發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-06 11:26

  本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化　切入點(diǎn)：經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)　出處：《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》2015年12期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：文章基于1978~2011年全國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化率與人均GDP時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù),建立var模型,運(yùn)用脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)、方差分解、格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)分析得出城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)有積極的促進(jìn)作用,同時(shí)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)對(duì)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展也有促進(jìn)作用;采用省域2005~2011年城鎮(zhèn)化率和人均GDP的面板數(shù)據(jù),建立空間計(jì)量模型進(jìn)一步分析城鎮(zhèn)化對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的貢獻(xiàn)度,分析得出全國(guó)城鎮(zhèn)化每提高一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),人均GDP增長(zhǎng)約為0.93個(gè)百分點(diǎn),東中部地區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化每提高一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),人均GDP增長(zhǎng)約為3.14個(gè)百分點(diǎn),西部地區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化每提高一個(gè)百分點(diǎn),人均GDP增長(zhǎng)約為0.32個(gè)百分點(diǎn),貢獻(xiàn)度為東中部全國(guó)西部。提出積極推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè),在中西部地區(qū)積極培育城市圈與城市群,打造城市經(jīng)濟(jì)圈,發(fā)揮增長(zhǎng)極的輻射帶動(dòng)作用,縮小東西部城鎮(zhèn)化效率差距的建議。
[Abstract]:Based on the data of urbanization rate and per capita GDP time series from 1978 to 2011, this paper establishes a var model. By using impulse response function, variance decomposition and Granger causality test, it is concluded that urbanization has a positive effect on economic growth. At the same time, economic growth also promotes the development of urbanization. Using the panel data of urbanization rate and per capita GDP from 2005 to 2011, a spatial econometric model is established to further analyze the contribution of urbanization to economic development. The analysis shows that for each increase of one percentage point in urbanization, the per capita GDP growth is about 0.93 percentage points, the average per capita GDP growth is about 3.14 percentage points for each increase of urbanization in the eastern and central regions, and one percentage point for each increase in urbanization in the western region. The per capita GDP growth rate is about 0.32 percentage points, with a contribution of the eastern, central and western parts of the country. It is proposed to actively promote urbanization, actively foster urban circles and urban agglomerations in the central and western regions, create urban economic circles, and give play to the radiation-driven role of the growth poles. The suggestion of narrowing the disparity of urbanization efficiency between east and west.
【作者單位】： %E7%A0%94%E7%A9%B6%E7%94%9F%E9%99%A2;%E5%8D%8E%E4%B8%AD%E5%B8%88%E8%8C%83%E5%A4%A7%E5%AD%A6%E5%9F%8E%E5%B8%82%E4%B8%8E%E7%8E%AF%E5%A2%83%E7%A7%91%E5%AD%A6%E5%AD%A6%E9%99%A2;" target="_blank">中國(guó)地質(zhì)大學(xué)<武漢>研究生院;華中師范大學(xué)城市與環(huán)境科學(xué)學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家社會(huì)科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目(13BGL155)
【分類號(hào)】：F224;F299.21

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