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信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-16 13:05

  本文選題:信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè) + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。 參考:《北京郵電大學(xué)》2013年博士論文


【摘要】:隨著信息通信技術(shù)的發(fā)展,越來(lái)越多的信息資源可以通過(guò)高速的寬帶網(wǎng)絡(luò)進(jìn)行傳播。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)走向知識(shí)密集和信息豐富,信息資源的創(chuàng)建,采集,管理,處理,存儲(chǔ),分發(fā)和訪問(wèn)也逐漸蔓延到廣泛的行業(yè),為進(jìn)一步的創(chuàng)新、增長(zhǎng)和就業(yè)做貢獻(xiàn)。信息資源逐漸成為科研,醫(yī)療,教育和社會(huì)服務(wù),知識(shí)和文化服務(wù)以及政府規(guī)制的中心,這也刺激越來(lái)越多的用戶參與并創(chuàng)造新的信息資源。由此而產(chǎn)生的信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)更是成為很多發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家積極發(fā)展的戰(zhàn)略性產(chǎn)業(yè)。因此,研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)整個(gè)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)的影響,為信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)健康、快速、高效的發(fā)展提供相應(yīng)的政策建議具有重大的意義。 本文的研究思路是從三個(gè)層面研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。首先,研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響,包括產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值和資本存量對(duì)GDP增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)。其次,從理論和實(shí)證分析兩個(gè)角度研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響。最后,研究全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP)對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響。 本文的主要結(jié)構(gòu)如下:第一章為緒論;第二章為相關(guān)研究的理論和文獻(xiàn)綜述;第三章對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的基礎(chǔ)性問(wèn)題進(jìn)行界定;第四章研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響;第五章從理論和實(shí)證分析角度研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)影響;第六章研究TFP對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響;第七章總結(jié)本文得出的主要結(jié)論并提出相關(guān)政策建議。 首先,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的基本理論,投入產(chǎn)出的分析方法,TFP的基本理論以及相關(guān)理論所涉及的一些基礎(chǔ)模型進(jìn)行了回顧。梳理了國(guó)內(nèi)外與信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)相關(guān)的文獻(xiàn),重點(diǎn)是與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)質(zhì)量相關(guān)的研究。通過(guò)文獻(xiàn)綜述發(fā)現(xiàn)現(xiàn)有的關(guān)于信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的研究主要集中在對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)基本概念的界定以及相關(guān)政策的研究方面。對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)如何影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的相關(guān)研究十分匱乏,類似的研究主要集中在信息通信技術(shù),信息產(chǎn)業(yè),文化創(chuàng)意產(chǎn)業(yè)等領(lǐng)域,而且還存在研究不深入,相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)的測(cè)度不準(zhǔn)確等問(wèn)題。 其次,通過(guò)文獻(xiàn)綜述發(fā)現(xiàn),目前無(wú)論是學(xué)術(shù)界還是產(chǎn)業(yè)界對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)還沒(méi)有統(tǒng)一的界定,對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的定義,內(nèi)涵,邊界辨析等基礎(chǔ)性問(wèn)題的研究還存在不準(zhǔn)確,不統(tǒng)一的問(wèn)題。在對(duì)相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行梳理的基礎(chǔ)上,本文對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的定義,內(nèi)涵,與其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的邊界辨析等基礎(chǔ)性問(wèn)題進(jìn)行了系統(tǒng)、全面、深入的研究。本文認(rèn)為信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)是提供信息資源產(chǎn)品和服務(wù)并以此盈利的現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè),是重要的國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略性產(chǎn)業(yè),對(duì)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級(jí)具有重要意義,是擴(kuò)大內(nèi)需的新的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)點(diǎn)。信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)可以分為傳統(tǒng)和現(xiàn)代兩部分,是信息產(chǎn)業(yè)和文化產(chǎn)業(yè)相互融合的產(chǎn)物。包括全部的信息服務(wù)業(yè),數(shù)字內(nèi)容產(chǎn)業(yè)以及文化創(chuàng)意產(chǎn)業(yè),也就是說(shuō)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)包括除了相關(guān)設(shè)備的生產(chǎn)、制造、銷(xiāo)售和租賃以外的全部的文化產(chǎn)業(yè)和信息產(chǎn)業(yè)。在對(duì)國(guó)際上主流的分類體系進(jìn)行研究的基礎(chǔ)上,本文在理論和統(tǒng)計(jì)層面給出了信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的界定,將信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)分為“信息資源存儲(chǔ)與傳輸業(yè)”,“信息資源開(kāi)發(fā)與加工業(yè)”和“信息資源交易與服務(wù)業(yè)”三個(gè)分行業(yè),并對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值,就業(yè)人數(shù)和固定資產(chǎn)投資等重要數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行了核算。 第三,通過(guò)測(cè)算貢獻(xiàn)率和拉動(dòng)率,研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)及其分行業(yè)對(duì)GDP的直接和間接貢獻(xiàn),結(jié)果表明信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)已經(jīng)具備了國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)的雛形,但其對(duì)GDP的促進(jìn)和帶動(dòng)作用還比較有限。 