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內(nèi)資BOT項目融資模式的風險研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-12-25 08:02
【摘要】:隨著我國經(jīng)濟的快速增長和城鎮(zhèn)化速度的加快,基礎建設完全依賴國家財政支出已經(jīng)完全不能滿足目前我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的要求,并且基礎設施項目建設周期長、投資大、風險高,一般的融資模式難以滿足基礎設施建設巨大的資金需求。因此,適時適當?shù)囊胄碌娜谫Y模式將為我國經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展起到推波助瀾的作用。在這種形勢之下,BOT項目融資在我國基礎設施建設中的應用越來越受到我國政府和相關投資者的重視。而內(nèi)資BOT項目融資與傳統(tǒng)的外資BOT項目融資模式相比較擁有較多的優(yōu)勢。隨著我國基礎設施建設領域?qū)γ耖g資本的逐漸開放,完全由國內(nèi)民間資本投資的以BOT項目融資模式開發(fā)的項目也日漸增多。在此背景下,本文對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的風險進行研究,系統(tǒng)進行了內(nèi)資BOT項目融資過程中的關鍵風險因素的識別、評價并進行相應處置,為內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的各方參與者提供一定參考。 第一章緒言,闡述了本文的研究背景,選題依據(jù)以及本文的研究目的和意義,確定研究的內(nèi)容和思路。一是對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的應用進行總體認識;二是識別內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的風險因素;三是對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的風險因素進行評價,確定關鍵的風險因素并排序;四是對風險因素做出相應的風險處置建議。 第二章詳細的介紹了國內(nèi)外BOT項目融資模式的發(fā)展及現(xiàn)狀,對比BOT項目融資模式在發(fā)達國家與發(fā)展中國家之間以及我國與其他國家的不同發(fā)展歷程和發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。分析了目前我國BOT項目融資模式發(fā)展的部分問題。 第三章對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資風險進行介紹,,闡述了風險、BOT項目融資和內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的部分定義。著重介紹了與外資BOT項目融資模式相比,內(nèi)資BOT項目融資在我國發(fā)展的優(yōu)勢。 第四章是本文的核心部分之一,系統(tǒng)的介紹了內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的風險識別,重點確定風險識別和風險識別的具體步驟和方法,最后得出內(nèi)資BOT項目融資風險識別的總體思路。 第五章是本文的另一重點,詳細的介紹了風險量化評價的相關方法并選擇層次分析法對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資的風險識別中識別的風險因素進行量化,確定權重排序并選擇出最關鍵的部分風險因素。 第六章結合前文的結果與結論,對內(nèi)資BOT項目融資風險的處置給出了相關建議,并提出應對風險的對策。闡述了BP神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡模型的概念并運用到風險預警機制的建立中。 第七章是本文的結論部分,總結了本文的研究結論,并對研究過程中存在的不足和以后需要進一步的研究看法進行闡述。
[Abstract]:With the rapid growth of our economy and the acceleration of urbanization, the infrastructure construction has completely depended on the national financial expenditure to meet the requirements of the current economic development of our country, and the construction cycle of infrastructure projects is long, the investment is large, and the risk is high. General financing model is difficult to meet the huge capital needs of infrastructure construction. Therefore, timely and appropriate introduction of new financing model will contribute to the development of our economy. In this situation, the application of BOT project financing in infrastructure construction has been paid more and more attention by our government and related investors. Compared with the traditional BOT project financing mode, domestic BOT project financing has more advantages. With the gradual opening of the field of infrastructure construction to private capital in China, the number of projects developed by BOT project financing mode is also increasing day by day. Under this background, this paper studies the risk of domestic BOT project financing, systematically identifies the key risk factors in the process of domestic BOT project financing, evaluates and deals with them accordingly. For the financing of domestic BOT project participants to provide a certain reference. The first chapter introduces the research background, the basis of the topic, the purpose and significance of this paper, and determines the content and thinking of the study. One is the general understanding of the application of domestic BOT project financing, the other is the identification of domestic BOT project financing risk factors, the third is to evaluate the domestic BOT project financing risk factors, determine the key risk factors and ranking; The fourth is to make the corresponding risk factors to deal with the recommendations. The second chapter introduces the development and current situation of BOT project financing mode at home and abroad, and compares the different development process and current situation of BOT project financing mode between developed and developing countries and between our country and other countries. This paper analyzes some problems in the development of BOT project financing mode in China. The third chapter introduces the domestic BOT project financing risk, expounds some definitions of risk, BOT project financing and domestic BOT project financing. This paper mainly introduces the advantages of domestic BOT project financing in China compared with foreign BOT project financing mode. The fourth chapter is one of the core parts of this paper. It systematically introduces the risk identification of domestic BOT project financing, and determines the specific steps and methods of risk identification and risk identification. Finally, the overall idea of domestic BOT project financing risk identification is obtained. The fifth chapter is another important point of this paper. It introduces the relevant methods of risk quantification evaluation in detail and chooses AHP to quantify the risk factors identified in the risk identification of domestic BOT project financing. Determine the weight order and select the most critical part of the risk factors. In the sixth chapter, combining the results and conclusions above, the author gives some suggestions on how to deal with the financing risk of domestic BOT project, and puts forward some countermeasures to deal with the risk. This paper expounds the concept of BP neural network model and applies it to the establishment of risk warning mechanism. The seventh chapter is the conclusion of this paper, summarizes the conclusions of this paper, and the shortcomings of the research process and the need for further research views.
【學位授予單位】:重慶工商大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F283

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