supply and demand of housing market. To promote the reasonable development of housing price in Xi'an, we should improve the management of housing transaction information, raise the tax and fee of housing re-transaction, and change the concept of housing consumption.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安建筑科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F299.23

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