使用計(jì)量分析的方法對(duì)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與GDP和人均GDP之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析。結(jié)果表明信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值與GDP和人均GDP之間存在長(zhǎng)期的均衡關(guān)系,信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)是影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的重要因素。 將信息資源資本存量加入到生產(chǎn)函數(shù)中,研究信息資源資本對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響。結(jié)果表明,信息資源資本與物質(zhì)資本和勞動(dòng)力資本一樣,對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有持續(xù)的影響。信息資源資本每變動(dòng)1個(gè)單位,將導(dǎo)致GDP變動(dòng)0.1563個(gè)單位。但是相比較而言,信息資源資本對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響比物質(zhì)資本和勞動(dòng)力資本要小得多。 第四,使用數(shù)學(xué)模型在理論層面研究信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響。發(fā)現(xiàn)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)可以通過(guò)促進(jìn)創(chuàng)新和技術(shù)擴(kuò)散,增強(qiáng)決策質(zhì)量,以及減少成本,促進(jìn)需求來(lái)促進(jìn)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。 使用投入產(chǎn)出方法從實(shí)證分析的角度研究了信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的影響。使用直接消耗系數(shù),完全消耗系數(shù),直接分配系數(shù),完全分配系數(shù),中間投入率,中間需求率等指標(biāo)研究了信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)與其他產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)的關(guān)聯(lián)效應(yīng)。結(jié)果表明,我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)和其他產(chǎn)業(yè)存在密切的關(guān)聯(lián)關(guān)系。使用影響力系數(shù),感應(yīng)度系數(shù),生產(chǎn)誘發(fā)額,生產(chǎn)誘發(fā)系數(shù)和最終需求依賴度等指標(biāo)研究了信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的波及效應(yīng)。結(jié)果表明,我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)其他產(chǎn)業(yè)的波及效應(yīng)還有待加強(qiáng)。 第五,本文使用索洛余值法對(duì)1990-2010年間我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)及其分行業(yè)的TFP進(jìn)行了核算。結(jié)果表明,我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的TFP呈逐漸下降的趨勢(shì)。主要原因是資本和勞動(dòng)力投入的增加沒(méi)有帶來(lái)產(chǎn)出的快速增長(zhǎng)。測(cè)算了TFP對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)本身的貢獻(xiàn)率,結(jié)果表明TFP對(duì)我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)及其分行業(yè)的貢獻(xiàn)率較高,說(shuō)明我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)及其分行業(yè)的發(fā)展主要依靠技術(shù)因素的驅(qū)動(dòng)。 使用DEA-Malmquist生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)對(duì)2003-2010年間我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)及其分行業(yè)的TFP的變動(dòng)及分解情況進(jìn)行了研究。結(jié)果表明,我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展主要依靠技術(shù)進(jìn)步,TFP下降的主要原因是我國(guó)信息資源產(chǎn)業(yè)在資本投入大量增加的同時(shí),雖然技術(shù)進(jìn)步得到了提高,但是卻沒(méi)有充分挖掘現(xiàn)有資源和技術(shù)的潛力以提高技術(shù)效率。 第六,總結(jié)了本文所得到的主要結(jié)論,并根據(jù)本文的研究提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。歸納了本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)和不足之處,并對(duì)今后的研究方向進(jìn)行了展望。
[Abstract]:With the development of information and communication technology, more and more information resources can be spread through high-speed broadband networks. As the economy is moving towards knowledge intensive and informative, the creation, collection, management, processing, storage, distribution and access of information resources have gradually spread to a wide range of industries to contribute to further innovation, growth and employment. Information resources have gradually become the center of scientific research, medical treatment, education and social services, knowledge and cultural services, and government regulation. This also stimulates more and more users to participate in and create new information resources. Thus, the information resource industry has become a strategic industry in many developed countries. Therefore, the research of information resources The impact of industry on the entire national economy is of great significance for the healthy, rapid and efficient development of the information resources industry.
The research idea of this paper is to study the influence of information resource industry on the growth of national economy from three aspects. First, it studies the influence of information resource industry on economic growth, including the contribution of industrial added value and capital stock to the growth of GDP. Secondly, from the two angles of theory and empirical analysis, the paper studies the other industries in the national economy. Finally, we study the impact of total factor productivity (TFP) on the information resource industry.
