本文關(guān)鍵詞：中國國際資本流動的效應(yīng)研究　出處：《山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 國際資本流動 效應(yīng) 資本流動風(fēng)險 政策建議 VAR模型

【摘要】：21世紀世界經(jīng)濟發(fā)展最顯著的特征就是國際資本的大規(guī)模跨境流動，許多新興市場國家都成為國際資本的輸入國。中國作為最大的發(fā)展中國家，隨著其經(jīng)濟的飛速增長以及投資環(huán)境的不斷改善，大量的外國資本開始進入我國市場，對我國的國際收支狀況產(chǎn)生了深刻的影響。 外資的大規(guī)模涌入，在一定程度上促進了我國經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展，但也帶來很多負效應(yīng)：導(dǎo)致我國國際收支長期雙順差，也造成了人民幣的升值壓力，影響了我國貨幣政策的有效性。為了深入探討國際資本流動帶給我國的各種效應(yīng)，本文采取理論分析和實證分析相結(jié)合的研究方法，主要分為四個部分。第一部分介紹了各個時期國際資本流動的相關(guān)理論和效應(yīng)模型，為后文的分析進行了鋪墊。第二部分對我國從建國以來到現(xiàn)在利用外資和對外投資的歷程做了概括，并從總量和結(jié)構(gòu)兩個方面分析了我國資本流動的現(xiàn)狀。結(jié)果表明近幾年我國的外資流入量不斷增加，資本流動呈現(xiàn)雙向流動趨勢，其中FDI的流入規(guī)模不斷增長，資本流動的方式呈現(xiàn)多元化。第三部分運用計量經(jīng)濟學(xué)的相關(guān)理論，通過建立計量模型，研究了國際資本流動的效應(yīng)�？梢钥吹剑赓Y的不斷流入推動了我國經(jīng)濟的增長，，也促進了我國對外貿(mào)易的發(fā)展，但也帶來了許多負效應(yīng)，造成了我國的通貨膨脹壓力，影響了我國的貨幣供應(yīng)量。第四部分對我國資本流動的風(fēng)險現(xiàn)狀進行了分析，并結(jié)合我國的現(xiàn)狀提出在新的形勢下我國對于資本流動管理的政策建議，認為我國應(yīng)該保持適度的資本流動，提高資本的利用效率，完善資本市場的制度，加強對流動資本的監(jiān)管，有效規(guī)避國際資本流動給中國經(jīng)濟帶來的風(fēng)險。
[Abstract]:In 21th century, the most prominent characteristic of the world economic development is the large-scale cross-border flow of international capital. Many emerging market countries have become the importers of international capital. China is the largest developing country. With the rapid growth of its economy and the continuous improvement of the investment environment, a large number of foreign capital began to enter the Chinese market, which has a profound impact on our country's balance of payments. The influx of foreign capital to a certain extent has promoted the development of our economy, but also brought a lot of negative effects: China's long-term balance of payments double surplus, but also caused the appreciation of the RMB pressure. In order to probe into the effects of international capital flow on China, this paper adopts the combination of theoretical analysis and empirical analysis to study the effectiveness of monetary policy in China. It is mainly divided into four parts. The first part introduces the relevant theories and effect models of international capital flows in each period. The second part summarizes the process of using foreign capital and foreign investment from the founding of our country to now. The present situation of capital flow in China is analyzed from the aspects of total amount and structure. The result shows that the inflow of foreign capital in China has been increasing in recent years, and the capital flow shows a trend of two-way flow. Among them, the inflow scale of FDI is increasing and the way of capital flow is diversified. The third part uses econometric theory to establish econometric model. This paper studies the effect of international capital flow. It can be seen that the continuous inflow of foreign capital promotes the growth of our economy and the development of China's foreign trade, but also brings a lot of negative effects. Caused the inflation pressure in China, affected the money supply in China. 4th part of the risk of capital flows in China is analyzed. According to the present situation of our country, this paper puts forward some policy suggestions on the management of capital flow under the new situation, and holds that China should maintain moderate capital flow, improve the efficiency of capital utilization and perfect the system of capital market. Strengthen the supervision of the current capital and effectively avoid the risks brought by the international capital flow to the Chinese economy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F832.51;F224

【參考文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 尹宇明,陶海波;熱錢規(guī)模及其影響[J];財經(jīng)科學(xué);2005年06期

2 羅斯丹;;國際資本流動傳導(dǎo)機制研究——基于對中國金融安全的影響[J];當(dāng)代經(jīng)濟研究;2009年01期

3 林輝;;我國隱性資本流動規(guī)模測算及其影響因素研究[J];南方金融;2008年02期

4 王琦;;關(guān)于我國國際資本流動影響因素計量模型的構(gòu)建和分析[J];國際金融研究;2006年06期

5 楊桂恒;;中國服務(wù)業(yè)FDI與服務(wù)貿(mào)易關(guān)系的實證研究——基于VAR模型[J];經(jīng)營管理者;2012年04期

6 關(guān)益眾;劉莉亞;程天笑;;國際資本流動“突然中斷”的預(yù)警指標(biāo)體系研究[J];財經(jīng)研究;2013年02期

7 袁仕陳;范明;;近年來中國國內(nèi)貨幣供給源于國際資本流動嗎?[J];世界經(jīng)濟研究;2012年03期

8 杜蕾;;國際資本流動的新特點與新趨勢[J];經(jīng)濟研究導(dǎo)刊;2010年13期

9 鄂志寰;資本流動與金融穩(wěn)定相關(guān)關(guān)系研究[J];金融研究;2000年07期

10 劉立達;;中國國際資本流入的影響因素分析[J];金融研究;2007年03期

本文編號：1372538