本文關鍵詞： 專業(yè)化 多樣化 相關多樣化 無關多樣化 經濟增長 經濟穩(wěn)定 就業(yè)穩(wěn)定　出處：《湖南大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】：近年來，世界經濟的不確定性突出，我國經濟面臨的風險日益增多，高增長率遇到了巨大挑戰(zhàn)。面對嚴峻的國內外經濟形勢，我國政府將“穩(wěn)增長、轉方式、調結構”作為經濟工作的緊迫任務。經濟的長期穩(wěn)定增長需要以健康完善的經濟結構為基礎。本文以產業(yè)專業(yè)化和多樣化影響城市經濟發(fā)展的理論機制為基礎，利用2002-2011年全國261個地級及以上城市數據，構建相對專業(yè)化指數和熵指數作為兩種產業(yè)結構的衡量指標，并將后者分為相關多樣化和無關多樣化兩部分。利用中國工業(yè)企業(yè)數據庫數據測算得出產業(yè)結構多樣化水平的熵指標，分別從經濟增長、經濟波動及就業(yè)波動三個方面檢驗兩種產業(yè)結構的影響，并考察產業(yè)多樣化與城市規(guī)模的協同效應，檢驗經濟增長與經濟波動的因果關系。為進一步分析比較不同地區(qū)和不同規(guī)模城市專業(yè)化、多樣化的產業(yè)結構對經濟增長和穩(wěn)定性影響的差異，本文分東、中、西三個地區(qū)及大城市和中小城市分別進行計量檢驗，得出以下結論： 第一，在2002-2011年期間我國多數城市沒有從多樣化的城市經濟中獲得增長的動力，但多樣化與城市規(guī)模具有對經濟增長的協同促進作用；第二，，多樣化經濟促進了大城市的經濟增長，且有利于增強不同規(guī)模城市經濟增長的穩(wěn)定性。中小城市依靠專業(yè)化經濟拉動了經濟增長，專業(yè)化的產業(yè)結構穩(wěn)定了就業(yè)；第三，東部地區(qū)多樣化的產業(yè)結構不僅促進了經濟增長，而且對經濟增長過程及就業(yè)的穩(wěn)定性有顯著貢獻。中部地區(qū)則相反，專業(yè)化的產業(yè)結構更有利于經濟穩(wěn)定增長。對西部城市，專業(yè)化利于經濟增長，但會帶來一定的經濟波動。第四，城市經濟的波動和增長相互影響。其中，經濟波動和就業(yè)波動明顯不利于經濟增長，經濟增長可以減輕經濟波動，卻不利于就業(yè)穩(wěn)定。根據以上研究結果，結合我國現實發(fā)展狀況，本文最后提出了若干政策建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the uncertainty of the world economy is prominent, the risk of our country's economy is increasing day by day, the high growth rate has met the huge challenge. Facing the severe domestic and foreign economic situation, our country government will "steady growth, change the way." Adjusting structure "is an urgent task of economic work. The long-term stable growth of economy needs to be based on a healthy and perfect economic structure. This paper is based on the theoretical mechanism that industrial specialization and diversification affect the development of urban economy." Based on the data of 261 prefectural cities and above from 2002 to 2011, the relative specialization index and entropy index are constructed as the measurement indexes of the two kinds of industrial structure. The latter is divided into two parts: related diversification and unrelated diversification. The entropy index of the diversification level of industrial structure is calculated by using the database data of Chinese industrial enterprises, respectively, from the economic growth. Economic fluctuation and employment fluctuation examine the impact of the two types of industrial structure, and examine the synergy between industrial diversification and urban scale. To test the causality between economic growth and economic fluctuations. In order to further analyze and compare the differences between different regions and cities with different size of specialization and diversification of industrial structure on economic growth and stability, this paper is divided into east and middle. The three western regions, large cities and small and medium-sized cities were tested separately, and the following conclusions were drawn: First, in 2002-2011, most cities in China did not obtain the power of growth from the diversified urban economy, but diversification and urban scale have a synergistic role in promoting economic growth; Second, the diversified economy promotes the economic growth of large cities and helps to enhance the stability of economic growth of cities of different sizes. Small and medium-sized cities rely on specialized economy to stimulate economic growth. The specialized industrial structure stabilizes employment; Third, the diversified industrial structure in the eastern region not only promotes economic growth, but also contributes significantly to the process of economic growth and the stability of employment. Specialization of industrial structure is more conducive to stable economic growth. For western cities, specialization is conducive to economic growth, but will bring certain economic fluctuations. 4th, urban economic fluctuations and growth interaction. Economic fluctuations and employment fluctuations are obviously not conducive to economic growth, economic growth can reduce economic fluctuations, but not conducive to employment stability. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward.
【學位授予單位】：湖南大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.2;F224;F124.1

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