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中國房產(chǎn)價格:怎樣用融資選擇和價格杠桿分析房價是否虛高

發(fā)布時間:2018-04-09 10:03

  本文選題:中國 切入點:房地產(chǎn) 出處:《復(fù)旦大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文


【摘要】:過去十年中國房價創(chuàng)下歷史新高。同時,國內(nèi)金融市場也推出了各種新型融資產(chǎn)品.為投資者和融資者帶了更多選擇·增加了市場復(fù)雜性。這不僅在學(xué)術(shù)界·而且在傳媒界和普通大眾中也引起了新投資熱點。因此.政府最近出臺了一系列政策,顯示了控制房價上漲和穩(wěn)定金融市場的調(diào)控意圖。本文旨在分析房價是否出現(xiàn)價格泡沫·同時分析房產(chǎn)投資者的各種可選手段以及他們?nèi)绾斡绊懥朔慨a(chǎn)市場的穩(wěn)定性。結(jié)果顯示一些因素和理論預(yù)期并不相符.比如人口增長對房產(chǎn)市場造成負影響,更準確地說,放緩的人口增長不會使房價停止增長。但是與多數(shù)經(jīng)濟理論預(yù)期相反·固定資產(chǎn)投資和房產(chǎn)開發(fā)業(yè)將會對房產(chǎn)市場產(chǎn)生積極效應(yīng)。另一方面·與經(jīng)濟模型預(yù)測結(jié)果相符·中國大部分城市的房產(chǎn)時價與實際價值一致除了上海、深圳和北京富人區(qū)出現(xiàn)了價格泡沫。最后本文將闡述房產(chǎn)商和投資者都對金融創(chuàng)新表現(xiàn)出強烈興趣·尤其是對REIT,私募股權(quán)融資和安全化過程。政府都意識到了房價上漲和金融工具多元化的趨勢。針對此.政府采取的調(diào)控措施在于防止房價上漲率下降·導(dǎo)致了消費需求萎縮和房地產(chǎn)相關(guān)工業(yè)需求下降。此外.其他新政策也在于防止產(chǎn)生房價和金融市場的不穩(wěn)定
[Abstract]:China's house prices have hit record highs over the past decade.At the same time, the domestic financial market has also launched a variety of new financing products.More options for investors and financiers add to the complexity of the market.This not only in academia, but also in the media and the general public also caused a new investment hot spot.So...The government has recently introduced a series of policies that show the intention of controlling rising house prices and stabilizing financial markets.The purpose of this paper is to analyze whether there is a price bubble in house prices and how they affect the stability of the real estate market.The results show that some factors do not match the theoretical expectations.Population growth, for example, has a negative impact on the housing market and, more accurately, slowing population growth will not stop house prices from rising.But contrary to most economic theories, fixed asset investment and property development will have a positive effect on the real estate market.On the other hand, in line with economic model forecasts, current property prices in most Chinese cities are in line with real values except in Shanghai, Shenzhen and rich areas in Beijing have seen price bubbles.Finally, this paper will explain that both real estate and investors have shown strong interest in financial innovation, especially for REITs, private equity financing and the process of security.Governments are aware of the trend towards rising house prices and diversification of financial instruments.In view of this.The government's controls are aimed at preventing falling housing prices from shrinking consumer demand and falling demand for property-related industries.In addition...Other new policies are aimed at preventing house prices and financial market instability
【學(xué)位授予單位】:復(fù)旦大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F299.23

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