【摘要】：通過構(gòu)建時(shí)空耦合測(cè)度模型并結(jié)合空間自相關(guān)方法,系統(tǒng)分析2000—2014年京津冀地區(qū)縣域農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展和農(nóng)民收入的時(shí)空耦合協(xié)調(diào)特征,以期為區(qū)域農(nóng)業(yè)和農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提供數(shù)據(jù)支撐。結(jié)果表明:①研究期間,中度耦合水平的縣域占全區(qū)縣域總數(shù)的98.2%以上,總體處于中度耦合水平,距離良性共振耦合尚有差距。②2000—2014年,受區(qū)域農(nóng)業(yè)稟賦、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展基礎(chǔ)、政策傾斜等要素的影響,縣域耦合協(xié)調(diào)性不高,多數(shù)處于拮抗階段和磨合協(xié)調(diào)階段,時(shí)序演變具有階段性。③縣域農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展和農(nóng)民收入以滯后和同步發(fā)展類型為主;農(nóng)業(yè)超前發(fā)展、農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展和農(nóng)民收入基本同步的縣域數(shù)目增多,農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展滯后的縣域數(shù)目減少。其中,拮抗滯后(Ⅰ)、拮抗同步(Ⅱ)、拮抗超前(Ⅲ)、磨合滯后(Ⅳ)、磨合同步(Ⅴ)、磨合超前(Ⅵ)是主要的耦合協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展類型。42000—2014年,縣域耦合協(xié)調(diào)性的空間集聚性顯著,且呈現(xiàn)階段性變化。建議未來因地制宜地采取調(diào)控手段和政策,促進(jìn)區(qū)域農(nóng)業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)和農(nóng)民收入?yún)f(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:By constructing a spatio-temporal coupling measurement model and combining spatial autocorrelation method, this paper systematically analyzes the space-time coupling and coordination characteristics of agricultural development and farmers' income in the counties of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region from 2000 to 2014. With a view to providing data support for the coordinated development of regional agriculture and rural economy. The results show that in the period of the study, the moderate coupling level accounted for more than 98.2% of the total number of counties in the whole region, and the overall level was in the medium coupling level, and there was still a gap between 2000 and 2014 from the benign resonance coupling. Due to the influence of policy inclination and other factors, the coupling and coordination of county area is not high, most of them are in the stage of antagonism and running-in coordination. The number of counties where agricultural development and farmers' income are basically synchronized increases and the number of counties lagging behind in agricultural development decreases. Among them, antagonistic lag (鈪，

本文編號(hào)：2137458