勞動力流動對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-01-06 13:21
本文關(guān)鍵詞:勞動力流動對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長影響的研究 出處:《暨南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
更多相關(guān)文章: 勞動力流動 珠三角 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量
【摘要】:經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的完整內(nèi)容包括經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量這兩個方面。大量勞動力的流入不僅對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量的擴(kuò)張有積極的促進(jìn)作用,而且也影響著珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量。近年來廣東省實施了雙轉(zhuǎn)移戰(zhàn)略,珠三角也加快了產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型升級和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長方式的轉(zhuǎn)變。在這樣的環(huán)境下,研究勞動力流動對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量和質(zhì)量的影響就顯得很有意義。 本文首先對勞動力流動和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長這兩個概念進(jìn)行內(nèi)涵界定,其次在深入分析珠三角勞動力流動和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長現(xiàn)狀的基礎(chǔ)上,從經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量(GDP)和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量(經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量包括有經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長穩(wěn)定性、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長協(xié)調(diào)性、經(jīng)濟(jì)增長持續(xù)性和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長結(jié)果這五個方面)兩個視角分析勞動力流動對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響機制。然后采用2000-2012年珠三角9個地級市的統(tǒng)計數(shù)據(jù),分別用動態(tài)面板數(shù)據(jù)模型和向量自回歸模型,計量分析勞動力流動對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量和質(zhì)量的影響。本文得到的結(jié)論有:(1)珠三角仍然是中國勞動力流入最集中的地區(qū),且勞動力主要流向珠三角東岸的深圳、東莞和廣州等城市,,但總體上流入珠三角的勞動力人力資本水平較低。(2)2001-2012年期間,流動勞動力對珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長數(shù)量的平均貢獻(xiàn)率為13.95%,作用不是很顯著,而技術(shù)要素的貢獻(xiàn)率在此期間有較大提升。(3)總體來看,珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量不高,經(jīng)濟(jì)增長質(zhì)量提高遠(yuǎn)落后于數(shù)量的擴(kuò)張。勞動力流動與珠三角經(jīng)濟(jì)增長協(xié)調(diào)性及穩(wěn)定性不存在長期均衡關(guān)系,但勞動力流動會降低經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效率和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長持續(xù)性,增強經(jīng)濟(jì)增長結(jié)果。最后本文提出了相應(yīng)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:The complete content of economic growth includes the quantity of economic growth and the quality of economic growth. The inflow of a large number of labor force not only has a positive effect on the expansion of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. It also affects the quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. In recent years, Guangdong Province has implemented a dual transfer strategy, the Pearl River Delta has also accelerated the transformation and upgrading of industry and the transformation of economic growth. In such an environment. It is of great significance to study the influence of labor mobility on the quantity and quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. This paper first defines the two concepts of labor mobility and economic growth, and then analyzes the current situation of labor mobility and economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. From the quantity of economic growth to GDP) and the quality of economic growth (the quality of economic growth includes the efficiency of economic growth, economic growth stability, economic growth coordination. The sustainability of economic growth and the outcome of economic growth). Two perspectives to analyze the impact of labor mobility on the economic growth of the Pearl River Delta, and then use the 2000-2012 statistical data of nine prefecture-level cities in the Pearl River Delta. Dynamic panel data model and vector autoregressive model are used respectively. Quantitative analysis of the impact of labor mobility on the quantity and quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. The conclusion of this paper is that the Pearl River Delta is still the most concentrated area of labor inflow in China. And the labor force mainly flows to Shenzhen, Dongguan and Guangzhou on the east coast of the Pearl River Delta, but the labor capital level of the Pearl River Delta is relatively low during 2001-2012. The average contribution rate of floating labor to the economic growth of the Pearl River Delta is 13.95, the effect is not very significant, but the contribution rate of technical elements has greatly improved during this period. The quality of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta is not high and the quality of economic growth is far behind the expansion of quantity. There is no long-term equilibrium relationship between labor flow and the coordination and stability of economic growth in the Pearl River Delta. However, labor mobility will reduce the efficiency and sustainability of economic growth, and enhance the results of economic growth. Finally, this paper puts forward the corresponding policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:暨南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F127;F249.27
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