本文選題：政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué) + 勞資關(guān)系��； 參考：《中國人口科學(xué)》2017年04期

【摘要】：文章沿著馬克思主義政治經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)分析框架,解釋政府負(fù)債率在全球范圍內(nèi)先降后升的"V"形走勢(shì)。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),勞資關(guān)系推動(dòng)了政府債務(wù)的發(fā)展演變。在勞方地位強(qiáng)化階段,實(shí)際工資增長速度快于勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率,生產(chǎn)相對(duì)過剩問題并不突出,并且"上層建筑"表現(xiàn)為"加強(qiáng)管制",政府負(fù)債率相應(yīng)地由高變低;在勞方地位弱化階段,勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率飆升,而實(shí)際工資停滯,同時(shí),"上層建筑"的體現(xiàn)是"放松管制",并誘使債務(wù)杠桿部分地從家庭部門向公共部門轉(zhuǎn)移、轉(zhuǎn)化,政府負(fù)債率進(jìn)而由低變高。文章還利用動(dòng)態(tài)面板模型進(jìn)行計(jì)量分析,回歸結(jié)果顯示,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率對(duì)政府負(fù)債率沒有顯著影響。這意味著,盡管經(jīng)濟(jì)增長是很多政策手段有效發(fā)揮作用的基礎(chǔ)條件,但從具體對(duì)應(yīng)關(guān)系看,防范債務(wù)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的關(guān)鍵不在于刺激經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,而在于改善收入分配。
[Abstract]:According to the framework of Marxist political economy analysis, this paper explains the "V" trend of government debt ratio decreasing first and then rising in the global scope. The study found that labor relations promoted the development and evolution of government debt. In the stage of strengthening the position of labor, real wages increase faster than labor productivity, the problem of relative surplus of production is not prominent, and "superstructure" is characterized by "strengthening control", and the government debt ratio has correspondingly changed from high to low; At a stage of weakening labour, labour productivity soared, real wages stagnated, and the "superstructure" was embodied in "deregulation" and in inducing debt leverage to shift, in part, from the household sector to the public sector. The government's debt ratio has gone from low to higher. The regression results show that the economic growth rate has no significant effect on the government debt ratio. This means that, although economic growth is the basis for many policy instruments to function effectively, the key to preventing debt risk is not to stimulate economic growth, but to improve income distribution.
【作者單位】： 上海行政學(xué)院財(cái)政與國家治理研究中心;
【基金】：國家社科基金項(xiàng)目“中國地方政府債務(wù)博弈行為及其規(guī)制研究”(編號(hào):15CJL009)的階段性成果
【分類號(hào)】：F249.2;F812.5
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本文編號(hào)：2103019