發(fā)布時(shí)間：2019-02-23 16:03

【摘要】：工業(yè)化與城市化作為經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展過程中相伴產(chǎn)生、不可分割的兩方面，二者的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)健康運(yùn)行有至關(guān)重要的影響。兩化的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展一直都是國(guó)內(nèi)外最熱的經(jīng)濟(jì)問題之一，保持兩化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展，避免互相脫離、不協(xié)調(diào)的情況出現(xiàn)是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的要義和實(shí)踐的要求。 前任學(xué)者的研究主要有三個(gè)不足之處：從研究對(duì)象上看，多是從宏觀的國(guó)家或者省域著手，缺少立足在城市微觀層面的分析，忽略了兩化在同一個(gè)國(guó)家不同區(qū)域的巨大差異；從研究方法上看，大多通過對(duì)比國(guó)際經(jīng)驗(yàn)或建立兩化單一指標(biāo)對(duì)比研究，忽略了我國(guó)兩化問題的特殊性，單一指標(biāo)片面、使用混亂現(xiàn)狀及指標(biāo)選取不同對(duì)結(jié)論準(zhǔn)確性影響巨大的缺陷；從研究結(jié)論上看，大多止步于研究?jī)苫笆欠瘛眳f(xié)調(diào)，沒有研究?jī)苫瘏f(xié)調(diào)性的影響因素，不能為宏觀政策的制定提供微觀的理論支持。 本文對(duì)工業(yè)化相關(guān)理論、城市化相關(guān)理論以及兩化關(guān)系的相關(guān)理論都作出了系統(tǒng)分析，其中重點(diǎn)是兩化關(guān)系的理論分析，分析了兩化協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的內(nèi)涵、特征、模式和影響因素。在理論分析指導(dǎo)下，進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析，立足于以下突破：研究對(duì)象方面，選擇我國(guó)改革開放以后經(jīng)濟(jì)變化最劇烈發(fā)展最快的東部沿海地區(qū)，以沿海除港澳臺(tái)之外的11個(gè)省區(qū)的114個(gè)地級(jí)市城市為目標(biāo)；研究方法方面，建立了兩化協(xié)調(diào)復(fù)合指標(biāo)體系，運(yùn)用因子分析方法得出以上114個(gè)地級(jí)市城市2002-2011共10年的協(xié)調(diào)度，并以協(xié)調(diào)度為因變量，提出假設(shè)，建立面板回歸模型，回歸分析兩化協(xié)調(diào)影響因素；研究結(jié)論方面，通過因子分析測(cè)度出了上述114個(gè)地級(jí)市城市10年的兩化協(xié)調(diào)性水平，并且通過回歸分析找出了影響目標(biāo)區(qū)域兩化協(xié)調(diào)度的6個(gè)主要因素：經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平、區(qū)位優(yōu)勢(shì)、服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)比重、資本密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)投資傾向、科教投入和環(huán)境因素。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明要促進(jìn)我國(guó)沿海地區(qū)工業(yè)化與城市化的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展，，就要保持經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展、發(fā)揮核心重點(diǎn)城市的區(qū)位輻射效應(yīng)、擴(kuò)大三產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)、加大勞動(dòng)密集型產(chǎn)業(yè)的投資力度、堅(jiān)持科教事業(yè)發(fā)展、注意環(huán)境的保護(hù)等。
[Abstract]:Industrialization and urbanization come into being together in the process of economic development. The coordinated development of both plays an important role in the healthy operation of economy. The coordinated development of the two transformation has always been one of the hottest economic problems at home and abroad. Keeping the coordinated development of the two systems and avoiding the separation from each other is the essential meaning of economic development and the requirement of practice. The former scholars' research mainly has three shortcomings: from the point of view of the research object, mostly from the macroscopic country or the province domain, lacks based on the city microscopic level analysis, has neglected the two turns in the same country different region huge difference; From the point of view of the research methods, most of them ignore the particularity of the two modernization problems and single index is one-sided by comparing the international experience or establishing a comparative study of two single indexes. (3) the defects of using chaotic status quo and different selection of indicators which have great influence on the accuracy of conclusions; From the point of view of the conclusion of the study, most of them stop at the study of whether the two processes are coordinated, and do not study the influencing factors of the coordination of the two processes, which can not provide microscopic theoretical support for the formulation of macro policies. In this paper, the theory of industrialization, the theory of urbanization and the theory of the relationship between the two processes are systematically analyzed, among which the emphasis is on the theoretical analysis of the relationship between the two transformation, and the connotation, characteristics, mode and influencing factors of the coordinated development of the two processes are analyzed. Under the guidance of theoretical analysis, the empirical analysis is based on the following breakthroughs: in terms of research objects, choose the eastern coastal areas, which have the fastest economic changes since the reform and opening up. The target is 114 prefecture-level cities in 11 provinces and districts in the coastal areas except Hong Kong, Macao and Taiwan; In the aspect of research methods, the paper establishes the composite index system of coordination between the two cities, and uses factor analysis method to get the coordination degree of the above 114 prefectural cities for 10 years from 2002 to 2011. Taking the coordination degree as the dependent variable, the paper puts forward the hypothesis and establishes the panel regression model. Regression analysis; In the aspect of the research conclusion, the paper measures the coordination level of the above 114 cities in 10 years by factor analysis, and finds out the six main factors that influence the coordination degree of the target region by regression analysis: the level of economic development. Location advantage, employment proportion of service industry, investment tendency of capital-intensive industry, input of science and education and environmental factors. The results of empirical analysis show that in order to promote the coordinated development of industrialization and urbanization in coastal areas of China, it is necessary to maintain the sustainable development of the economy, give full play to the regional radiation effect of the key cities, and expand the employment of the third industry service industry. Increase investment in labor-intensive industries, adhere to the development of science and education, pay attention to the protection of the environment.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F427;F299.27

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