本文關(guān)鍵詞：深圳城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展研究　出處：《華中師范大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類(lèi)型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：深圳是我國(guó)首個(gè)經(jīng)濟(jì)特區(qū),短短30年時(shí)間由一個(gè)小城市變成我國(guó)四大一線城市之一的國(guó)際化大都市,創(chuàng)造了舉世矚目的“深圳速度”,深圳城市發(fā)展一直受到各界的關(guān)注。對(duì)深圳城市開(kāi)展可持續(xù)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)研究,對(duì)大城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展路徑具有一定的借鑒意義。 基于可持續(xù)發(fā)展評(píng)價(jià)模型,構(gòu)建城市經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、生態(tài)三級(jí)指標(biāo)體系,對(duì)1996-2011年深圳城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展進(jìn)行了評(píng)價(jià)研究。研究結(jié)果顯示： (1)可持續(xù)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)由低級(jí)向高級(jí)演化的趨勢(shì)。1996-2011年,深圳市可持續(xù)發(fā)展綜合水平呈現(xiàn)折現(xiàn)上升的趨勢(shì),呈現(xiàn)以2004年為原點(diǎn)的軸對(duì)稱(chēng)關(guān)系,1996年綜合可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)為-1.67,2011年綜合可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)為1.27,年均增長(zhǎng)率為32.1%。 (2)經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)、生態(tài)可持續(xù)、社會(huì)可持續(xù)具有明顯的相關(guān)性。經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)與社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)相關(guān)性達(dá)到了0.945,說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與社會(huì)發(fā)展緊密相關(guān),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展在促進(jìn)社會(huì)發(fā)展方面具有重要作用。經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展與環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)為0.669,說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展,對(duì)環(huán)境發(fā)展有一定推動(dòng)作用。社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展與環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展相關(guān)性為0.79,社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展與環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有較強(qiáng)的相關(guān)性,另外,在不同的階段,四者具有一定的不同步性,具體表現(xiàn)為初期階段社會(huì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展、環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展、綜合可持續(xù)發(fā)展滯后于經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,中期社會(huì)、環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展高于經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展,說(shuō)明經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展是支撐社會(huì)、環(huán)境發(fā)展的保障,城市要發(fā)展,首先要發(fā)展經(jīng)濟(jì),經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展到一定階段,反過(guò)來(lái)促進(jìn)社會(huì)、環(huán)境的發(fā)展,形成一種互補(bǔ)關(guān)系。 (3)經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、環(huán)境可持續(xù)發(fā)展表現(xiàn)出較大的穩(wěn)定性,綜合可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)具有較大的波動(dòng)性。說(shuō)明可持續(xù)發(fā)展還不夠穩(wěn)定,具有較大的波動(dòng)性。 (4)1997-2011年城市可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)呈現(xiàn)先弱后強(qiáng)的特征,1996-2005年呈現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、生態(tài)發(fā)展不協(xié)調(diào),2005-2011年,呈現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)、生態(tài)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展的特征,其中2007年協(xié)調(diào)性指數(shù)最高,2007年之后協(xié)調(diào)性指數(shù)逐漸降低,但仍然具有較高的協(xié)調(diào)性。 根據(jù)研究結(jié)論,總結(jié)深圳可持續(xù)發(fā)展具有空間有限、人口膨脹、可持續(xù)發(fā)展指數(shù)不穩(wěn)定等問(wèn)題,提出四點(diǎn)決策建議：一是進(jìn)一步推進(jìn)城市規(guī)劃,二是推進(jìn)產(chǎn)業(yè)高、精、尖發(fā)展,三是完善公共服務(wù)設(shè)施,四是加強(qiáng)生態(tài)保護(hù)力度。
[Abstract]:Shenzhen is China's first special economic zone, just 30 years from a small city to become one of the four first-tier cities in China's international metropolis, created the world-renowned "Shenzhen speed", Shenzhen city development has attracted attention from all walks of life. The city of Shenzhen to carry out sustainable development evaluation research, has certain reference significance the big city sustainable development path.
Based on the evaluation model of sustainable development, the three level index system of urban economy, society and ecology has been constructed, and the sustainable development of Shenzhen has been evaluated for 1996-2011 years.
(1) the sustainable development is from lower level to higher level the evolution trend of.1996-2011 years, the comprehensive level of sustainable development of Shenzhen city has discounted upward trend, showing relation of axial symmetry based on the origin of 2004 to 1996, the comprehensive sustainable development index for the comprehensive index of sustainable development in -1.672011 was 1.27, the average annual growth rate of 32.1%.
(2) the sustainable economic, ecological sustainability, social sustainability has obvious relevance. The sustainable development of economy and social sustainable development index correlation index reached 0.945, indicating the economic development and social development is closely related to economic development plays an important role in promoting social development. The sustainable development of economy and environment sustainable development index was 0.669, indicating the economic development have a certain effect on the environment, promote social development. The sustainable development and the sustainable development of environment correlation is 0.79, there is a strong correlation, the sustainable development of the society and the environment sustainable development in different stages, in addition, the four have not the same, the specific performance of the early stage of social sustainable development, sustainable development, comprehensive sustainable development lag in the sustainable development of economy, society and environment sustainable development stage, high on economic sustainable development The exhibition shows that economic development is a guarantee for supporting the development of society and environment. First, we must develop economy and develop economy to a certain stage, which in turn promotes the development of society and environment and forms a complementary relationship.
(3) the sustainable development of economy, society and environment shows greater stability. The index of comprehensive sustainable development has greater volatility. This shows that sustainable development is not stable enough, and has great volatility.
(4) the index of sustainable development of city 1997-2011 showed weak features after strong economic, social, 1996-2005 years, ecological development, 2005-2011, showing the economic, social and ecological characteristics of the coordinated development of the coordination, which in 2007 was the highest, after 2007 the coordination index decreased gradually, but still has a high compatibility.
According to the research conclusion, with limited space, population expansion summary of Shenzhen sustainable development, sustainable development index is not stable, put forward four policy recommendations: one is to further promote the city planning, the two is to promote the industry development of high, fine, sharp, the three is to improve the public service facilities, the four is to strengthen the ecological protection.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F299.27

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