本文關(guān)鍵詞： 專業(yè)化 多樣化 相關(guān)多樣化 無關(guān)多樣化 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng) 經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定 就業(yè)穩(wěn)定　出處：《湖南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：近年來，世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的不確定性突出，我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)面臨的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)日益增多，高增長(zhǎng)率遇到了巨大挑戰(zhàn)。面對(duì)嚴(yán)峻的國(guó)內(nèi)外經(jīng)濟(jì)形勢(shì)，我國(guó)政府將“穩(wěn)增長(zhǎng)、轉(zhuǎn)方式、調(diào)結(jié)構(gòu)”作為經(jīng)濟(jì)工作的緊迫任務(wù)。經(jīng)濟(jì)的長(zhǎng)期穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)需要以健康完善的經(jīng)濟(jì)結(jié)構(gòu)為基礎(chǔ)。本文以產(chǎn)業(yè)專業(yè)化和多樣化影響城市經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的理論機(jī)制為基礎(chǔ)，利用2002-2011年全國(guó)261個(gè)地級(jí)及以上城市數(shù)據(jù)，構(gòu)建相對(duì)專業(yè)化指數(shù)和熵指數(shù)作為兩種產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的衡量指標(biāo)，并將后者分為相關(guān)多樣化和無關(guān)多樣化兩部分。利用中國(guó)工業(yè)企業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)庫(kù)數(shù)據(jù)測(cè)算得出產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)多樣化水平的熵指標(biāo)，分別從經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)及就業(yè)波動(dòng)三個(gè)方面檢驗(yàn)兩種產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響，并考察產(chǎn)業(yè)多樣化與城市規(guī)模的協(xié)同效應(yīng)，檢驗(yàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)與經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)的因果關(guān)系。為進(jìn)一步分析比較不同地區(qū)和不同規(guī)模城市專業(yè)化、多樣化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和穩(wěn)定性影響的差異，本文分東、中、西三個(gè)地區(qū)及大城市和中小城市分別進(jìn)行計(jì)量檢驗(yàn)，得出以下結(jié)論： 第一，在2002-2011年期間我國(guó)多數(shù)城市沒有從多樣化的城市經(jīng)濟(jì)中獲得增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)力，但多樣化與城市規(guī)模具有對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的協(xié)同促進(jìn)作用；第二，，多樣化經(jīng)濟(jì)促進(jìn)了大城市的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，且有利于增強(qiáng)不同規(guī)模城市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的穩(wěn)定性。中小城市依靠專業(yè)化經(jīng)濟(jì)拉動(dòng)了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，專業(yè)化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)穩(wěn)定了就業(yè)；第三，東部地區(qū)多樣化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)不僅促進(jìn)了經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，而且對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)過程及就業(yè)的穩(wěn)定性有顯著貢獻(xiàn)。中部地區(qū)則相反，專業(yè)化的產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)更有利于經(jīng)濟(jì)穩(wěn)定增長(zhǎng)。對(duì)西部城市，專業(yè)化利于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，但會(huì)帶來一定的經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)。第四，城市經(jīng)濟(jì)的波動(dòng)和增長(zhǎng)相互影響。其中，經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)和就業(yè)波動(dòng)明顯不利于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)，經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)可以減輕經(jīng)濟(jì)波動(dòng)，卻不利于就業(yè)穩(wěn)定。根據(jù)以上研究結(jié)果，結(jié)合我國(guó)現(xiàn)實(shí)發(fā)展?fàn)顩r，本文最后提出了若干政策建議。
[Abstract]:In recent years, the uncertainty of the world economy is prominent, the risk of our country's economy is increasing day by day, the high growth rate has met the huge challenge. Facing the severe domestic and foreign economic situation, our country government will "steady growth, change the way." Adjusting structure "is an urgent task of economic work. The long-term stable growth of economy needs to be based on a healthy and perfect economic structure. This paper is based on the theoretical mechanism that industrial specialization and diversification affect the development of urban economy." Based on the data of 261 prefectural cities and above from 2002 to 2011, the relative specialization index and entropy index are constructed as the measurement indexes of the two kinds of industrial structure. The latter is divided into two parts: related diversification and unrelated diversification. The entropy index of the diversification level of industrial structure is calculated by using the database data of Chinese industrial enterprises, respectively, from the economic growth. Economic fluctuation and employment fluctuation examine the impact of the two types of industrial structure, and examine the synergy between industrial diversification and urban scale. To test the causality between economic growth and economic fluctuations. In order to further analyze and compare the differences between different regions and cities with different size of specialization and diversification of industrial structure on economic growth and stability, this paper is divided into east and middle. The three western regions, large cities and small and medium-sized cities were tested separately, and the following conclusions were drawn: First, in 2002-2011, most cities in China did not obtain the power of growth from the diversified urban economy, but diversification and urban scale have a synergistic role in promoting economic growth; Second, the diversified economy promotes the economic growth of large cities and helps to enhance the stability of economic growth of cities of different sizes. Small and medium-sized cities rely on specialized economy to stimulate economic growth. The specialized industrial structure stabilizes employment; Third, the diversified industrial structure in the eastern region not only promotes economic growth, but also contributes significantly to the process of economic growth and the stability of employment. Specialization of industrial structure is more conducive to stable economic growth. For western cities, specialization is conducive to economic growth, but will bring certain economic fluctuations. 4th, urban economic fluctuations and growth interaction. Economic fluctuations and employment fluctuations are obviously not conducive to economic growth, economic growth can reduce economic fluctuations, but not conducive to employment stability. Finally, some policy suggestions are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.2;F224;F124.1

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