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基于DEA方法的我國汽車制造業(yè)全要素生產率分析

發(fā)布時間:2018-03-11 00:14

  本文選題:汽車制造業(yè) 切入點:全要素生產率 出處:《華南理工大學》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


【摘要】:改革開放以來,我國制造業(yè)的迅速發(fā)展極大的提升了中國的實力,也成為了國民經濟的支柱。其中汽車制造業(yè)發(fā)展尤為迅速,在我國制造業(yè)發(fā)展中占有重要的地位,許多國家把汽車制造業(yè)作為衡量一個國家科學技術與經濟發(fā)展水平的重要標志,并把汽車業(yè)作為國民經濟的支柱產業(yè),可見汽車制造業(yè)的重要地位與作用。我國2009年生產的汽車銷量突破1300萬輛,,超越美國成為全球最大的汽車市場,據中國汽車工業(yè)協(xié)會最新公布,2013年,我國汽車產銷2211.68萬輛和2198.41萬輛,同比分別增長14.9%和13.9%,增速穩(wěn)中有進,再次刷新全球紀錄,連續(xù)五年蟬聯(lián)世界第一,汽車制造業(yè)已進入總量較高的平穩(wěn)發(fā)展階段。然而,生產效率問題是一個不可忽視的大問題,少投入多產出,一直都是企業(yè)生產的關鍵,也是國際國內經濟競爭力的關鍵部分。面對國際市場的激烈競爭,我們必須要對我國汽車制造業(yè)的生產率進行研究。 本文以我國汽車制造業(yè)這樣一個國民經濟中和一國發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略中具有重要地位和作用的制造產業(yè)作為研究對象有著重要意義,特別是對快速發(fā)展過程中的汽車制造業(yè)進行全要素生產率(TFP)分析更有著重要意義。根據相關經濟理論,通過全要素生產率的測算模型,運用數據包絡分析中的Malmquist指數法,對我國29個汽車生產地區(qū)及全國2000-2011年的面板數據進行分解、測算,并深入分析我國各省市汽車制造業(yè)TFP增長的變化規(guī)律和波動趨勢。并據此進一步對我國中部、東部、西部三大地區(qū)的汽車制造業(yè)全要素生產率進行了比較分析以及對我國部分地區(qū)某一年份的投入冗余產出不足進行了分析。最后在此研究的基礎上找出影響我國汽車制造業(yè)全要素生產率的主要因素。本文的研究目標主要有:一是把握汽車制造業(yè)TFP增長的變動規(guī)律和演進趨勢;二是弄清汽車制造業(yè)TFP的增長源泉及其內在機理,并對我國汽車制造業(yè)的長期發(fā)展提出政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, the rapid development of China's manufacturing industry has greatly enhanced China's strength and become the pillar of the national economy. Many countries regard the automobile manufacturing industry as an important symbol to measure the level of science, technology and economic development of a country, and regard the automobile industry as the pillar industry of the national economy. In 2009, China's auto sales exceeded 13 million units, overtaking the United States as the world's largest auto market. According to the latest announcement by the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers, 2013, The production and sales of twenty-two million one hundred and sixteen thousand and eight hundred and twenty-one million nine hundred and eighty-four thousand and one hundred vehicles in China have increased by 14.9% and 13.9 respectively over the same period last year. The growth rate has improved steadily, and the world record has been set again. For five consecutive years, the automobile manufacturing industry has entered a stage of steady development with a relatively high total volume. Production efficiency is a big problem that can not be ignored. Less input and more output have always been the key of enterprise production, and also the key part of international and domestic economic competitiveness. In the face of fierce competition in the international market, We must study the productivity of our automobile manufacturing industry. In this paper, it is of great significance to study the manufacturing industry which plays an important role in the national economy and the development strategy of a country. Especially, it is of great significance to analyze the total factor productivity (TFP) of the automobile manufacturing industry in the process of rapid development. According to the relevant economic theory, the Malmquist index method in the data envelopment analysis is used to measure the total factor productivity (TFP). The panel data of 29 automobile production areas in China and the whole country from 2000 to 2011 are analyzed, and the variation law and fluctuation trend of TFP growth in automobile manufacturing industry in various provinces and cities of China are analyzed. Based on this, the change of TFP in the central and eastern parts of China is further analyzed. The total factor productivity (TFP) of automobile manufacturing industry in three western regions is comparatively analyzed, and the shortage of input redundancy and output in some regions of China is analyzed. Finally, based on the research, the author finds out the influence of this research on the steam production in China. The main research objectives of this paper are as follows: first, grasp the changing law and evolution trend of TFP growth in automobile manufacturing industry; The second is to make clear the growth source and internal mechanism of TFP in automobile manufacturing industry, and to put forward policy suggestions for the long-term development of automobile manufacturing industry in China.
【學位授予單位】:華南理工大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F426.471;F224

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