基于價(jià)值投資理論的選股策略構(gòu)建
本文關(guān)鍵詞:基于價(jià)值投資理論的選股策略構(gòu)建 出處:《華南理工大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 價(jià)值投資 行業(yè)分析 五年規(guī)劃 估值指標(biāo)
【摘要】:股市作為企業(yè)融資的平臺(tái)的同時(shí),也是投資者進(jìn)行投資的主要選擇領(lǐng)域之一。尤其在中國,投資者可選的投資領(lǐng)域狹小,投資股市成為大多數(shù)投資者的首選。而與國外股票市場多是專業(yè)的投資機(jī)構(gòu)參與所不同,中國的股票市場上非專業(yè)的中小投資者數(shù)量較多。相較于專業(yè)投資機(jī)構(gòu),中小投資者的資源、資金、精力等均不足,投資收益較差。本文旨在構(gòu)建投資策略以為中小投資者在投資決策過程中提供幫助。 本文的股票投資策略的分析方法建立在本杰明·格雷厄姆和沃倫·巴菲特的價(jià)值投資的理論基礎(chǔ)上,首先選擇出有政策支持的并且發(fā)展前景向好的行業(yè),進(jìn)而從所選行業(yè)中利用PE、PB、PS等估值指標(biāo)選取行業(yè)中最有投資價(jià)值的公司。根據(jù)此思路,本選股策略的基本邏輯是由面及點(diǎn),由廣及細(xì)的漸進(jìn)篩選。 為了方便驗(yàn)證本投資策略的可行性,有歷史數(shù)據(jù)可以驗(yàn)證,擬定投資期為2002年6月至2012年6月的十年期。本策略在選擇政策支持的行業(yè)部分,主要分析“五年規(guī)劃”對(duì)行業(yè)發(fā)展的影響;在選擇前景向好的行業(yè)部分,主要分析行業(yè)的市場結(jié)構(gòu)和利潤增長情況;因?yàn)樵跀M定投資期開始前恰逢中國加入WTO,將特別包括對(duì)于加入WTO后的行業(yè)發(fā)展分析;在選擇有投資價(jià)值的公司上,選取了PE、PB、PS這些估值指標(biāo)單獨(dú)或聯(lián)立進(jìn)行評(píng)判,經(jīng)綜合考慮和對(duì)比驗(yàn)證,,最終選取PE、PB、PS三個(gè)估值指標(biāo)聯(lián)立的估值體系。
[Abstract]:As a platform for corporate financing, stock market is also one of the main choice areas for investors to invest. Especially in China, investors have a narrow choice of investment fields. Investing in the stock market has become the first choice for most investors. However, it is different from the participation of professional investment institutions in foreign stock markets. There are more non-professional small and medium-sized investors in China's stock market. Compared with professional investment institutions, the resources, funds and energy of small and medium-sized investors are insufficient. The purpose of this paper is to construct investment strategies to help small and medium investors in the process of investment decision. The analysis of this paper's stock investment strategy is based on the theory of value investment by Benjamin Graham and Warren Buffett. First of all, we choose the industry with policy support and good prospects. And then select the most valuable companies from the selected industries by using such valuation indicators as PEI / PBPS. According to this idea, the basic logic of this stock selection strategy is from the aspect and point. By a wide and detailed progressive screening. In order to verify the feasibility of this investment strategy, there are historical data to verify that the investment period is from June 2002 to June 2012. This paper mainly analyzes the impact of "five-year plan" on the development of the industry; In the selection of promising industries, the main analysis of the industry market structure and profit growth; Since China's entry into WTO coincides with the beginning of the proposed investment period, it will include, in particular, an analysis of the development of the industry after China's entry into WTO; In the selection of companies with investment value, the evaluation index of PEI PBPPS is selected to judge separately or simultaneously. After comprehensive consideration and comparison, PEPb is selected finally. PS three valuation indicators of the valuation system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:華南理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F832.51
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