本文關(guān)鍵詞：風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目投資風(fēng)險分析及評價　出處：《華北電力大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 風(fēng)力發(fā)電 項目投資 風(fēng)險評價 風(fēng)險規(guī)避

【摘要】：近些年,中國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)取得長足的進(jìn)步。但是由于缺乏相應(yīng)的系統(tǒng)的戰(zhàn)略規(guī)劃以及管理水平,中國風(fēng)電企業(yè)在風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目的投資選擇上面臨著許多挑戰(zhàn)。因此,中國風(fēng)電企業(yè)如何正確認(rèn)識風(fēng)電市場,正確識別風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目投資時的風(fēng)險,并進(jìn)行及時的風(fēng)險規(guī)避,是中國風(fēng)電企業(yè)的主要課題。 本文通過簡要分析全球風(fēng)資源的分布及其潛力,從大型風(fēng)電技術(shù)、海上風(fēng)電技術(shù)和風(fēng)電設(shè)備廠商等幾個方面進(jìn)行了風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)未來發(fā)展趨勢分析,從國家政策波動和發(fā)電成本過高等方面分析了全球風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展面臨的問題和國內(nèi)風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)國際化發(fā)展所面臨的問題。利用風(fēng)險分析理論模型,如PEST模型、波特五力模型、SWOT模型、層次分析模型等,對風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目投資進(jìn)行了詳細(xì)的分析,在以上理論分析的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目投資風(fēng)險的主要因素包括政策風(fēng)險、技術(shù)風(fēng)險、經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險等。在綜合比較各種評價方法的基礎(chǔ)上,綜合各因素建立了風(fēng)力發(fā)電投資風(fēng)險指標(biāo)體系,結(jié)合實例,應(yīng)用ANP法對各要素賦權(quán),用PROMETHEE法對備選方案排序,選出最佳方案。結(jié)合龍源電力集團(tuán)的情況,對龍源風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目進(jìn)行投資風(fēng)險實證分析。最后,從加強了解專項法律政策、積極開展投資并購活動、全面拓展海外融資渠道、主動提升人力資源管理、緊密聯(lián)合國內(nèi)設(shè)備廠商、重點聚焦北美風(fēng)電市場、傾力打造清潔環(huán)保品牌、適度采用本土經(jīng)營戰(zhàn)略、完善運營風(fēng)險管理機(jī)制、有效降低企業(yè)運營成本等方面提出了風(fēng)力發(fā)電項目投資風(fēng)險規(guī)避措施。
[Abstract]:In recent years, China's wind power industry has made considerable progress, but due to the lack of a corresponding system of strategic planning and management level. Chinese wind power enterprises face many challenges in the investment choice of wind power generation projects. Therefore, how to correctly understand the wind power market and identify the risks of wind power projects investment in Chinese wind power enterprises. And timely risk-aversion, is the main topic of wind power enterprises in China. By analyzing the distribution and potential of global wind resources, this paper analyzes the future development trend of wind power industry from several aspects, such as large-scale wind power technology, offshore wind power technology and wind power equipment manufacturers. This paper analyzes the problems in the development of global wind power industry and the international development of domestic wind power industry from the aspects of the fluctuation of national policy and the high cost of power generation, and makes use of the theoretical model of risk analysis. For example, PEST model, Porter five-force model SWOT model, analytic hierarchy process model and so on, the investment of wind power project is analyzed in detail, on the basis of the above theoretical analysis. Put forward the main factors of investment risk of wind power project, including policy risk, technical risk, economic risk, etc. On the basis of comprehensive comparison of various evaluation methods. The risk index system of wind power investment is established by synthesizing various factors. Combined with an example, the ANP method is applied to the weighting of each element, and the PROMETHEE method is used to rank the alternatives. According to the situation of Longyuan Electric Power Group, the investment risk of Longyuan Wind Power Project is analyzed empirically. Finally, we should strengthen the understanding of special laws and policies, and actively carry out investment mergers and acquisitions activities. Fully expand overseas financing channels, actively enhance human resources management, closely associated with domestic equipment manufacturers, focus on the North American wind power market, efforts to create clean and environmental protection brand, appropriate use of local business strategy. The measures to avoid the investment risk of wind power project are put forward in the aspects of perfecting the operational risk management mechanism and effectively reducing the operating cost of the enterprise.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：華北電力大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F426.61;F283

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 鄭靜;文福拴;李力;王珂;高超;;計及風(fēng)險控制策略的含風(fēng)電機(jī)組的輸電系統(tǒng)規(guī)劃[J];電力系統(tǒng)自動化;2011年22期

2 歐陽婉娥;;福建省風(fēng)電投資的風(fēng)險分析及管理對策[J];發(fā)展研究;2008年07期

3 孫建淼;;澳大利亞風(fēng)電投資的機(jī)遇與風(fēng)險分析[J];風(fēng)能;2013年10期

4 孫涵;;基于蒙特卡洛的風(fēng)電項目風(fēng)險評價分析[J];理論月刊;2011年11期

5 孔昭東;周宏勝;劉錦國;思勤;;大型風(fēng)電工程建設(shè)項目風(fēng)險管理模式探討[J];內(nèi)蒙古電力技術(shù);2008年04期

6 吳啟仁;鄭主平;孫向東;;風(fēng)電場建設(shè)風(fēng)險管理[J];水利水電技術(shù);2009年09期

7 唐德淼;;我國風(fēng)電裝備(鑄件)產(chǎn)業(yè)再投資的經(jīng)濟(jì)風(fēng)險分析[J];中國市場;2010年15期

8 黃琳;黃靜波;;海上風(fēng)電場建設(shè)成本及風(fēng)險分析[J];水力發(fā)電;2012年12期

9 何鐘;;我國風(fēng)電產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展和投資風(fēng)險研究[J];西安建筑科技大學(xué)學(xué)報(社會科學(xué)版);2011年06期

10 趙治;;風(fēng)電項目全生命周期風(fēng)險管理研究[J];徐州師范大學(xué)學(xué)報(哲學(xué)社會科學(xué)版);2010年06期

，

本文編號：1403086