本文關(guān)鍵詞：風力發(fā)電項目投資風險分析及評價　出處：《華北電力大學》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 風力發(fā)電 項目投資 風險評價 風險規(guī)避

【摘要】：近些年,中國風電產(chǎn)業(yè)取得長足的進步。但是由于缺乏相應的系統(tǒng)的戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃以及管理水平,中國風電企業(yè)在風力發(fā)電項目的投資選擇上面臨著許多挑戰(zhàn)。因此,中國風電企業(yè)如何正確認識風電市場,正確識別風力發(fā)電項目投資時的風險,并進行及時的風險規(guī)避,是中國風電企業(yè)的主要課題。 本文通過簡要分析全球風資源的分布及其潛力,從大型風電技術(shù)、海上風電技術(shù)和風電設(shè)備廠商等幾個方面進行了風電產(chǎn)業(yè)未來發(fā)展趨勢分析,從國家政策波動和發(fā)電成本過高等方面分析了全球風電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的問題和國內(nèi)風電產(chǎn)業(yè)國際化發(fā)展所面臨的問題。利用風險分析理論模型,如PEST模型、波特五力模型、SWOT模型、層次分析模型等,對風力發(fā)電項目投資進行了詳細的分析,在以上理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了風力發(fā)電項目投資風險的主要因素包括政策風險、技術(shù)風險、經(jīng)濟風險等。在綜合比較各種評價方法的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合各因素建立了風力發(fā)電投資風險指標體系,結(jié)合實例,應用ANP法對各要素賦權(quán),用PROMETHEE法對備選方案排序,選出最佳方案。結(jié)合龍源電力集團的情況,對龍源風力發(fā)電項目進行投資風險實證分析。最后,從加強了解專項法律政策、積極開展投資并購活動、全面拓展海外融資渠道、主動提升人力資源管理、緊密聯(lián)合國內(nèi)設(shè)備廠商、重點聚焦北美風電市場、傾力打造清潔環(huán)保品牌、適度采用本土經(jīng)營戰(zhàn)略、完善運營風險管理機制、有效降低企業(yè)運營成本等方面提出了風力發(fā)電項目投資風險規(guī)避措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's wind power industry has made considerable progress, but due to the lack of a corresponding system of strategic planning and management level. Chinese wind power enterprises face many challenges in the investment choice of wind power generation projects. Therefore, how to correctly understand the wind power market and identify the risks of wind power projects investment in Chinese wind power enterprises. And timely risk-aversion, is the main topic of wind power enterprises in China. By analyzing the distribution and potential of global wind resources, this paper analyzes the future development trend of wind power industry from several aspects, such as large-scale wind power technology, offshore wind power technology and wind power equipment manufacturers. This paper analyzes the problems in the development of global wind power industry and the international development of domestic wind power industry from the aspects of the fluctuation of national policy and the high cost of power generation, and makes use of the theoretical model of risk analysis. For example, PEST model, Porter five-force model SWOT model, analytic hierarchy process model and so on, the investment of wind power project is analyzed in detail, on the basis of the above theoretical analysis. Put forward the main factors of investment risk of wind power project, including policy risk, technical risk, economic risk, etc. On the basis of comprehensive comparison of various evaluation methods. The risk index system of wind power investment is established by synthesizing various factors. Combined with an example, the ANP method is applied to the weighting of each element, and the PROMETHEE method is used to rank the alternatives. According to the situation of Longyuan Electric Power Group, the investment risk of Longyuan Wind Power Project is analyzed empirically. Finally, we should strengthen the understanding of special laws and policies, and actively carry out investment mergers and acquisitions activities. Fully expand overseas financing channels, actively enhance human resources management, closely associated with domestic equipment manufacturers, focus on the North American wind power market, efforts to create clean and environmental protection brand, appropriate use of local business strategy. The measures to avoid the investment risk of wind power project are put forward in the aspects of perfecting the operational risk management mechanism and effectively reducing the operating cost of the enterprise.
【學位授予單位】：華北電力大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.61;F283

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