本文關(guān)鍵詞：重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的統(tǒng)計(jì)分析　出處：《重慶大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 新型城鎮(zhèn)化 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展 計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)分析 面板數(shù)據(jù)模型

【摘要】：重慶作為我國(guó)最大的直轄市，其經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r對(duì)西南地區(qū)乃至全國(guó)都會(huì)產(chǎn)生巨大的影響。與北京、天津、上海等三個(gè)直轄市比較，重慶市地形崎嶇，農(nóng)業(yè)人口眾多，城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)落后于該三個(gè)直轄市。所以，探討重慶城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)進(jìn)程與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系具有重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。 論文從重慶市以及重慶下轄區(qū)縣兩個(gè)角度，研究了重慶城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)進(jìn)程與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的關(guān)系，所做的主要研究工作和取得的成果如下： 1.分析重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間關(guān)系：選擇重慶市城鎮(zhèn)化率與人均GDP指標(biāo)，數(shù)據(jù)區(qū)間為1997年—2012年，用R軟件、Eviews軟件，建立了城鎮(zhèn)化率與人均GDP的協(xié)整模型、誤差修正模型，進(jìn)行了格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn)和脈沖響應(yīng)分析，以探討城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)的促進(jìn)作用問(wèn)題。 2.分析重慶市新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間關(guān)系：選擇1997年—2012年14個(gè)反映重慶市新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)水平的指標(biāo)和人均GDP指標(biāo)，通過(guò)R軟件對(duì)指標(biāo)進(jìn)行主成分分析，并進(jìn)行主成分回歸，，成功消除變量間的多重共線性，建立了相關(guān)回歸模型以探討新型城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間的相互作用。 3.分析重慶市四大功能區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間關(guān)系：選擇重慶市38個(gè)區(qū)縣的相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)，根據(jù)所劃分功能區(qū)計(jì)算出各功能區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化率及人均GDP指標(biāo)，數(shù)據(jù)區(qū)間為2003年—2012年，通過(guò)Eviews軟件建立面板數(shù)據(jù)模型，以對(duì)比討論各功能區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化率提高與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的相互作用。 4.在上述分析所得模型中，證實(shí)了城鎮(zhèn)化率與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在長(zhǎng)期均衡關(guān)系，二者間在短期內(nèi)有較強(qiáng)的正向相互促進(jìn)作用。分地區(qū)而言，城鎮(zhèn)化率較高的地區(qū)同時(shí)人均GDP也較高，而經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平較高的地區(qū)城鎮(zhèn)化率的提高對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的促進(jìn)作用要小于經(jīng)濟(jì)較為落后的地區(qū)，進(jìn)一步證實(shí)了城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展間存在密切聯(lián)系。并在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)重慶市推進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化建設(shè)的重點(diǎn)方向提出了響應(yīng)的建議。
[Abstract]:Chongqing as the largest municipality directly under the Central Government in China, its economic development will have a huge impact on the southwest region and even the whole country. Compared with Beijing, Tianjin and Shanghai, Chongqing has rugged terrain. The construction of urbanization lags behind those of the three municipalities. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to explore the relationship between the process of urbanization and economic development in Chongqing. This paper studies the relationship between the process of urbanization and economic development in Chongqing from the two angles of Chongqing and the counties under its jurisdiction. The main research work and the results obtained are as follows: 1. Analyze the relationship between urbanization construction and economic development in Chongqing: select the index of urbanization rate and per capita GDP in Chongqing. The data range is from 1997 to 2012, using R software. Eviews software, the co-integration model of urbanization rate and per capita GDP, error correction model, Granger causality test and impulse response analysis are carried out. In order to explore the role of urbanization to promote the economy. 2. To analyze the relationship between new urbanization construction and economic development in Chongqing: select 14 indexes and GDP per capita from 1997 to 2012 to reflect the level of new urbanization construction in Chongqing. Principal component analysis (PCA) and principal component regression (PCA) were carried out by R software to eliminate multiple collinearity between variables. A correlation regression model was established to study the interaction between new urbanization construction and economic development. 3. Analyze the relationship between urbanization construction and economic development in four functional districts of Chongqing: select the relevant data of 38 districts and counties in Chongqing. The urbanization rate and per capita GDP index of each functional area are calculated according to the dividing function area. The data range is from 2003 to 2012. The panel data model is established by Eviews software. The interaction between the increase of urbanization rate and economic development in each functional area is discussed in this paper. 4. In the above models, it is proved that there is a long-term equilibrium relationship between urbanization rate and economic growth, and there is a strong positive interaction between them in the short term. At the same time, the per capita GDP is also higher in the areas with higher urbanization rate, and the promotion effect of urbanization rate in the areas with higher economic development level is smaller than that in the less economically backward areas. It is further confirmed that there is a close relationship between urbanization construction and economic development, and on this basis, some suggestions are put forward in response to the key direction of promoting urbanization construction in Chongqing.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：重慶大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;F299.27

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