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甘肅省金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化影響的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-17 00:28

  本文選題:金融發(fā)展 切入點:城鎮(zhèn)化進程 出處:《蘭州大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


【摘要】:城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展對經濟和社會均具有積極的促進作用,金融是融資的主要手段,對城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展有重大推動作用。作為典型的西部欠發(fā)達省份,目前甘肅省的城鎮(zhèn)化水平還處于初級階段。為較快推進甘肅省城鎮(zhèn)化進程,研究本省金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化進程的影響,對穩(wěn)步推進城鎮(zhèn)化進程具有重要的理論和現(xiàn)實意義。 本文基于理論和實證分析來探究甘肅省金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化的影響。在理論部分,先對國內外關于金融發(fā)展與城鎮(zhèn)化關系的研究做了綜述,在此基礎上,分別介紹了關于金融發(fā)展和城鎮(zhèn)化的代表性理論;最后,提出金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化的影響機制,指出金融發(fā)展可以通過城鎮(zhèn)人口占比、產業(yè)結構、人口素質三個方面來影響城鎮(zhèn)化進程。 在實證分析之前,分別梳理了甘肅省現(xiàn)有金融發(fā)展和城鎮(zhèn)化進程的程度,到底金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化進程將造成何種影響,還需后面的實證分析來探討。實證分析部分,先介紹本文選取的金融發(fā)展的相關概念和城鎮(zhèn)化的相關概念并選取衡量指標;其次,通過建立三個模型,分別探究金融發(fā)展對人口城鎮(zhèn)化率、產業(yè)結構、人口素質的影響;再次,在協(xié)整檢驗和格蘭杰因果檢驗之前先對各時間序列的平穩(wěn)性做單位根檢驗,通過協(xié)整檢驗及協(xié)整方程、格蘭杰因果檢驗、脈沖響應分析來研究金融發(fā)展對城鎮(zhèn)化進程的影響;最后,得出結論是,金融效率對甘肅省城鎮(zhèn)化產生反作用,金融結構和金融規(guī)模對城鎮(zhèn)化進程起著促進作用,并給出相關建議。
[Abstract]:The development of urbanization plays a positive role in promoting both economy and society. Finance is the main means of financing and plays an important role in promoting the development of urbanization. At present, the urbanization level of Gansu Province is still in the primary stage. In order to accelerate the urbanization process in Gansu Province, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study the influence of the financial development of Gansu Province on the urbanization process. Based on the theoretical and empirical analysis, this paper explores the impact of financial development on urbanization in Gansu Province. In the theoretical part, it summarizes the research on the relationship between financial development and urbanization at home and abroad, and on this basis, Finally, the paper puts forward the influence mechanism of financial development on urbanization, and points out that financial development can pass through the proportion of urban population, industrial structure, The quality of the population affects the process of urbanization in three aspects. Before the empirical analysis, this paper combs the extent of the current financial development and urbanization process in Gansu Province, and the impact of the financial development on the urbanization process, which needs to be discussed in the following empirical analysis. Firstly, this paper introduces the related concepts of financial development and urbanization, and selects the measurement index. Secondly, through the establishment of three models to explore the impact of financial development on population urbanization rate, industrial structure, population quality; Thirdly, before cointegration test and Granger causality test, we do unit root test on the stationarity of each time series, through cointegration test and cointegration equation, Granger causality test. Impulse response analysis is used to study the impact of financial development on the urbanization process. Finally, it is concluded that financial efficiency has a negative effect on urbanization in Gansu Province, and financial structure and financial scale play a promoting role in the process of urbanization. The relevant suggestions are also given.
【學位授予單位】:蘭州大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F832.7;F299.27

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