The main structure of this article is as follows: the first chapter is the introduction; the second chapter is the theory and literature review of the related research; the third chapter defines the basic problems of the information resource industry; the fourth chapter studies the influence of the information resource industry on the economic growth; the fifth chapter studies the information resources industry from the theory and the empirical analysis to the other Industrial influence; the sixth chapter studies the impact of TFP on the information resources industry; the seventh chapter summarizes the main conclusions obtained in this paper and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
First, the basic theory of economic growth, the analysis method of input-output, the basic theory of TFP and some basic models involved in the related theories are reviewed. The literature related to the information resources industry at home and abroad is combed, focusing on the research on economic growth, industrial structure and the quality of economic growth. The current research on the information resources industry is mainly focused on the definition of the basic concept of industry and the research of relevant policies. The research on how the information resources industry affects economic growth is very scarce. Similar research mainly focuses on the fields of information and communication technology, information industry, cultural and creative industries and so on. The research is not thorough, and the measurement of related data is inaccurate.
Secondly, through the literature review, it is found that there is not a unified definition for the information resources industry in the academic and industrial circles, and the research on the definition, connotation and boundary discrimination of the information resources industry is still inaccurate and ununified. On the basis of combing the phase Guan Wenxian, the paper produces the information resources. The definition, the connotation, and the boundary discrimination of other industries have been systematically, comprehensively and deeply studied. This paper holds that the information resource industry is a modern service industry which provides information resources products and services, and is an important national strategic industry. It is important to the adjustment of China's economic structure and the upgrading of industrial transformation. Meaning is the new economic growth point for expanding domestic demand. The information resource industry can be divided into two parts, the traditional and the modern. It is the product of the integration of the information industry and the cultural industry. It includes all the information services, the digital content industry and the cultural and creative industries, that is to say, the information resources industry includes the production of the related equipment, including the production of related equipment. On the basis of the research on the international mainstream classification system, the definition of information resources industry is given on the basis of the international mainstream classification system, and the information resource industry is divided into "information resource storage and transmission industry", "information resource development and processing industry" and "processing industry". Information resources trading and service industry "are divided into three sub sectors, and important data such as industrial added value, employment and fixed assets investment are accounted for.
Third, by measuring the contribution rate and pulling rate, the direct and indirect contribution of the information resources industry and its sub industries to GDP has been studied. The results show that the information resource industry has already had the embryonic form of the pillar industry of the national economy, but its promotion and driving effect on the GDP is still limited.
The method of econometric analysis is used to make an empirical analysis on the relationship between the value of the information resource industry and the relationship between the GDP and the per capita GDP. The results show that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between the added value of the information resource industry and the GDP and the per capita GDP, and the information resource industry is an important factor affecting the economic growth.
The information resource capital stock is added to the production function to study the effect of information resource capital on economic growth. The result shows that the information resource capital, like material capital and labor capital, has a continuous effect on economic growth. 1 units of each change of information resource capital will lead to 0.1563 units of GDP change. The impact of information resource capital on economic growth is much smaller than that of physical capital and labor capital.
Fourth, a mathematical model is used to study the impact of the information resource industry on other industries. It is found that the information resource industry can enhance the quality of decision-making, reduce the cost and promote the development of other industries by promoting innovation and technology diffusion.
The impact of information resources industry on other industries is studied from the perspective of empirical analysis. The effects of direct consumption coefficient, total coefficient of consumption, direct distribution coefficient, total allocation coefficient, intermediate input rate and intermediate demand rate are studied. The results show that the relationship between information resources industry and other industries. There is a close relationship between China's information resources industry and other industries. The effects of the information resources industry on other industries are studied by using influence coefficient, induction coefficient, production induced volume, production induced coefficient and final demand dependence. The results show that the effect of information resources industry on other industries in China is also affected by the effect of information resources industry. It needs to be strengthened.
Fifth, this paper uses the solo surplus method to calculate the TFP of China's information resources industry and its sub industries in the past 1990-2010 years. The result shows that the TFP of China's information resources industry is decreasing gradually. The main reason is that the increase of capital and labor input does not bring the rapid growth of output. The contribution of TFP to the industry itself is calculated. The result shows that TFP has a high contribution to China's information resources industry and its sub industries. It shows that the development of China's information resources industry and its sub industries is mainly driven by technical factors.
The DEA-Malmquist productivity index is used to study the changes and decomposition of TFP in China's information resources industry and its sub industries in the past 2003-2010 years. The results show that the development of the information resources industry in China mainly depends on the technological progress. The main reason for the decline of the TFP is that the information resources industry of our country has increased the capital investment in a large amount, although it has been greatly increased. Although technological progress has been improved, the potential of existing resources and technologies has not been fully exploited to improve technical efficiency.
Sixth, the main conclusions of this paper are summarized, and the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward according to the research of this paper. The innovation points and shortcomings of this paper are summarized, and the future research direction is prospected.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:北京郵電大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2013
【分類號(hào)】:F224;F124.1;F49

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